Pre-season team rankings have problems: ... first, they are based (in large part) on last year's results ... more recent track results may or may not have relevance for the upcoming XC season ... some runners improve (some improve a lot) ... a few runners transfer or quit ... new runners can join a team and make a big difference ... So any pre-season rankings must be viewed in that context.

What good are pre-season rankings?
 (1) a fun topic of conversation during the summer
 (2) beneficial in gathering background information for the upcoming season

Once the XC season starts, I rank individual runners and teams based strictly on performance during the current season ... So pre-season rankings are not used during the season.

For the most part, the team listing below is just an extension of the 2011 XC season into 2012 with a few modifications ... IF data for 5 runners on each team was not readily available (or guess-able), that team is probably NOT included below ... With rare exceptions, I ignored last year's modified runners.

Initially, the Combined Class List included 70+ teams, but I began removing teams with lower scores to make computer race simulations more manageable ... Other teams could be included, but time constraints are necessary ... Data on selected teams by class is also posted including relevant track times at 3000m, 1500m, 1-Mile and Steeplechase.

Remember ... this list is just an informational starting point ... I posted scores by individual class (because some people are interested) ... A lot can change between mid-July and November.

                   Pre-Season Projection - New York Girls Team Contenders - 2012


         ---------------------------------------
              Scores Using Top 30 Teams
         ---------------------------------------
                                         Section-
         Team                   Score     Class
         ---------------------  -----    --------

    1    Fayetteville-Manlius     31     (03-A )
    2    Saratoga                115     (02-A )
    3    Holy Names              160     (02-B )
    4    Bronxville              230     (01-C ) ** see below
    5    Burnt Hills             255     (02-B )
    6    North Shore             320     (08-B )
    7    Greenwich               365     (02-D )
    8    Suffern                 385     (01-A )
    8    Cicero-North Syracuse   385     (03-A )
    10   Shaker                  390     (02-A )
    11   St. Anthony's           400     (CHSAA)
    12   Garden City             410     (08-B )
    13   Rush-Henrietta          420     (05-A )
    14   Valley Central          430     (09-A )
    14   Colonie                 430     (02-A )
    16   Arlington               440     (01-A )
    16   East Aurora             440     (06-B )
    18   Shenendehowa            450     (02-A )
    19   Nanuet                  465     (01-B )
    19   Guilderland             465     (02-A )
    21   Warwick Valley          470     (09-A )
    22   Queensbury              485     (02-B )
    23   Northport               490     (11-A )
    24   Maple Grove             495     (06-D )
    25   Honeoye Falls-Lima      520     (05-B )
    25   Bethlehem               520     (02-A )
    25   Canandaigua             520     (05-A )
    28   Canton                  530     (10-B )
    28   Penfield                530     (05-A )
    30   Connetquot              540     (11-A )
    
            ** Bronxville score assumes Mary Cain runs for the team...
                If she does not run for Bronxville, the team score 
                drops to roughly 345

Where did the scores come from? ... In part, the scores are a composite of computer race simulations using 2011 seasonal speed ratings ... a few speed ratings were altered based on track results ... I manually manipulated some numbers (because I needed to).

Note ... The scores are simply my pre-season "guess" of relative team abilities in a combined race ... I included 30 teams to show some depth.

In General ... Fayetteville-Manlius is the odds-on favorite entering the 2012 XC season ... FM is the six-time defending National champion and appears to be strong again this season ... Fayetteville-Manlius will be the #1 ranked team in the nation entering XC 2012 ... FM is not only the odds-on favorite in NY, they are the odds-on favorite nationally.

Additional comments and information are given below by class ... Class consideration is important in the pre-season because it impacts far more runners than projections intended for Federation Championships or the NXN-NY regional qualifier.

The Question of Interest involves projection for Saratoga and Holy Names ... Estela Smith transferred from Saratoga to Holy Names, and that has a big impact on any projection.

