• What good are Pre-Season Rankings?
•  ... Useful in gathering background information for the upcoming season
•  ... Topic of conversion during the summer
•  ... Not used for any rankings once the season starts
• Pre-Season Team Ranking Problems:
•  ... Based largely on last year's XC results
•  ... Some runners improve significantly or lose interest
•  ... Some runners quit or transfer
•  ... One runner can have a big impact on team score (plus or minus)
•  ... Unknowns - Requires some subjective "guessing" by me.
•  ... If data for 5 runners on a team was not available or guess-able, team likely excluded

Remember ... this list is just an informational starting point ... I posted scores by individual class because some people are interested.

                   Pre-Season Projection - New York Girls Team Contenders - 2024


         ---------------------------------------
              Scores Using Top 31 Teams
         ---------------------------------------
                                         Section-
         Team                   Score     Class
         ---------------------  -----    --------
    1    Bethlehem                60     (02-A )
    2    East Aurora             130     (06-C )
    3    Saratoga Springs        145     (02-A )
    4    Shenendehowa            205     (02-A )
    5    Northport               240     (11-A )
    6    Fayetteville-Manlius    250     (03-A )
    7    Guilderland             265     (02-A )
    8    Auburn                  280     (03-A )
    9    Cicero-North Syracuse   350     (03-A )
    10   Burnt Hills             365     (02-B )
    11   Irondequoit             395     (05-A )
    12   Cornwall                400     (09-B )
    13   Niskayuna               440     (02-A )
    14   St. Anthony's           450     (CHSAA)
    15   Hunter College          450     (PSAL )
    16   Liverpool               465     (03-A )
    17   Monroe-Woodbury         470     (09-A )
    18   Tappan Zee              475     (01-B )
    19   Somers                  495     (01-B )
    20   Fairport                505     (05-A )
    21   Rush-Henrietta          510     (05-A )
    22   Arlington               515     (01-A )
    23   Syosset                 515     (08-A )
    24   South Jefferson         520     (03-C )
    25   Eastchester             540     (01-B )
    26   Brighton                550     (05-A )
    27   Riverdale               550     (AIS  )
    28   Sayville                550     (11-B )
    29   Pittsford Sutherland    555     (05-B )
    30   West Genesee            570     (03-A )
    31   East Islip              575     (11-A )

• Where did the scores come from?
•  ... 2023 Seasonal Speed Ratings
•  ... Manual manipulation based on Guessing
•  
• Uncertainty Factors
•  ... Ability of a team to "reload" after significant loses (graduation, transfer, etc)
•  ... Impact of new runners ... my term for this is "New Blood" (e.g. soccer transfers, first time XC runners, etc)
•  ... Will returning runners improve??
•  ... Team Depth ... Impact of Injury or Illness
•  ... Impact of runners who decide to quit

Note ... The scores are simply my pre-season "guess" of relative team abilities in a combined race ... I included 29 teams to show some depth.

---------------------

In General ... Bethlehem finished 2nd to Saratoga Springs at both the NY Federation and NXR-New York meets last year, and then finished a very good 11th at NXN Nationals ... Bethlehem returns all 7 runners from those races which will place them nicely in the pre-season National rankings.

East Aurora finished a very nice 3rd at NXR-New York last year ... East Aurora returns all 7 runners from that race which makes them a serious contender to qualify for NXN Nationals this coming season.

Saratoga Springs has been a perennial contender at NXN Nationals where they finished 6th last year and won in 2022 and 2019 ... Saratoga graduated their top 3 runners from NXR and NXN, but they still have some ability to contend in NY.

Not far behind are a group of teams with possible potential ... Shenendehowa, Northport, Fayetteville-Manlius and others ... Improvement at various positions and/or inclusion of new impactful runners (which does occurred) could elevate them to a challenging position.

---------------------

Profiles for the Top Individual NY Girls are also available, including profiles for the top 5 Bethlehem girls.

Additional comments and information are given below by Class ... Class consideration is important in the pre-season because it impacts far more runners than projections intended for Federation Championships or the NXN-NY regional qualifier.

