Footlocker North-East - 2003 Preview |
... Updated Nov. 30, 2003 ... Actual Times & Places
... Updated Nov. 25, 2003 ... (projected times modified due weather forecast)
Boys Footlocker NE Preview ... |
Lopez Lomong (Tully) NY Federation Champion | Dominic Luka (Tully) 2nd at NY Feds, won the Brown Univ Invite | Hakon DeVries (John Jay EF) qualified last year ... coming off an injury | Kevin Tschirhart (Northport) 4th at NY Feds, qualified last year | Kyle Heath (Victor, with hair) 3rd at NY Feds | Josh McDougal (Home-School NY) enters as fastest runner |
Ian Gottesfeld (Henderson PA) qualified last year | Victor Gras (Belmont MA) qualified last year - running great this year | Ben True (Greely ME) qualified last year - good again this year | Ahmed Haji (Conard CT) Somalia civil war refugee, New England Champion, qualified last year | Gavin Coombs (Griswold CT) beat Ahmed Haji at CT Open | Mohamed Khadraoui (JFK- Paterson) NJ Meet of Champions winner |
The table below lists some past performances for some of the top contenders in the Footlocker NE race (to be run Nov 29, 2003) ... the table separates runners by state ... I am unable to derive speed ratings for many of the out-of state races because I do not have enough information (and I am not interested in spending the time to get the needed information) ... however, I have some speed ratings for most out-of-state runners that indicates their relative speed ... This should be a very good race ... Six Footlocker qualifiers from last year return ... and face a seroius challenge from other top runners. New York enters a strong group of runners ... Hakon DeVries (John Jay EF) and Kevin Tschirhart (Northport) both qualified last year - Hakon Devries is coming off a foot injury - he finished 2nd at NY States (Class A) and skipped the Federation Meet to prepare for Footlockers - Kevin Tschirhart finished 4th at Federations ... Josh McDougal (Home-Schooled, Peru, NY) just broke the Van Cortlandt Park high school record for 5K (15:08) and enters Footlockers with the highest individual speed rating of any runner - he finished 9th at last year's Footlocker NE ... Lopez Lomong (Tully) and Dominic Luka (Tully) are Sudanese runners who came to the US after spending years in Kenyan refugee camps ... Lopez Lomong is the NY Federation Champion (2nd fastest time ever at Bowdoin Park) - Lopez won every race this year except the Brown University Invite (finished 2nd to team mate Dominic Luka after straining a hamstring in the final 800 meters ... would have won in the high 14:40s) - Lomong is stronger this year ... Dominic Luka has run very well despite a sore knee - he set the course record at Brown (15:02) and finished 2nd at Federations ... New York has some other contending runners including Kyle Heath (Victor) - 3rd at Federations and State Class B Champion, Bryan Buchanan (Cicero-North Syracuse) - State Class A Champion, was unfortunately sick at Federations, and Jacob Gurzler (Shenendehowa) - 5th at Federations and usual top runner for the highly ranked (and Federation Champion) Shenendehowa team. Out-of State Contenders ... Ahmed Haji (Conard