Saratoga figures to be very strong again despite the loss of Smith ... Saratoga has been very successful at Federations and NXN (I expect that will continue) ... Saratoga falls into my category of "Been-There-Done-That", and Saratoga has done it consistently with different teams and different runners over the years.

At the NXN-NY Regional Qualifier last year, Saratoga finished 2nd (57 pts) while Holy Names finished 5th (206 pts) ... If Estela Smith is removed from Saratoga's results and added to Holy Names results at that race, Saratoga still finishes 2nd (with 3 underclassmen as the 3 top scorers) while Holy Names (with this year's expected top six runners) finishes 4th (behind North Shore).

It will be up to Holy Names to prove they can beat Saratoga ... Holy Names might have the potential to beat Saratoga plus being one of the top teams in the nation ... more on that in the Class B section below.

Mary Cain (Bronxville) ... Rumors from various sources are suggesting that Mary Cain may not be running XC for the Bronxville team ... this seems to be uncertain at this point, and I have no idea what she will do this fall ... she has had a very long track season (indoors, outdoors, post-season USA Junior Championships, Olympic Trials and World Junior Championships in Barcelona, Spain) ... How this impacts her high school cross country season remains to be seen ... One rumor suggests a late start in XC with the goal of a national race (possibly Footlocker) ... To Be Determined.

 
   Team                   Score   Section-Class
   ------------------     -----   -------------
   Fayetteville-Manlius     27      (03-A )
   Saratoga                 75      (02-A )
   Suffern                 240      (01-A )
   Cicero-North Syracuse   240      (03-A )
   Shaker                  255      (02-A )
   Rush-Henrietta          260      (05-A )
   Colonie                 270      (02-A )
   Valley Central          275      (09-A )
   Arlington               280      (01-A )
   Shenendehowa            285      (02-A )
   Guilderland             290      (02-A )
   Warwick Valley          300      (09-A )
   Northport               315      (11-A )
   Bethlehem               335      (02-A )
   Canandaigua             335      (05-A )
   Penfield                350      (05-A )
   Connetquot              350      (11-A )
   Monroe-Woodbury         390      (09-A )
   West Genesee            400      (03-A )
   East Meadow             415      (08-A )
   Elmira District         420      (04-A )
   Syosset                 420      (08-A )

Fayetteville-Manlius is, once again, the defending State and National Champion ... Fayetteville-Manlius loses only one runner from last year's State & NXN team (Katie Sischo) ... FM has a top national runner (Jillian Fanning) and remarkable depth ..... Fayetteville-Manlius has been very good in recent years at adding "new blood" to maintain or improve overall team performance for an upcoming season, and this year may continue that tradition ... Fayetteville-Manlius is odds-on favorite to win national honors again in 2012.

Saratoga returns three top runners (Taylor Driscoll, Keelin Hollowood and Olivia Morrow) despite the transfer of Estela Smith to Holy Names ... Saratoga has other good returning runners, and Saratoga typically comes up with new good runners every year ... So once again, I see Saratoga as one of the top teams nationally ... One uncertainty of interest is the status of Madison Carr - she missed the 2011 XC season due injury, but as can be seen below, her 2010 ratings are not much different from those of Estela Smith - if Madison Carr returns in that form, she would obviously help Saratoga.

There is a lot of uncertainty in many of the other Class A teams projected above (Suffern, Cicero-North Syracuse, Shaker, Rush-Henrietta, Colonie, Valley Central, Arlington, etc) ... there's not that much difference amongst them when all factors are considered ... One new or improved runner (or one "scoring" runner who is missing) could change the balance quickly ... Real 2012 XC race results are need.

