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Girls - Projected Merged Team Scores - NY State Championships - 2003 |
The scores in this table consider only the 41 teams that qualified for States in 2003 ... Two Race Results were totaled using projected finish places of the 275 individual runners ... One Race used multiple seasonal races (with more weight given to recent races) ... The Second Race score was a simple totaling of JUST the sectional championship races - For some teams, there is a difference (some teams raced better at sectionals). One Note concerning Bay Shore ... there is a significant difference in Bay Shore's just-sectional score versus multiple-seasonal score ... I used Mary Liz McCurdy in the multiple-seasonal score, but she did not race at sectionals (I don't know her status) ... without her, Bay Shore's score for the multiple-seasonal score is 231. ... updated Nov 9, 2003 with Actual results |
Projected Merged Scores - NY State Championships - 2003 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Using Multiple Seasonal Races Using JUST the Sectional Race ------------------------------------ ----------------------------------- Sec- Sec- Score Class Score Class ACTUAL Results ----- ----- ----- ----- ========================== 1 Saratoga 42 02-A Saratoga 37 02-A Saratoga Springs 27 2 Argyle 83 02-D Argyle 87 02-D Argyle 120 3 Bay Shore 122 11-A Warwick 153 09-A Bayshore 176 4 Warwick 173 09-A Honeoye Falls-Lima 185 05-B Honeoye Falls-Lima 209 5 Honeoye Falls-Lima 212 05-B Bay Shore 217 11-A Warwick 217 6 Fairport 236 05-A Fairport 264 05-A Fairport 276 7 Skaneateles 305 03-C Skaneateles 288 03-C Beaver River 292 8 Cicero-North Syracuse 313 03-A Beaver River 297 03-D Cicero-N. Syracuse 323 9 Elmira Southside 317 04-B Cicero-North Syracuse 316 03-A Suffern 324 10 Beaver River 332 03-D Elmira Southside 317 04-B Elmira Southside 325 11 Orchard Park 353 06-A Orchard Park 323 06-A Orchard Park 346 12 East Aurora 365 06-B Burnt Hills 369 02-B Skaneateles 361 13 Suffern 390 01-A East Aurora 370 06-B Pearl River 383 14 Burnt Hills 413 02-B Cornwall 406 09-B East Aurora 391 15 Cornwall 452 09-B Pearl River 424 01-B Cornwall 402 16 Bronxville 459 01-D Suffern 434 01-A Burnt Hills 428 17 Pearl River 459 01-B Westhill 480 03-B Miller Place 434 18 Saranac Lake 498 07-C Bronxville 513 01-D Bronxville 492 19 Westhill 514 03-B Mepham 526 08-A Saranac Lake 511 20 Mepham 543 08-A Floral Park 552 08-B Mepham 513 21 Ithaca 561 04-A Saranac Lake 552 07-C Ithaca 538 22 Miller Place 590 11-B Miller Place 561 11-B Westhill 541 23 Floral Park 596 08-B Ithaca 561 04-A Bayport-Blue Point 554 24 Chatham 610 02-C Franklin Acad (Malone) 572 10-B Chatham 573 25 Franklin Acad (Malone) 619 10-B Chatham 598 02-C Franklin Academy 618 26 Sullivan West 629 09-C Thomas Edison (Elmira) 626 04-D Sullivan West 634 27 Bayport-BluePt 647 11-C Bayport-BluePt 658 11-C Thomas A. Edison 656 28 Thomas Edison (Elmira) 668 04-D Sullivan West 662 09-C Attica 795 29 Millbrook 840 09-D Millbrook 804 09-D Lansing 801 30 Lansing 869 04-C Lansing 851 04-C Floral Park 830 31 Randolph 893 06-D Attica 859 05-C Randolph 884 32 Albertus Magnus 913 01-C Peru 880 07-B Peru 898 33 Attica 929 05-C Seton Catholic 943 07-D Notre Dame Batavia 905 34 Newfane 949 06-C Newfane 958 06-C Newfane 933 35 Peru 967 07-B Randolph 962 06-D Millbrook 953 36 Seton Catholic 969 07-D Notre Dame-Batavia 964 05-D Seton Catholic 997 37 Notre Dame-Batavia 1014 05-D Albertus Magnus 983 01-C Carle Place 1077 38 Norwood-Norfolk 1037 10-D Norwood-Norfolk 999 10-D Albertus Magnus 1121 39 Carle Place 1054 08-C Carle Place 1035 08-C Norwood-Norfolk 1166 40 East Aurora 1106 06-B East Rockaway 1160 08-D Shelter Island 1258 41 Shelter Island 1179 11-D Shelter Island 1182 11-D East Rockaway 1316 |
Post Race ...
Overall, I'm reasonably pleased with these projections ...
as expected, some teams ran very well and a few did not ... I know some
scores were affected by the use of substitute runners, plus a couple
of injuries occurred during the races and some illness (but these problems
affect all teams at one time or another ... it's unfortunate when it
happens at States). |
Girls - Projected Team Scores - Both State Qualifiers & Other Top Teams |
The scores in this table consider the 41 teams that qualified for States in 2003, PLUS other top teams ... Two Race Results were totaled using projected finish places of the 500+ individual runners ... One Race used multiple seasonal races (with more weight given to recent races) ... The Second Race score was a simple totaling of JUST the sectional championship races. One Note concerning Bay Shore ... there is a significant difference in Bay Shore's just-sectional score versus multiple-seasonal score ... I used Mary Liz McCurdy in the multiple-seasonal score, but she did not race at sectionals (I don't know her status).