CT) is the New England Champion and a returning Footlocker qualifier - Haji has run some very good speed ratings - he was beaten by Victor Gras at Manhattan and by Gavin Coombs at Connecticut Opens, but remains a solid contender to qualify again ... Gavin Coombs (Griswold CT) was 3rd at the New England Championships (behind Amhed Haji and Ben True) and 3rd at the Great American - Coombs beat Haji twice (CT Open and Windham Invite), but Haji's margin of victory at the New England Championships (22.6 seconds) was convincing - Coombs has the speed and ability to qualify. Benjamin True (Greely Maine) was a decent 2nd to Ahmed Haji at the New England Championships - Ben True has run some consistently fast times (setting several course records in the process) and is another solid contender to qualify again ... Eric Giddings (South Portland ME) also appears to be a contender (4th at the New England Championships) ... Cory Thorne (Portsmouth NH) was 5th at the New England Championships Note: Massachusetts does not compete in the New England Championships. Victor Gras (Belmont MA) is having another outstanding season - had the fastest winning time at the Manhattan Invite (12:17, although some timers clocked him at 12:15) and posted some fast times in Massachusetts championship races - Gras was 4th at the Great American (behind Gavin Coombs) - a solid contender to qualify again ... other Massachusetts contenders include Keith Gill (Brockton), Chris Barnicle (Newton North) and Khalid Abdi (Brockton) - Keith Gill (Brockton) finished 3rd at the Brown Univ. Invite (behind Dominic Luka and Lopez Lomong). Pennsylvania has at least four serious contenders ... team mates Ian Gottesfeld and Chris Williams led the WC Henderson team - Ian Gottesfeld was 6th at the Great American ROC and qualified for Footlockers last year coming off similar speed ratings ... Chris Spooner (Lewisburg PA) has run well all season (finished 3rd in the Mid-East Regional Meet) ... Steve Hallinan (Cardinal O'Hara PA) has also run well (finished 4th in the Mid-East Regional Meet). New Jersey has several serious contenders including Mohamed Khadraoui (JFK- Paterson), Chris Pannone (Hunterdon), Gregory Hughes (Mainland) and Justin Scheid (Pope John) ... Mohamed Khadraoui and Justin Scheid were both undefeated entering the New Jersey Meet of Champions which was won by Khadraoui ... Mohamed Khadraoui (JFK- Paterson) came to the US from Morocco in June 2000 (speaking no English) - his winning time at the Meet of Champions (15:22) is the 2nd fastest time ever at Holmdel Park ... Projection ... The quality of the Boys Seeded Race is very high and very deep ... All twelve of the guys in the photos above are capable of qualifying as are a number of other runners ... Going into the race, several runners seem to be favorites to qualify - Mohamed Khadraoui, Victor Gras, Ahmed Haji, Ben True, Josh McDougal and Lopez Lomong ... add Hakon DeVries if he's 100% ... But the other runners profiled here are very close and capable of qualifying ... A huge group of runners were tightly positioned at the mile mark in last year's race ... I expect the same this year ... How these runners react to the close competition will likely be more important in determining the qualifiers than their speed (as reflected by my speed ratings) ... but based on ratings alone, here is the projection (which uses more than just their best rating) and possible finishing time ... don't put too much faith in the project time itself (varies with course conditions), but rather the time difference between runners: |