 
                               3000    1500    Mile    Steep   XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2011
                               ----    ----    ----    -----   ---------  ----------------------------
Fayetteville-Manlius
  Jillian Fanning       12    10:04    4:43    5:04    2:13(800r)  156    150 158 156 152 155 150
  Hannah Smith          12      --      --      --     2:18(800)   137    134 137 138 132 136 129 126
  Annika Avery          10    10:33    4:46     --     2:20(800r)  134    125 116 142 128 139 136
  Katie Brislin         12      --     4:56     --     2:11(800r)  134    137 125 131 133 116 123 129
  Alana Pearl           11    10:11    4:45     --     7:20        133    135 126 135 131 132 125 96
  Jenna Farrell         9     10:43    5:04     --      --         132    134 122 130 136 127 130 128
  Mary Barger           10    10:50    4:57     --     7:35        114    111 116 107
  Maggie Malone         11    10:50    5:01     --     7:30        114    114 111 114 111
  Michelle Duffy        12    10:03    4:50     --      --         106++  105 108 93
  Colleen Englert       12    11:29    5:30     --      --         106    104 107
  Jessica Howe          10      --      --      --      --         103    87 102 106
  Mackenzie Pierie      10      --      --      --      --         101    97 99 103

Saratoga
  Taylor Driscoll       12    10:08    4:38    4:53r   2:12(800)   138    138 136 138 117 140 134 131 134
  Keelin Hollowood      12     9:52    4:36    5:03    6:49        135    136 132 135 133 137 123 131 129
  Olivia Morrow         9     10:32    4:50     --     2:28(800)   129    131 129 127 112 124 114
  Sarah Morin           11    10:39    5:03     --      --         117    105 118 118 118
  Spencer Hayes         10     --       --      --      --         115    115 114
  Meredith Hungerford   12     --       --      --      --         103    99 106 83
  Maddie Samuel         12    10:55    5:02     --      --         102    97 103 99
  Ellen Dinon           12     --       --      --      --         93     97 86 65
  Shania Hayward        11    11:11     --      --      --         91     93 85
  ** Madison Carr       12     --       --      --      --         134**  126 133 138 133 118 136 133 115 (2010**)
  

                           XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2011
                           ---------  --------------------------------
Suffern
  Kate Zendell          10    127     122 130 115 127 133 128 124 122 117 119
  Ursula Svoboda        12    117     66 120 119 111 131 128 120 126
  Kameron Mcintosh      8     --       Track: 3000m(10:45), 1500m(4:46), 800m(2:15)
  Angelica Matwiejczuk  11    92      53 96 98 100 98 93 86 78 92
  Rachel Ludwikowski    8     91      97 73 88 77 65
  Casie Morgan          11    89      87 81 91 103 86 84 72 71 77
  Taryn Colon           11    85      7 75 104 93
  Cassandra Duitz       10    81      66 82 86 77 56

Cicero-North Syracuse
  Jacqlynn Halstead     11    118     122 108 112 117 103 115 118 112 117 108
  Nicole Watterud       12    111     110 103 106 102 117 108 121 117 106 114 111
  Maria Lamontagne      11    85++    66 91 (injury)
  Taylor Parry          10    104     99 101 105 110 99 107 102 102 105 97
  Marissa Colburn       12    86      80 90 85 88 61 90 85 71 71 46
  Madison Kolakowski    11    76      59 82 82 82 73 62 75 47 41 21
  Emily Dolan           10    68      71 69 61 74 55 54 56 35 58 28

Shaker
  Maryanna Lansing      9     128     132 115 127 127 127 117 121 125 120 120
  Payton Czupil         8     108     110 104 94 98 114 102 92
  Audrey Martino        9     105     109 100 104 92 90 102 106 87
  Kayleigh Lavender     12    97      99 80 100 91 101 96 95 96 101
  Laura Libruk          11    96      97 96 102 85 80 88 75 78 81
  Shann Fitzpatrick     9     90      90
  Jessica Dzialo        12    83      87 73 74
  Hannah Madison        12    77      81 48 80 79 79 82 78 70

Rush-Henrietta
  Alana MacDonald       12    114     102 117 120 114 112 96 103 99
  Alexandra Cooper      10    104     94 109 107 100 85 64 82
  Siobhan Quinn         10    103     81 87 117 101 110 104 101 86
  Tishae Griffin        10    101     97 106 85 82 104 94
  Emma Jones            12    93      93 83 95 96 94 92
  Kristina Glitch       11    80      62 78 81 87 85 76 84
  Tatiana Quinn         12    70      69 59 75 67 12