 
                                         Section-
         Team                   Score     Class
         ---------------------  -----    --------
    1    Bethlehem                51     (02-A )
    2    Saratoga Springs        128     (02-A )
    3    Shenendehowa            176     (02-A )
    4    Northport               213     (11-A )
    5    Fayetteville-Manlius    219     (03-A )
    6    Guilderland             225     (02-A )
    7    Auburn                  236     (03-A )
    8    Cicero-North Syracuse   294     (03-A )
    9    Irondequoit             354     (05-A )
    10   Niskayuna               379     (02-A )
    11   Liverpool               403     (03-A )
    12   Monroe-Woodbury         408     (09-A )
    13   Fairport                433     (05-A )
    14   Orchard Park            436     (06-A )
    15   Syosset                 436     (08-A )
    16   Arlington               441     (01-A )
    17   Rush-Henrietta          454     (05-A )
    18   Churchville-Chili       459     (05-A )
    19   Baldwinsville           462     (03-A )
    20   Brighton                479     (05-A )
    21   East Islip              490     (11-A )
    22   West Genesee            491     (03-A )
    23   Ithaca                  506     (04-A )
    24   North Rockland          509     (01-A )
    25   East Meadow             513     (08-A )
    26   Williamsville North     522     (06-A )
    27   Shaker                  526     (02-A )
    28   Scarsdale               537     (01-A )
		

Bethlehem is the top-ranked team in Class A and in NY State overall.

Bethlehem finished 2nd to Saratoga Springs at both the NY Federation and NXR-New York meets last year, and then finished a very good 11th at NXN Nationals ... Bethlehem returns all 7 runners from those races which will place them nicely in the pre-season National rankings.

Saratoga Springs has been a perennial contender at NXN Nationals where they finished 6th last year and won in 2022 and 2019 ... Saratoga graduated their top 3 runners from NXR and NXN, but they still have some ability to contend in NY.

Northport, Shenendehowa, Fayetteville-Manlius, Guilderland and Auburn are all solid teams with talent, but need some improvement to contend with Bethlehem.

Northport finished 2nd to Saratoga at last year's Class A race and beat 3rd-place Fayetteville-Manlius ... Northport returns all 5 scorers from that race ... Shenedehowa finished 4th at last year's Federation Meet and return 6 of 7 runner from that race (including the top 4 scorers).

Some Class A Returning Runners by Team 

                            Highest   Overall
                           XC-Rating  Rating    XC Ratings by Race 2023
                           ---------  -------   -----------------------------------
Bethlehem
  Charlotte O'Meara     12    131       120     113 116 120 124 131 119 128 116 118 113
  Anna Chrapowitzky     10    130       126     128 123 120 113 122 117 130 126 125 121
  Katherine Bannigan    12    130       124     122 122 121 128 127 130 120 122 119 123 115
  Logan Kuhn            11    128       126     128 120 128 128 125 127 117 120 124 124 121
  Tess McNamara         9     125       116     116 109 109 117 125 117 117 115 109 105 98
  Olivia Deer           11    107       98      94 97 85 107 100 98 94 84
  Sidney Graham         9     105       100     100 97 89 102 104 101 105 97 101 93
  Alexandra Rivard      11    91        85      72 84 91 88 81 78 59
  Lillian Masters       10    91        87      91 75 86 88 78 86 66

Saratoga Springs
  Tong Ang              10    124       112     109 93 114 113 124 112 105 103
  Cora Conley           9     123       115     107 115 117 112 123 111 98 93
  Katie Turner          12    121       118     114 119 121 119 121 109 96 105
  Reagan Owen           9     120       114     114 114 107 106 120 115 106 109
  Heidi Berglund        10    114       111     114 108 107 107 100
  Iley Centea           9     107       105     104 107 100 98 98
  Hailey Capello        12    93        90      93 86 86 74 83

Shenendehowa
  Leyla Bhusri          11    133       130     126 131 118 133 128 127 129 125
  Anna McGaffin         9     121       112     108 104 111 112 121
  Raquelle Landa        11    120       110     86 112 105 107 111 120 107
  Moira Glynn           11    109       104     106 98 109 91 95 90 81
  Courtney Krawiecki    11    102       96      102 87 92 89 42 75
  Fiona Klingbeil       12    100       96      89 100 94 92 95 97 90
  Eva Bronzell          10    96        94      92 87 96 96 96