... Nov 25 update - times adjusted upwards by 9 seconds due to weather forecast of wind & cold. ACTUAL Projected Time Place & Time ============== ============= Josh McDougal 12 Home-School NY 15:27 4 - 15:28.6 Lopez Lomong 12 Tully NY 15:30 6 - 15:30.0 Mohamed Khadraoui 11 JFK-Paterson NJ 15:30 9 - 15:35.1 Victor Gras 12 Belmont MA 15:30 2 - 15:25.1 Ahmed Haji 12 Conard CT 15:33 8 - 15:30.9 Ben True 12 Greely ME 15:33 1 - 15:22.8 Dominic Luka 12 Tully NY 15:36 18 - 16:04.9 Gavin Coombs 12 Griswold CT 15:39 3 - 15:27.9 Hakon DeVries 12 John Jay EF NY 15:42 24 - 16:08.3 Kyle Heath 12 Victor NY 15:42 11 - 15:44.7 Kevin Tschirhart 11 Northport NY 15:42 29 - 16:13.7 Keith Gill 12 Brockton MA 15:45 31 - 16:21.5 Chris Barnicle 11 Newton North MA 15:45 10 - 15:42.1 Gregory Hughes 12 Mainland NJ 15:48 17 - 16:04.1 Bryan Buchanan 12 Cicero-NS NY 15:51 60 - 16:43.9 Ian Gottesfeld 12 WC Henderson PA 15:51 19 - 16:05.2 Khalid Abdi 12 Brockton MA 15:51 14 - 15:59.1 Christopher Pannone 12 Hunterdon NJ 15:54 26 - 16:11.8 Justin Scheid 12 Pope John NJ 15:54 87 - 16:59.7 Steve Hallinan 12 Cardinal O'Hara PA 15:54 25 - 16:11.3 Chris Spooner 12 Lewisburg PA 15:54 49 - 16:35.4 Greg Williams 12 WC Henderson PA 15:54 ------------ Jacob Gurzler 12 Shenendehowa NY 15:54 73 - 16:52.4 Cory Thorne 11 Portsmouth NH 15:57 5 - 15:29.7 Eric Giddings 11 So Portland ME 15:57 20 - 16:05.6 Jordan McDougal 11 Home-School NY 16:00 23 - 16:07.9 David Metzger 12 Ellington CT 16:03 44 - 16:31.0 |
Speed Name Grade Sect School Race Date Place Time Rating New York Josh McDougal 12 --- Home-School NYRR XC (VCP-5K) 11/16/2003 1 15:08 204 Josh McDougal 12 --- Home-School JO Adirondack-YM 11/9/2003 1 15:04.0 197 Josh McDougal 12 --- Home-School USATF Adiron XC5K 10/19/2003 1 15:02.0 195 Josh McDougal 12 --- Home-School Dartmouth XC-8K 9/13/2003 2 25:16.0 --- Josh McDougal 12 --- Home-School Run for Jon 2.5 Miler 8/24/2003 1 11:48.0 --- Josh McDougal 11 --- Home-School Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 9 15:51.0 195 Lopez Lomong 12 03-D Tully Federation Champ 11/15/2003 1 15:45.3 201 Lopez Lomong 12 03-D Tully NY States-Class D 11/8/2003 1 16:27.7 193 Lopez Lomong 12 03-D Tully Section 3-Class D 11/1/2003 1 15:52.6 196 Lopez Lomong 12 03-D Tully OHSL Championship 10/25/2003 1 15:38.9 199 Lopez Lomong 12 03-D Tully Brown Univ-Champ 10/18/2003 2 15:16.0 192 Lopez Lomong 12 03-D Tully Marathon Invite 10/11/2003 1 15:49.1 199 Lopez Lomong 12 03-D Tully Baldwinsville-CD 10/4/2003 1 15:15.0 190 Lopez Lomong 12 03-D Tully Tully Invite-C/D 9/27/2003 1 15:34.7 197 Lopez Lomong 12 03-D Tully Auburn Inv-CD 9/20/2003 1 15:39.0 196 Lopez Lomong 12 03-D Tully Cato Inv-Small 