Colonie
  Kaitie Schillaci      10    108     108 107 112 105 99 102 91 103 102
  Jackie Malecki        11    108     106 103 109 108 109 110 107 106 112
  Shannen Kerin         9     103     106 107 86 99 84 93 82
  Carolyn Pellegrini    9     103     105 101 101 98 96 99 89 96 99
  Bellame Bower         9     98      98
  Kirsten Kaminski      10    93      89 96 76 91 97 92 94 93
  Alicia Bousa          12    78      76 71 76 76 85 64 78 90

Valley Central
  Holly Cavalluzzo      12    134     133 136 134 136 127 136 128 126 123
  Kristen Borriello     11    118     117 119 120 106 119 89
  Christina Schneider   10    108     102 103 112
  Kelly Weiskittel      11    95      98 92 88 79 72
  Becky Keinz           11    73      68 71 75
  Ashley Conklin        11    72      70 80 53 53 62 42
  Claudia Weiskittel    11    69      70 67 66 70

Arlington
  Delphi Cleaveland     12    109++   103 109 114 105 102 106 84; 3000m (10:18), 1500m (4:35.22)
  Isabella Burda        10    80+++   80 78 ... 3000m (10:18)
  Sabrina Johnston      11    108     108
  Marina Eberhart       11    88      86 89 82 94 84 84 70
  Kayla Sullivan        11    81      79 83 75 79 76
  Julie DeMonterey      12    72      67 76 59 66 56 79 65
  

 
   Team                   Score   Section-Class
   ------------------     -----   -------------
   Holy Names               80      (02-B )
   Burnt Hills             110      (02-B )
   North Shore             130      (08-B )
   Garden City             170      (08-B )
   East Aurora             170      (06-B )
   Queensbury              200      (02-B )
   Nanuet                  225      (01-B )
   Honeoye Falls-Lima      240      (05-B )
   Miller Place            245      (11-B )
   Canton                  265      (10-B )
   Pearl River             280      (01-B )
   Cornwall                315      (09-B )
   Bayport-Blue Pt         340      (11-B )
   Pittsford Mendon        360      (05-B )
   Starpoint               365      (06-B )
   Peru                    370      (07-B )
   Wantagh                 385      (08-B )
   Somers                  395      (01-B )
   Marcellus               395      (03-B )
   Pittsford Sutherland    400      (05-B )

Holy Names gets transfer Estela Smith (as noted above in the combined section) ... that's obviously a huge plus ... Holy Names has two other top-runners profiled in the Individual Girls preview (Leah Triller and Catherine Maloy) ... Based on excellent track performance at 3000m (9:57) and 1500m (4:34), I can certainly foresee Catherine Maloy making a big step forward in XC performances compared to 2011 ... Kaylee Scott showed marked improvement in track, especially at 3000m (10:06); therefore, this could be another big step forward in XC performance for Holy Names ... Collectively, Holy Names has the potential to be one of the top teams in the nation ... But as noted many times in the past by me, "Cross Country is Not Track" ... The distances are longer, the terrain is not flat and smooth, the training can be different, and the weather might be a challenge ... Holy Names should be very good this fall (and they will get ranked nationally) ... "How good" remains to be determined.

Burnt Hills is projected second in Class B because they have very good depth and a decent potential for improvement ... Once again, one of the good Section 2 teams will stay at home during States because only the sectional winner qualifies.

North Shore (9th at NXN Nationals in 2011 despite an off-team performance at NXN) loses top national runners Samantha Nadel and Brianna Nerud ... However, North Shore still has two top runners in Jessica Donohue and Elizabeth Caldwell ... North Shore is looking for some depth at the #4 and #5-positions.

Garden City could make things interesting for North Shore in Section 8 ... Garden City is a young and improving team with some good runners.