Northport
  Mia Wickard           10    128       126     125 128 124 104 113 127 118
  Fiona King            8     120       117     117 115 118 103 120 98 91
  Kayla Forsch          11    110       99      82 99 102 88 90 110 85
  Jane Tucker           8     106       104     104 106 97 89 48
  Maggie Taylor         12    101       98      97 101 94 84 88 98 77
  Cate Coronato         12    73        71      65 67 73 50 73
  Lucy Saviano          11    68        61      22 68 65 53
  Beckah Triana         12    66        61      49 66 57 29

Fayetteville-Manlius
  Izzie Sullivan        12    139       129     98 127 139 127 131 120
  Camille Ryan          11    120       117     110 115 119 120 113 115
  Jordan Giannetti      10    112       105     93 97 112 109 105 95
  Claire McDonald       11    110       105     99 95 110 108 103 93

Guilderland
  Addison Vellekoop     11    138       131     110 131 136 135 131 125 137 138 128 132 114
  Braelyn Cornell       10    121       117     117 116 110 121 117 111 113
  Kara Whiteside        10    104       94      76 88 104 88 97 99 90 77 89
  Alexa Kosier          12    102       95      94 83 94 98 100 102 101 101 92 77
  Tara Iyer             9     101       85      81 63 59 89 99 97 101 95 99
  Lily Hubbard          9     94        89      82 84 94 85 88 90 88 80 72
  Danika Kosier         8     93        81      63 62 93 80 92 71 80 76 88

Auburn
  Kyleen Brady          11    135       125     110 112 135 127 124
  Mary Alice Pineau     12    130       125     122 130 112 122 125 119 96 105
  Abigail Ringwood      12    116       111     103 105 115 108 116 111 98
  Nora Burroughs        12    95        90      82 92 88 85 89 95 89
  Vienna Ritter-Yelle   11    88        84      79 88 84 78 74 61

Cicero-North Syracuse
  Kennedy Jones         9     122       118     109 119 122 117 111 104 101
  Sophia Graham         10    105       102     105 101 89 70
  Cameron Sisk          12    104       99      93 104 95 91 94 94
  Katy Harbold          12    99        95      90 96 89 99 88
  Gabby Putman          12    98        98      98
  Allison Moran         12    70        65      64 70 57 49 45 47
  Elliana Ballagh       11    58        50      28 55 34 53 58 40

Irondequoit
  Aubrey Smith          12    118       115     112 118 118 107 107 107 112 98
  Elizabeth Tytler      12    113       110     109 113 99 107 101 105 69
  Kathryn Bauman        12    107       99      91 107 97 77 87 90 54
  Kira LaVeck           10    104       101     101 104 101 90 95 90 63
  Alexandra Friedel     12    61        53      36 56 50 46 61 59 34
  Kayla Holliday        12    50        45      50 26 45 7
  Tessa Coeny           12    47        41      29 47 43 33 39 30 11

Niskayuna
  Allison Boler         12    115       111     110 103 115 115 102 105 83
  Callan Stabler        11    105       100     92 100 101 101 105 97 89 63
  Megan Breslin         12    102       89      74 88 88 89 102 93 89 87 63
  Zoe Seeley            10    101       99      101 94 99 96 99 94 81
  Fikir Kebbede         11    72        58      21 59 63 47 72 62 55 61 8
  Hannah Cestaro        11    67        62      55 59 67 66 59 56 20

 
                                         Section-
         Team                   Score     Class
         ---------------------  -----    --------
    1    Burnt Hills             145     (02-B )
    2    Cornwall                165     (09-B )
    3    Tappan Zee              213     (01-B )
    4    Pittsford Sutherland    249     (05-B )
    5    Sayville                258     (11-B )
    6    Somers                  263     (01-B )
    7    Eastchester             265     (01-B )
    8    Scotia-Glenville        295     (02-B )
    9    Honeoye Falls-Lima      303     (05-B )
    10   Westhampton             326     (11-B )
    11   South Side              367     (08-B )
    12   Pittsford Mendon        371     (05-B )
    13   Hauppauge               377     (11-B )
    14   Calhoun                 383     (08-B )
    15   Bethpage                388     (08-B )
    16   Pearl River             395     (01-B )
    17   Amherst                 397     (06-B )
    18   Starpoint               397     (06-B )
    19   Canandaigua             400     (05-B )
    20   North Shore             400     (08-B )
    21   Mohonasen               413     (02-B )
    22   Owego                   424     (04-B )
    23   Chittenango             432     (03-B )
    24   Manhasset               434     (08-B )
    25   Vernon-Verona-Sherrill  446     (03-B )
    26   Queensbury              447     (02-B )

		

Burnt Hills finished 3rd at last year's Class B race and return 6 of 7 runners (but lose their #1 scorer).