9/13/2003 1 15:47.5 197 Lopez Lomong 12 03-D Tully New Hartford Inv 9/6/2003 1 17:34.8 189 Lopez Lomong 11 03-D Tully Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 31 16:19.0 186 Dominic Luka 12 03-D Tully Federation Champ 11/15/2003 2 15:52.3 199 Dominic Luka 12 03-D Tully NY States-Class D 11/8/2003 2 16:40.1 189 Dominic Luka 12 03-D Tully Section 3-Class D 11/1/2003 2 16:22.3 187 Dominic Luka 12 03-D Tully OHSL Championship 10/25/2003 2 15:55.5 194 Dominic Luka 12 03-D Tully Brown Univ-Champ 10/18/2003 1 15:02.3 196 Dominic Luka 12 03-D Tully Marathon Invite 10/11/2003 2 16:25.5 187 Dominic Luka 12 03-D Tully Baldwinsville-CD 10/4/2003 2 15:27.0 186 Dominic Luka 12 03-D Tully Tully Invite-C/D 9/27/2003 2 16:10.8 185 Dominic Luka 12 03-D Tully Auburn Inv-CD 9/20/2003 2 16:35.0 177 Dominic Luka 12 03-D Tully Cato Inv-Small 9/13/2003 2 16:14.0 189 Dominic Luka 12 03-D Tully New Hartford Inv 9/6/2003 2 17:51.3 184 Dominic Luka 11 03-D Tully Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 16 16:03.0 191 Hakon DeVries 12 01-A John Jay EF NY States-Class A 11/8/2003 2 16:33.0 191 Hakon DeVries 12 01-A John Jay EF Section 1-Class A 10/31/2003 1 16:45.0 188 Hakon DeVries 12 01-A John Jay EF Wildcat Inv-Sd-I 9/20/2003 1 15:54.0 195 Hakon DeVries 11 01-A John Jay EF Footlocker Finals 12/14/2002 20 15:32.2 195 Hakon DeVries 11 01-A John Jay EF Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 2 15:34.0 201 Hakon DeVries 11 01-A John Jay EF Federation Champ 11/16/2002 2 16:13.3 198 Hakon DeVries 11 01-A John Jay EF NY States-Class A 11/9/2002 1 16:02.2 196 Kevin Tschirhart 11 11-A Northport Federation Champ 11/15/2003 4 16:01.0 196 Kevin Tschirhart 11 11-A Northport NY States-Class A 11/8/2003 6 16:42.7 188 Kevin Tschirhart 11 11-A Northport Section 11-Class A 10/31/2003 1 16:22.2 191 Kevin Tschirhart 11 11-A Northport Suffolk Co Champ 10/25/2003 1 16:10.8 193 Kevin Tschirhart 11 11-A Northport Brown Univ-Champ 10/18/2003 7 15:38.0 184 Kevin Tschirhart 11 11-A Northport Manhattan Var-D 10/11/2003 1 12:45.5 188 Kevin Tschirhart 11 11-A Northport Suffolk PAL - A 9/25/2003 1 15:22.0 176 Kevin Tschirhart 11 11-A Northport Suffolk Coaches-B 9/20/2003 1 17:07.9 176 Kevin Tschirhart 10 11-A Northport Footlocker Finals 12/14/2002 29 15:58.9 186 Kevin Tschirhart 10 11-A Northport Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 4 15:37.0 200 Kyle Heath 12 05-B Victor Federation Champ 11/15/2003 3 16:00.2 196 Kyle Heath 12 05-B Victor NY States-Class B 11/8/2003 1 16:30.0 192 Kyle Heath 12 05-B Victor Section 5-Class B 11/1/2003 1 16:08.7 195 Kyle Heath 12 05-B Victor Seneca Invitational 10/11/2003 1 16:03.0 183 Kyle Heath 12 05-B Victor McQuaid-Sd-AAA 9/27/2003 2 14:50.4 195 Kyle Heath 12 05-B Victor Wildcat Inv-Sd-I 9/20/2003 2 15:56.0 194 Kyle Heath 12 05-B Victor Fairport Invite-1 9/13/2003 1 16:26.0 185 Kyle Heath 11 05-B Victor Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 14 15:58.0 193 Bryan Buchanan 12 03-A Cicero-NS Federation Champ 11/15/2003 47 17:08.2 173 Bryan Buchanan 12 03-A Cicero-NS NY States-Class A 11/8/2003 1 16:25.4 194 Bryan Buchanan 12 03-A Cicero-NS