 
                               3000    1500    Mile    Steep   XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2011
                               ----    ----    ----    -----   ---------  ----------------------------
Holy Names
  Estela Smith          10    10:14    4:47    5:04r    --         137    139 132 137 133 130 130 134 129
  Leah Triller          11    10:25    4:47     --     2:11(800)   128    128 129 111 135 118 126 120 119 118 124 119
  Catherine Maloy       12     9:57    4:34    4:58     --         123+   123 127 108 121 118 114 110 106 109
  Jacqueline Willsey    12    10:39    4:55     --     7:10        114    111 103 121 118 115 110 114 103 98 103
  Kaylee Scott          10    10:06    4:44     --     2:20(800r)  105+   101 97 105 113 106 103 101
  Kaitlin Close         10     --       --      --     2:17(800)   94     75 83 104 97 100 100 101 79 85 74
  Emily Reid            12    11:07     --      --      --         88     75 93 81 87 90 93 77 81 85
  Mackenzie Kennedy     11    11:39     --      --      --         77     36 89 91 72 68 53 56 55 61

Burnt Hills
  Dani Martino          11      --     5:05     --     2:25(800)   120    97 116 123 129 127 118
  Meagan Roecker        12    10:48    5:00     --     2:27(800)   116    115 113 116 118 123 103 106 97
  Jordan Casey          10    10:37    4:57     --      --         113    109 108 112 116 120 113 120 108 98
  Allison Fernandez     10      --      --      --      --         113    96 114 116 112 111 112
  Schuyler Pruyn        12    10:27    4:50     --     2:25(800)   107+   99 89 102 91 123 115 122 117 111
  Emily Digman          9     10:39    4:59     --      --         107    101 107 91 110 116 102 103
  Lindsay Bachus        9     10:36    5:03     --      --         104    100 106
  Josette Messere       11      --     4:51     --      --         104    98 108 108 99 89 86 64
  Anastasia Monsen      11      --     5:13     --      --         101    93 98 100 116 101 101 97 81 77
  Maya Schank           12      --      --      --      --         94     94 89 93 99 86
  Mary McGuinness       9     11:26     --      --      --         93     92 93
  Erika Frees           11      --      --      --      --         93     81 96 94 96 76 74

North Shore
  Jessica Donohue       12     9:59    4:52     --    17:28(5000)  134    126 137 133 135 128 115 119
  Elizabeth Caldwell    12    10:04    4:43     --     6:59        128    122 129 124 132 128 130 119
  Alexandra Osman       11    10:41    5:02     --      --         101+   92 95 105 102 107 96 87
  Monica Morra          9     11:08     --      --      --         100    98 86 105 99 95
  Stacie Nadel          10    11:25     --      --     7:59        82     77 81 83 83 74
  Olivia Statile        11    11:03     --      --     2:31(800)   79     76 74 71 90 78 81 65
  Katherine Doering     10    11:28    5:17     --      --         71     71
  Molly Reilly          11      --      --      --      --         62     62
  Morgan Nerud          9     11:12    5:24     --     7:35        59+    59

  
                           XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2011
                           ---------  --------------------------------
Garden City
  Stephanie Gerland     9     128       124 129 111 129 121 128 131 126
  Jennifer Gerland      10    122       105 124 115 127 121 126 126 125
  Emma Gallagher        10    103+      99 96 105 108 99
  Laurel Fisher         10    93        70 105 83 78 86 75
  Sarah Rubino          11    92        93 85 89 86 94
  Jackie O'Hare         11    66        57 69
  Katie O'Neill         11    57        41 42 32 27 78 98

East Aurora
  Marta McLaughlin      11    122       120 118 124 119 121 124 126 120 118 119
  Madeline Murray       12    104       93 96 111 113 109 104 82 103 95 91 93
  Megan Baritot         12    103       104 104 95 104 103 98 102 102 96 86 94
  Gwyn Frederick        11    93        82 98 88 86 102 91 88 86 88 77 77 86
  Rebekah Zee           11    90        80 83 94 94 95 95 78 91 74 73
  Hannah Rice           12    86        86 84 87
  Sidney Spaschak       11    86        90 79 90 74 81 78 68 71 77
  Mackenzie Donahue     12    83        77 82 65 77 94 92 81 79 82