Cornwall finished 2nd at last year's Class B race and return 5 of 7 runners (losing 1 scorer) ... Cornwall does have a speed rating advantage over Burnt Hills through 4 scorers, so Cornwall is a serious contender for Class B.

Tappan Zee and Pittsford Sutherland finished 4th and 5th, respectively, at last year's State Class B race ... Tappan Zee returns 6 of 7 runners (but lose their #1 scorer) ... Pittsford Sutherland returns 3 of 7 runners. 

Class B could be interesting ... New and improved runners could be the factor to determine the finish positions at the State Class B race.

Some Class B Returning Runners by Team 

                            Highest   Overall
                           XC-Rating  Rating    XC Ratings by Race 2023
                           ---------  -------   -----------------------------------
Burnt Hills
  Katie Weeks           9     117       103     64 105 101 117
  Quinn Stowell-Melley  11    115       112     104 114 103 110 115
  Delaney Casey         11    99        93      86 90 91 97 95 99 84
  Addison Cyr           11    99        90      56 86 99
  Arden Heiner          10    98        95      89 98 97 91 87 73
  Adalyn Greer          10    91        85      80 83 86 85 91 76 66
  Lillian Knott         9     85        81      80 80 76 76 85

Cornwall
  Sophia Semo           12    118       116     118 113 115 111 117 110 114 111
  Olivia Cibirka        11    113       110     109 113 107 95 108 97 90 71
  Kassandra Enos        9     110       107     107 110 96 98 104 83
  Noemi Goitia          10    97        96      97 96 89 89 94 69
  Mia Siegel            10    69        67      66 69 62 40

Tappan Zee
  Bridget Dunn          11    124       118     117 112 117 122 121 113 124 97
  Cassidy Donovan       12    112       108     99 111 104 111 105 108 112 98
  Alyssa Connolly       9     86        81      77 76 86 83 63 77 66
  Mia Dellolio          11    85        81      81 79 80 73 73 85 83 50
  Ava Ingersoll         12    83        75      35 83 79 82 56 81 67 26
  Audrey Hanchar        11    70        68      63 67 70 68

Pittsford Sutherland
  Reid Smith            12    108       105     101 108 100 103 94 102 101
  Marianne Spyra        12    101       92      66 87 101 95 84 92 83
  Ella Rice             12    90        81      73 81 76 82 90 77 82
  Mallory Howe          10    89        83      78 89 73 66
  Libby Juliano         12    68        62      52 61 68 52 41
  Alejandra Ochoa       11    57        47      35 45 33 52 57
  Amanda Huerta Andrade 12    53        50      40 51 47 53 52

Sayville
  Marianna Duffy        10    117       110     98 109 117 110 101 104 81
  Megan Lankowicz       11    116       113     111 114 116 113 103 108 102
  Carly Strining        12    80        76      66 79 80 66 63 76 54
  Aubrey Vitale         9     74        72      64 74 72 63
  Rachel Frawley        11    69        68      69 69 59 44
  Carly Brady           12    62        60      55 62 54
  Catherine Simovich    10    62        61      62 58 53

Somers
  Julia Duzynski        11    117       106     102 96 106 91 102 108 117
  Mia Sandolo           12    110       108     108 104 110 103 110 108 103 97
  Julia Aquilino        12    106       98      80 91 101 100 101 106 87
  Brooke Fazio          12    79        63      62 57 55 47 57 79 57
  Fiona Sledzik         11    47        37      38 28 7 47