Section 3-Class A 11/1/2003 1 16:21.2 187 Bryan Buchanan 12 03-A Cicero-NS OHSL Championship 10/25/2003 3 16:06.6 190 Bryan Buchanan 12 03-A Cicero-NS Chittenango Inv-1 10/18/2003 1 15:58.2 192 Bryan Buchanan 12 03-A Cicero-NS Manhattan Var-C 10/11/2003 1 12:37.0 191 Bryan Buchanan 12 03-A Cicero-NS Central Sq Inv 10/4/2003 1 16:43.2 186 Bryan Buchanan 12 03-A Cicero-NS EJ Hermann Inv-A 9/27/2003 1 15:53.7 189 Bryan Buchanan 12 03-A Cicero-NS ESM Invite - A 9/20/2003 1 15:36.9 189 Bryan Buchanan 12 03-A Cicero-NS Cato Inv-Large 9/13/2003 1 16:18.7 187 Bryan Buchanan 12 03-A Cicero-NS Syr City Sch Inv 9/6/2003 1 16:23.0 184 Jordan McDougal 11 --- Home-School NYRR XC (VCP-5K) 11/16/2003 2 15:48.0 191 Jordan McDougal 11 --- Home-School JO Adirondack-IM 11/9/2003 1 15:40.0 185 Jordan McDougal 11 --- Home-School USATF Adiron XC5K 10/19/2003 2 15:27.0 187 Jordan McDougal 11 --- Home-School Syr Fest Races-5K 10/5/2003 18 15:44.0 180 Jordan McDougal 11 --- Home-School Dartmouth XC-8K 9/13/2003 6 25:42.5 --- Jordan McDougal 11 --- Home-School Run for Jon 2.5 Miler 8/24/2003 2 11:58.0 --- Jordan McDougal 10 --- Home-School Jr Olymp Finals-IM 12/14/2002 3 16:36.7 --- Jordan McDougal 10 --- Home-School Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 92 16:59.0 172 Jacob Gurzler 12 02-A Shenendehowa Federation Champ 11/15/2003 5 16:11.9 192 Jacob Gurzler 12 02-A Shenendehowa NY States-Class A 11/8/2003 11 16:52.3 185 Jacob Gurzler 12 02-A Shenendehowa Section 2-Class A 10/31/2003 3 15:20.0 187 Jacob Gurzler 12 02-A Shenendehowa Suburban Council 10/25/2003 1 15:09.8 191 Jacob Gurzler 12 02-A Shenendehowa Manhattan Var-A 10/11/2003 2 12:37.6 191 Jacob Gurzler 12 02-A Shenendehowa Grout Invite-I 10/4/2003 1 13:38.83 181 Jacob Gurzler 12 02-A Shenendehowa Great Amer-ROC 9/27/2003 8 16:03.4 188 Jacob Gurzler 12 02-A Shenendehowa Shaker Invite 9/13/2003 1 15:28.0 183 Jacob Gurzler 11 02-A Shenendehowa Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 29 16:17.0 186 Maine Ben True 12 Greely New England Champ 11/8/2003 2 15:22.3 198 Ben True 12 Greely Maine St Champ B 11/1/2003 1 15:50.1 199 Ben True 12 Greely W. Maine Class B 10/25/2003 1 15:45.0 --- Ben True 12 Greely Manchester NH Inv 9/27/2003 1 15:17.0 201 Ben True 12 Greely Mt Washington NH 9/6/2003 1 15:55.0 199 Ben True 11 Greely Footlocker Finals 12/14/2002 9 15:16.1 201 Ben True 11 Greely Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 5 15:37.0 200 Eric Giddings 11 So Portland New England Champ 11/8/2003 4 15:43.4 192 Eric Giddings 11 So Portland Maine St Champ A 11/1/2003 1 16:24.4 188 Eric Giddings 11 So Portland Manchester NH Inv 9/27/2003 3 15:52.0 190 Connecticut Ahmed Haji 12 Conard New England Champ 11/8/2003 1 15:18.4 199 Ahmed Haji 12 Conard CIAC Boys Open 10/31/2003 2 15:22.0 196 Ahmed Haji 12 Conard CIAC Class L 10/25/2003 1 15:20.0 197 Ahmed Haji 12 Conard CCC West Champ 10/17/2003 1 16:08.0 --- Ahmed Haji 12 Conard Manhattan Inv-B 10/11/2003 2 12:23.4 196 Ahmed Haji 12 Conard Hartford-Charter 10/4/2003 1 15:28.1 198 Ahmed Haji 12 Conard Windham Inv-V2 9/13/2003 2 15:18.6 193 Ahmed Haji 11 Conard Footlocker Finals 