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Team Scores - Combined Teams (Both State Qualifiers & Other Top Teams) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Using Multiple Seasonal Races Using JUST the Sectional Race ------------------------------------- ------------------------------------ Sec- Sec- Score Class Score Class ----- ----- ----- ----- 1 Saratoga 65 02-A Saratoga 60 02-A 2 Argyle 149 02-D Argyle 151 02-D 3 Bay Shore 216 11-A Warwick 297 09-A 4 Bethlehem 305 02-A Bethlehem 298 02-A 5 Warwick 346 09-A Niskayuna 331 02-A 6 Niskayuna 358 02-A Honeoye Falls-Lima 366 05-B 7 Columbia 395 02-A Monroe-Woodbury 375 09-A 8 Monroe-Woodbury 416 09-A Columbia 390 02-A 9 Honeoye Falls-Lima 436 05-B Bay Shore 413 11-A 10 Shenendehowa 458 02-A Shenendehowa 434 02-A 11 Ward Melville 469 11-A Ward Melville 484 11-A 12 Fairport 478 05-A Fairport 510 05-A 13 Colonie 565 02-A Skaneateles 572 03-C 14 Shaker 607 02-A Beaver River 587 03-D 15 Skaneateles 617 03-C Washingtonville 591 09-A 16 Washingtonville 632 09-A Colonie 607 02-A 17 Liverpool 649 03-A Liverpool 631 03-A 18 Cicero-North Syracuse 650 03-A Cicero-North Syracuse 633 03-A 19 Elmira Southside 658 04-B Orchard Park 639 06-A 20 Beaver River 680 03-D Elmira Southside 640 04-B 21 Fayetteville-Manlius 689 03-A Shaker 648 02-A 22 Orchard Park 706 06-A East Aurora 747 06-B 23 Clarence 715 06-A Lancaster 748 06-A 24 East Aurora 768 06-B Burnt Hills 753 02-B 25 Suffern 802 01-A Fayetteville-Manlius 796 03-A 26 Northport 807 11-A Clarence 799 06-A 27 Lancaster 812 06-A Northport 800 11-A 28 Burnt Hills 866 02-B Cornwall 804 09-B 29 Cornwall 904 09-B Pearl River 851 01-B 30 Averill Park 907 02-B Suffern 869 01-A 31 Pearl River 955 01-B Holy Names 947 02-B 32 Bronxville 962 01-D Averill Park 962 02-B 33 Saranac Lake 1042 07-C Queensbury 964 02-B 34 West Genesee 1053 03-A Westhill 967 03-B 35 Queensbury 1060 02-B South Jefferson 1012 03-C 36 Penfield 1066 05-A Bronxville 1018 01-D 37 Westhill 1066 03-B West Genesee 1041 03-A 38 Rocky Point 1073 11-B Mepham 1047 08-A 39 Holy Names 1075 02-B Floral Park 1090 08-B 40 Mepham 1134 08-A Saranac Lake 1098 07-C 41 South Jefferson 1154 03-C Rocky Point 1107 11-B 42 Ithaca 1165 04-A Ithaca 1110 04-A 43 Rhinebeck 1174 09-D Miller Place 1114 11-B 44 Canastota 1184 03-C Franklin Acad 1145 10-B 45 Tappan Zee 1218 01-B East Meadow 1148 08-A 46 Miller Place 1234 11-B Chatham 1154 02-C 47 Floral Park 1241 08-B Newark 1199 05-B 48 Chatham 1264 02-C Vernon-Verona-Sher 1203 03-B 49 Franklin Acad 1272 10-B Thomas Edison 1223 04-D 50 John Jay EF 1279 01-A Tappan Zee 1291 01-B 51 East Meadow 1296 08-A Bayport-BluePt 1307 11-C 52 Sullivan West 1296 09-C Sullivan West 1312 09-C 53 Onteora 1300 09-C Seton Catholic-4 1344 04-D 54 Newark 1312 05-B Canastota 1363 03-C 55 Bayport-BluePt 1323 11-C Onteora 1380 09-C 56 Thomas Edison 1353 04-D Broadalbin-Perth 1403 02-C 57 Vernon-Verona-Sherrill 1387 03-B Rhinebeck 1449 09-D 58 Seton Catholic (Sec 4) 1393 04-D Sauquoit Valley 1481 03-C 59 Corning 1395 04-A Tully 1558 03-D 60 Broadalbin-Perth 1455 02-C Millbrook 1583 09-D 61 Sauquoit Valley 1571 03-C Phoenix 1597 03-B 62 Phoenix 1594 03-B Canton 1634 10-B 63 Tully 1642 03-D Lansing 1641 04-C 64 Millbrook 1763 09-D Saranac 1650 07-C 65 Lansing 1787 04-C Attica 1681 05-C 66 Pulaski 1807 03-D Pulaski 1712 03-D 67 Canton 1815 10-B Peru 1729 07-B 68 Randolph 1860 06-D Seton Catholic-7 1819 07-D 69 Albertus Magnus 1913 01-C Notre D-Batavia 1855 05-D 70 Saranac 1931 07-C Newfane 1859 06-C 71 Attica 1936 05-C Randolph 1868 06-D 72 Newfane 1966 06-C Albertus Magnus 1876 01-C 73 Seton Catholic (Sec 7) 2012 07-D Norwood-Norfolk 1907 10-D 74 Peru 2021 07-B Carle Place 1922 08-C 75 Notre D-Batavia 2071 05-D East Rockaway 2181 08-D 76 Carle Place 2090 08-C Shelter Island 2234 11-D 77 Norwood-Norfolk 2130 10-D 78 Shelter Island 2383 11-D 79 East Rockaway 2419 08-D |