Eastchester
  Ava Pennachio         12    121       119     121 116 111
  Eva Muzichenko        11    105       103     105 100 95 104 90
  Celia Mayer           9     89        85      89 80 73 80
  Cacie Beades          12    86        83      84 77 83 86 83 53
  Mae O Reilly          10    56        53      56 39 47
  Adrienne Riley        12    50        44      28 50

 
                                         Section-
         Team                   Score     Class
         ---------------------  -----    --------
    1    East Aurora              28     (06-C )
    2    South Jefferson         128     (03-C )
    3    Adirondack              161     (03-C )
    4    Bronxville              184     (01-C )
    5    Pleasantville           207     (01-C )
    6    Cold Spring Harbor      231     (08-C )
    7    Saranac                 248     (07-C )
    8    Eden                    251     (06-C )
    9    Newfane                 262     (06-C )
    10   Voorheesville           262     (02-C )
    11   James O'Neill           264     (09-C )
    12   Canton                  295     (10-C )
    13   Wayland Cohocton        305     (05-C )
    14   Southwestern            330     (06-C )
    15   Skaneateles             340     (03-C )
    16   Rondout Valley          352     (09-C )
    17   Saranac Lake            354     (07-C )
    18   Lansing                 365     (04-C )
    19   Clinton                 367     (03-C )
		

East Aurora handily won the State Class C race both last year (by 55 points) and the previous year ... East Aurora returns all 7 runners making them a big favorite to repeat as Class Champion.

Adirondack finished 2nd at last year's Class C race and returns 6 of 7 runners (losing the #2 scorer) ... South Jefferson lost to Adirondack at the Section 3 State Qualifier (by only 13 points) and return 6 of 7 runners (including the top 4 scorers) ... South Jefferson seems to have a slight speed rating advantage entering the season, but I assume it will be very competitive.

Section 1 teams (Bronxville and Pleasantville) also appear to have a competitive race to make the State Meet ... Note: Only the winning team in each section & each class make the State Meet.

As usual, lots of uncertainty in the projections for many teams.

Some Class C Returning Runners by Team  

                            Highest   Overall
                           XC-Rating  Rating    XC Ratings by Race 2023
                           ---------  -------   -----------------------------------
East Aurora
  Emilia O'Leary        12    138       135     124 138 134 136 135 132 136 135 128
  Catherine Schoeneman  12    127       121     104 118 127 123 124 125 110 108
  Kailyn Houghton       11    126       121     121 119 109 123 125 126 116 110
  Reiley Pierce         10    123       118     110 118 123 115 105 119 102 104
  Hope Owens            11    105       101     102 100 99 82 80 96 105 76
  Evelyn Hoak           12    95        90      86 86 95 94 92 71 77 45
  Katherine Maloney     10    71        63      63 60 50 71 54 53 16

South Jefferson
  Annabelle Renzi       10    105       100     97 99 100 81 92 103 105
  Carley Worden         11    105       98      94 101 88 105 82 84
  Ellie Roberts         8     104       102     96 104 97 101
  Reese Roberts         11    78        73      67 74 66 75 78 71
  Chloe Abbott          12    76        63      56 50 62 67 76 60
  Lillian Cota          11    72        70      66 71 61 72 71 60
  Kendra Staie          10    60        50      35 42 54 42 60 50

Adirondack
  Cora Hinsdill         11    119       115     103 118 115 115 119 104 103 93
  Johannah Northrop     11    93        89      88 91 93 93 87 53 53 71 61
  Eliana Pitts          11    90        84      84 82 84 90 86 72 75 77 71
  Nicole Steria         10    78        77      77 78 75 78 77 66 72 72 71
  Mariah Steria         11    64        53      56 26 64 46 10 13

Bronxville
  Maddy Williams        12    118       114     118 110 108 91 106 83
  Carina Winiecki       10    102       98      102 95 82 71
  Charlotte Black       12    78        74      78 66 70 57 70 32
  Ella McCalla          10    68        61      59 33 68
  Fiona Keveney         12    65        63      64 65 62 47 61 13
  Charlotte Murray      11    59        53      59 49 32 23 46 25

Pleasantville
  Clara Shingler        11    111       108     94 111 108 111 104 109 107 108
  Catherine O'Brien     10    91        88      91 78 82
  Camilla Browand       11    90        85      85 66 90 77 80
  Alexis Busch          11    61        57      61 34 58 48
  Sara Agabob           11    57        57      56 57