Queensbury
  Tyra Wynn             9     109       110 106 105
  Sherri Metcalf        9     108       86 115 102 107
  Taylor Mueller        12    97        79 102 100 95 86 87 99 75
  Keara Byrne           12    96        86 89 99 92 97 97 96 102
  Megan Kellogg         11    95        78 96 92 89 108 71 96 92
  Emily Guinther        10    87        93 70 74
  Rachael Guinther      10    82        84 77 74
  Celine Dreitlein      12    80        70 66 79 85 91
  Jenny Messina         11    77        75 81 76 60 48 52 72

Nanuet
  Megan Young           12    121       98 109 127 118 126 121 130 126
  MaryKate O'Meara      11    119       113 123 120 117 122 114 114 107 112 102 100
  Lauren Fernandez      11    105       103 110 104 97 95 87 92 96
  Kristen Carbone       9     86        80 89 85 71
  Ellie Collinson       12    84        81 89 88 80 72 73 61 71
  Regina Sullivan       12    77        79 69 79 56 68 76
  Erin McGovern         12    56        56 50 51 62  
		

 
   Team                   Score   Section-Class
   ------------------     -----   -------------
   Bronxville               40      (01-C )
   Skaneateles             160      (03-C )
   Tully                   195      (03-C )
   Fonda-Fultonville       195      (02-C )
   Fredonia                200      (06-C )
   Cazenovia               210      (03-C )
   Newark Valley           210      (04-C )
   Byron-Bergen            230      (05-C )
   Leroy                   235      (05-C )
   Newfane                 250      (06-C )
   Sullivan West           260      (09-C )
   Livonia                 260      (05-C )
   CBA-Syracuse            265      (03-C )
   Rhinebeck               270      (09-C )
   Tri-Valley              280      (09-C )
   Holland Patent          280      (03-C )
   Mechanicville           290      (02-C )
   Pawling                 300      (01-C )

Bronxville beat Greenwich (by 3 points) at States last year, but Greenwich drops to Class D in 2012 ... This makes Bronxville the odds-on favorite to win Class C again.

As noted above in the combined class comments (according to rumors), Mary Cain might or might-not be running as part the Bronxville team in 2012 ... In regards to the Class C team projections, it really doesn't matter if she competes for Bronxville ... Without her, Bronxville is still 90-100 points in front of Skaneateles.

Skaneateles moves up to the number 2 spot and is favored in competitive Section 3 ... Madeline Adams showed very nice improvement during track (15th at States in the 3000m) and 8th-grader Kaitlyn Neal set a nice 3000m PR (10:54) ... In addition, Maggie Dunn is transferring to Skaneateles from neighboring Marcellus.

Tully finished 3rd at States in 2011 and 2010 (and 2nd in 2009), so my Tully bias thinks the team will rebound nicely despite losing some runners to graduation.

Lots of uncertainty in projecting most teams here ... Very little separates the groupings above ... For example, Tully, Fonda-Fultonville, Fredonia, Cazenovia and Newark Valley seems to be a "toss-up" amongst themselves ... To be determined as the season develops.

 
                               3000    1500    Mile    Steep   XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2011
                               ----    ----    ----    -----   ---------  ----------------------------
Bronxville
  Mary Cain             11     9:32    4:14    4:39    2:03(800)   151    148 148 159 145 144 151 145 146 142 144 144
  Meredith Rizzo        12    10:59    4:48     --     2:15(800)   125    124 124 126 128 126 125 116 122 114
  Courtney Campbell     11    10:18    4:47     --     2:15(800)   108    112 102 104 100 103 98 96 107 88
  Amelia Phillips       12      --      --      --     2:25(800)   100    102 91 89 102 99 90 88 104 109
  Emilie Hoffer         11    10:17    4:43     --     2:18(800r)  99     86 104 102 94 96 92 63 78 105
  Hilary Rizzo          9       --      --      --     2:19(800)   97     99 72 102 100 84 72
  Argentina Chrappa     11    10:58    5:06     --      --         92     83 71 100 96 101 84 92 100 88
  Morgan Nobels         11      --     5:03     --     7:37        92     91 97 71 83 87 76
  Delia Hayes           10    11:06    4:55     --     2:29(800)   89     90 89 64
  Nicola Phillips       9       --     4:54     --     2:23(800)   74     71 74 75
  
Skaneateles
  Madeline Adams        11    10:22    4:52     --     7:42        104+   82 106 107 99 101 105 111
  Maggie Dunn           12    11:13     --      --      --         100    68 103 100 99 107 101 105
  Morel Malcolm         11    11:35    5:18     --      --         86     86 80 87 79 87 69
  Virginia Hamlin       11    12:00    5:42     --     8:32        82     71 84 79 88 82 68
  Jennifer DeRosa       10    11:53    5:25     --      --         72     67 77 65 66 69 43
  Kaitlyn Neal          9     10:54    5:03     --      --         60++   62 62 44 34 16
  Liz Dwyer             10      --     5:18     --      --         57     56 58 56 59 57 41
  Ellis Vanslyke        12      --      --      --      --         55     59 34 54 53 22
  

                           XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2011
                           ---------  --------------------------------
Tully
  Ellen Jaworski        9     102     101 103 99 109 97 95 99 102 88 77
  Ashleigh Crawford     9     80+     80
  Christine Gambell     11    74      57 62 79 82 80 86 66 68 54
  Sophia Sheldon        9     73+     73
  Katherine Graham      10    69      55 65 78 70 69 59 60 45
  Aurelia Pellettiere   11    69      69 70 60 64 64 71 58 18
  Colleen Ward          11    59      52 45 56 46 66 80 51

Fonda-Fultonville
  Kimberly Geniti       11    106     109 108 108 109 102 86 97 93 90 91 64
  Jamie Kasza           9     102     106 102 104 102 95 96 88 90 89 85 82
  Samantha Phelps       11    88      64 101 79 88 82 58 90 67 67 61 61
  Carly Littlejohn      11    73      74 74 72 76 60 73 52 54 38 23
  Katie Wisniewski      11    66      67 59

Fredonia
  Lauren Reyda          10    124     124 121 124 124 123 120 123 126 118 118
  Michaela Tramuta      11    99      86 103 102 95 102 97 99 85 90
  Meredith Zebracki     10    78      68 79 80 81 80 65 71
  Brittany Campaign     12    72      59 75 81 56 62 65 53 51
  Maitland Langworthy   9     62      51 69 64 54 53 58 53 52 36
  Jillian Kowalski      10    56      8 63 46 53 67 70 63 44
  Cori Gullo            8     35      29 33 39 48 28 8 2 17

Newark Valley
  Jenna Cupp            12    122     122 123 117 115 122 123 117 120 110 112
  Leanne Riegel         11    90      89 93 91 91 67 58 80 80
  Rebekah Meyers        12    80      73 87 74 63 69 81 73
  Meagan Diego          9     67      48 67 74 56 40
  Taylor Cupp           10    63      48 56 68 70 59 62 71 61 51
  Moriah Teed           11    59      49 64 58 53 58 51 48 42
  Sommer Tobey          12    49      35 47 53 47 58 49 45 36

Cazenovia
  Jeanette Cudney       11    101+    95 102 97 99 103 98 105
  Megan Stanford        11    86      91 81 76 85 79 71 62
  Malone Gabor          11    81      88 78 62 72 64 68 56
  Margaret Wolsey       12    80      82 75 70 87 78 65 58
  Tori Wright           11    46      35 46 35 42 60 45 33
  Evelyn Wells          12    20      5 31 11 -1 8  
  