 
                                         Section-
         Team                   Score     Class
         ---------------------  -----    --------
    1    Mount Academy           142     (09-D )
    2    Clymer-Sherman          149     (06-D )
    3    Norwood-Norfolk         152     (10-D )
    4    Pulaski                 172     (03-D )
    5    Delhi                   196     (04-D )
    6    Maple Grove             199     (06-D )
    7    Addison                 204     (05-D )
    8    Williamson              266     (05-D )
    9    South Lewis             268     (03-D )
    10   Cato-Meridian           273     (03-D )
    11   Tully                   274     (03-D )
    12   Sauquoit Valley         297     (03-D )
    13   Pierson                 299     (11-D )
    14   Oakfield-Alabama        301     (05-D )
    15   Maple Hill              315     (02-D )
    16   Port Jefferson          321     (11-D )
    17   Beaver River            323     (03-D )
    18   Frewsburg               339     (06-D )
    19   Weedsport               387     (03-D )
    20   Lake Placid             397     (07-D )
		

As normal, lots of uncertainty in projecting Class D teams ... Talented new runners can have a major impact on team scoring, especially at the small school level.

It is possible as many as 11 teams could be in hunt for a podium position at The State Meet ... (it's a guess at this point).

Some Class D Returning Runners by Team  

                            Highest   Overall
                           XC-Rating  Rating    XC Ratings by Race 2023
                           ---------  -------   -----------------------------------
Mount Academy
  Ella Hofer            9     102       102     102
  Marina Maendel        10    85        77      72 80 70 55 72 85 76 50
  Abby Brener           12    76        71      65 75 69 59 66 72 76 60 50
  Doreen Winter         12    71        60      50 66 50 58 53 66 71 51 45 38
  Evelyn Maendel        12    51        44      41 47 44 16 43 51 45 22

Clymer-Sherman
  Tess Flikkema         12    93        77      49 64 93 74 63
  Solki Martin-Lacayo   12    89        70      30 73 59 89 74 55
  Caitlyn Kriner        10    78        62      53 62 43 78 56 34
  Grace Cooke           10    78        68      51 67 65 78 73 54
  Baya Oehlbeck         9     39        36      39 18

Norwood-Norfolk
  Madison Carista       11    110       100     94 102 110 93 94 78 101 74 76
  Allie Snell           11    93        88      78 93 92 82 73 92 71 28 67
  Brielle Gates         11    70        64      57 70 68 47 44 59 54 38
  Autumn Masuk          10    60        48      40 60 36 37 32 39 25 29
  Addie Snell           11    47        43      34 43 47 40 18 46 17
  Stella Arquiett       10    40        30      22 40 34 18 4 4

Pulaski
  Grace Carguello       10    105       93      80 92 75 105 102 87
  Camryn McGrath        10    84        75      76 54 76 81 68 84 77 74
  Karlee Nabinger       12    64        60      59 59 64 46 55 46 35
  Madelyn Lyng          10    55        47      46 42 46 50 43 55 43 37
  Giuliana Giannotti    9     48        42      36 48 40 36 29 44 25 21
  Lilly Pratt           10    30        24      15 23 30 27 20 12

Delhi
  Lilly McGonigal       9     90        81      79 77 88 90 64 56 53 69 64
  Aurelia Comer         9     84        74      62 79 76 78 84 43 48 52 57 55
  Elsa Marigliano       12    83        64      53 42 52 79 68 83 78 80
  Abi Tessier           12    54        45      37 37 54 31 44 15

Maple Grove
  Evalyn Fessel         10    74        70      69 62 74 71 53 59
  Presley Haines        12    72        61      30 58 66 72 70 59 50
  Lily Bohall           11    68        60      55 50 68 56 46 48
  Sydney Simmons        10    59        50      59 22 47 39 27
  Ellie Brunenavs       10    54        39      21 52 54 47 34
  Lily Elliss           9     51        43      39 51 33 9
  Mae Benedetto         11    49        44      43 36 49 39 34 14

Addison
  Anna Lyons            11    101       94      78 101 89 88 84 65
  Brooke Vancise        12    64        48      64 24 19 28 12
  Sydney Ribble         12    60        46      60 26 21 6
  Caitlin Crooker       12    60        58      59 54 51 58 60
	

 

         Team                   Score    Federation
         ---------------------  -----    ----------
    1    St. Anthony's            95     (CHSAA)
    2    Hunter College Campus   115     (PSAL )
    3    Riverdale               124     (AIS  )
    4    Hackley                 167     (AIS  )
    5    Stuyvesant              186     (PSAL )
    6    Spence School           215     (AIS  )
    7    Notre Dame (Manh)       222     (CHSAA)
    8    Poly Prep               230     (AIS  )
    9    Brooklyn Tech           244     (PSAL )
    10   Sacred Heart            253     (CHSAA)
    11   Notre Dame              256     (CHSAA)
    12   Fiorello                271     (PSAL )
    13   Kellenberg              290     (CHSAA)
    14   Trinity                 298     (AIS  )
    15   Nightingale Bamf        312     (AIS  )
    16   Bronx HS Sci            313     (PSAL )
    17   Sacred Heart-Buff       317     (CHSAA)
		

St. Anthony's is the defending CHSAA XC Championship once again ... they return 6 of 7 from that race (losing only their #1 scorer) ... They are fairly deep for this group classification.

Hunter College Campus won the PSAL Championship last year (without Dylan McElhinney who was competing unattached) ... Hunter College Campus would have the top one-two punch assuming both Ella Cohen and Dylan McElhinney compete for the team ... But even in that case, I do not know if Hunter College Campus will have a scoring 5 capable of being competitive at the State-level (or beating St. Anthony's).

As normal, lots of uncertainty for most of the teams in the CHSAA-PSAL-AIS grouping entering a new season ... Just one or two new runners, transfers, etc. for any team will make a major difference ... Just assume uncertainty.

Some CHSAA Returning Runners by Team 

                            Highest   Overall
                           XC-Rating  Rating    XC Ratings by Race 2023
                           ---------  -------   -----------------------------------
St. Anthony's
  Kathryn Paul          10    108       98      108 87 73 50 59
  Olivia Czoch          12    107       98      75 107 103 80 92 85 92
  Elena Ciaccio         10    102       99      99 102 90 84 85 59
  Elizabeth Guilfoyle   12    88        81      79 69 84 62 88
  Annalise Olsen        12    86        77      64 76 79 66 86 59 67
  Sierra Solotoff       12    77        72      57 77 63 74 54 75 64
  Karolena Amato        11    72        68      72 47 71 60 72 41 61

Hunter College Campus
  Dylan McElhinney      12    130       129     128 130 127
  Ella Cohen            12    130       126     113 129 124 127 126 130 114 110
  Noa Yirmiyahu         10    94        91      92 94 71 89 74
  Emma Baltrusaitis     12    89        85      89 80 70 84 66

Riverdale
  Ella Atzil            11    103       97      95 94 103 95 95 80 71
  Vivian Ostfeld        11    93        85      68 93 65 89 67
  Madeleine Braun       11    90        87      79 88 90 79 87 73 40
  Talia Mamaysky        12    88        82      49 88 87 88 80 85 52
  Asha Roy              12    72        70      64 72 62 67 72
  Moorea Friedmann      11    66        62      54 62 58 64 66

Hackley
  Charlotte Frazier     9     99        96      96 99 97 91 87 92 81 51
  Caitlin Morrow        10    89        76      79 42 89 69 74 58 28 49
  Emma Curran           10    82        80      82 80 79 66 77 63 62 53
  Elizabeth Spencer     9     74        62      29 74 59 61 42 55 40 35
  Abigail Nager         11    69        61      67 43 56 69 57 49 21 5
  Sophie Kim            10    56        51      47 56 37 50 39 29

Stuyvesant
  Emma Savonije         11    94        91      91 94 85 88 66 73 72
  Emily Li              12    85        78      61 79 82 85 58 76 71 74
  Jiya Patel            11    79        68      39 79 50 58 43 71 71
  Skye Mcarthur         12    78        75      78 72 70 75 61 66 51 72
  Suyeon Ryu            12    65        61      58 65 52 48
  Kanchanok Zhang       11    61        53      36 55 54 45 55 51 61
  Yuma Kono             10    56        53      48 49 56