 
   Team                   Score   Section-Class
   ------------------     -----   -------------
   Greenwich                59      (02-D )
   Maple Grove              67      (06-D )
   Beaver River            160      (03-D )
   Red Creek               160      (05-D )
   Oakfield-Alabama        165      (05-D )
   South Lewis             165      (03-D )
   Remsen                  180      (03-D )
   Geneseo                 190      (05-D )
   Sauquoit Valley         190      (03-D )
   Sherman                 200      (06-D )
   Seton Catholic-Platt    205      (07-D )
   Berne-Knox-Westerlo     210      (02-D )
   Norwood-Norfolk         270      (10-D )
   Cooperstown             280      (03-D )
   Delhi                   300      (04-D )

This is an interesting case of how team scores are effected by "who is in the race" ... In the projected team scores for all classes combined (above), Greenwich is projected to be 130 points ahead of Maple Grove ... But in Class D projected scores, the difference is only 8 points.

Greenwich is stronger at the top-end, and that makes a big difference when teams from all classes are considered ... In Class D by itself, that strength is diminished significantly because there few runners in the 105-130 speed rating range, so Maple Grove benefits from less displacement ... And that makes the #5 runner on each team rather important.

 
                               3000    1500    Mile    Steep   XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2011
                               ----    ----    ----    -----   ---------  ----------------------------
Greenwich
  Victoria Houser       12    10:53    4:40     --     2:20(800)   131    127 130 124 132 129 130 137
  Madeline Montague     12    10:07    4:58    5:20    7:35        128    130 125 124 125 118 117 123
  Sarah Lapham          11    10:53    5:02    5:22    2:25(800)   115    107 113 117 121 116 107 112
  Tori Spiezio          9     10:43    5:03    5:22     --         109    101 107 105 116 117 98 110
  Candace Haskell       12      --      --      --     2:35(800)   65     43 67 72 55 60 65 44
  Annie Grimmke         12      --      --      --     2:32(800)   33     32 19 40 21 19

Maple Grove
  Megan Marsh           9       --     4:54     --     2:22(800)   117    117 111 116 113 115 113 125 110
  Hope Pietrocarlo      9     10:43     --      --      --         116    116 103 114 121 121 108 122 108
  Caroline Benson       11      --     4:54     --     2:23(800)   104    106 98 95 91 104 86 110 105
  Taylor Norris         11    11:08     --      --      --         86     90 73 86 86 83 74 86 67
  Emma Verdonik         11      --      --      --      --         75     75
  Stephanie Krempa      12      --      --      --     2:34(800)   60     56 55 48 68 58 59 73 61
  Abby Sirwatka         11      --      --      --      --         40     44 27 42 37 -26 10
		

 
   Team                   Score   Section-Class
   ------------------     -----   -------------
   St. Anthony's            21      (CHSAA)  
   Kellenberg               85      (CHSAA)  
   Port Richmond            85      (PSAL ) 
   Curtis                   90      (PSAL ) 
   St. John Villa          100      (CHSAA)  
   St. John Baptist        115      (CHSAA)  

 
                               3000    1500    Mile    Steep   XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2011
                               ----    ----    ----    -----   ---------  ----------------------------
  Alexandra Russo       12    10:26    4:49     --      --         114    114
  Kerri Flynn           12    10:39    5:01     --      --         114    114 114 114 114 112 104 99 108
  Molly Dearie          10    11:07    5:12    5:29     --         104    103 105
  Stephanie Leo         11    10:58    5:08     --     7:42        100    88 96 103 83 107 109 99 102 89 95
  Gina D'Angelo         11    11:13     --      --      --         100    103 96 90 90 97 103 102 97 89 96
  Shea Bohan            10    11:29     --      --      --         82     82
  Ekaterina Meringolo   11    11:52    5:21     --     8:18        80     87 52 82 80 85 30 30
  Caitlyn Skrypek       12      --      --      --      --         78     78 76
  Delaney Worth         11      --     4:47     --     2:20(800r)  77     80 75 79 49 61 53 55