12/14/2002 8 15:15.3 201 Ahmed Haji 11 Conard Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 7 15:40.0 199 Ahmed Haji 11 Conard New England Champ 11/9/2002 1 15:16.7 196 Gavin Coombs 12 Griswold New England Champ 11/8/2003 3 15:41.0 192 Gavin Coombs 12 Griswold CIAC Boys Open 10/31/2003 1 15:21.0 196 Gavin Coombs 12 Griswold CIAC Class SS 10/25/2003 1 15:46.0 188 Gavin Coombs 12 Griswold ECC Champ 10/16/2003 1 15:52.9 --- Gavin Coombs 12 Griswold Hartford-Open 10/4/2003 1 16:02.1 187 Gavin Coombs 12 Griswold Great Amer-Seeded 9/27/2003 3 15:39.5 196 Gavin Coombs 12 Griswold Windham Inv-V2 9/13/2003 1 15:01.6 198 Gavin Coombs 12 Griswold Bethel Invite 9/20/2003 1 15:26.0 --- Gavin Coombs 11 Griswold Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 18 16:09.0 189 David Metzger 12 Ellington New England Champ 11/8/2003 6 15:51.0 189 David Metzger 12 Ellington CIAC Boys Open 10/31/2003 3 15:55.0 185 David Metzger 12 Ellington CIAC Class SS 10/25/2003 2 15:59.0 184 New Jersey Mohamed Khadraoui 11 JFK-Paterson NJ Meet of Champ 11/22/2003 1 15:22.0 201 Mohamed Khadraoui 11 JFK-Paterson NJ Group Champ 11/15/2003 1 15:38.1 196 Mohamed Khadraoui 11 JFK-Paterson NJSIAA-North-IV 11/8/2003 1 15:58.0 --- Mohamed Khadraoui 11 JFK-Paterson Garrett Mountain 10/3/2003 1 15:15.5 198 Mohamed Khadraoui 11 JFK-Paterson Passiac Coach-IV 9/27/2003 1 15:34.6 196 Mohamed Khadraoui 11 JFK-Paterson NNJIL Multi Dual 9/16/2003 1 17:06.0 --- Christopher Pannone 12 Hunterdon NJ Meet of Champ 11/22/2003 5 15:52.0 191 Christopher Pannone 12 Hunterdon NJ Group Champ 11/15/2003 2 15:46.1 193 Christopher Pannone 12 Hunterdon NJSIAA-Cent-IV 11/8/2003 1 16:20.8 --- Christopher Pannone 12 Hunterdon Shore Coaches Inv 10/4/2003 3 15:53.5 189 Christopher Pannone 11 Hunterdon Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 15 16:00.0 192 Christopher Pannone 11 Hunterdon NJ Meet of Champ 11/23/2002 4 15:58.6 193 Gregory Hughes 12 Mainland NJ NJ Meet of Champ 11/22/2003 2 15:39.0 195 Gregory Hughes 12 Mainland NJ NJ Group Champ 11/15/2003 3 15:48.1 192 Gregory Hughes 12 Mainland NJ NJSIAA-South-IV 11/8/200 3 1 15:22.0 --- Gregory Hughes 12 Mainland NJ Shore Coaches Inv 10/4/2003 4 16:02.5 186 Justin Scheid 12 Pope John XXIII NJ Meet of Champ 11/22/2003 3 15:48.0 192 Justin Scheid 12 Pope John XXIII NJ Parochial A 11/15/2003 1 15:53.1 190 Justin Scheid 12 Pope John XXIII NJCTC Champion 11/8/2003 1 16:08.5 192 Justin Scheid 12 Pope John XXIII Shore Coaches Inv 10/4/2003 5 16:07.9 184 Justin Scheid 12 Pope John XXIII Manhattan Inv-B 10/11/2003 1 12:40.6 190 Justin Scheid 11 Pope John XXIII Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 10 15:52.0 195 Massachusetts Victor Gras 12 Belmont Mass All-State-D1 11/15/2002 1 15:52.4 199 Victor Gras 12 Belmont Mass E-Division II 11/8/2003 1 15:16.2 199 Victor Gras 12 Belmont Manhattan Inv-B 10/11/2003 1 12:17.1 198 Victor Gras 12 Belmont Great Amer-Seeded 9/27/2003 4 15:43.8 194 Victor Gras 11 Belmont Footlocker Finals 12/14/2002 28 15:55.8 187 Victor Gras 11 Belmont Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 8 15:48.0 196 Keith Gill 12 Brockton Mass All-State-D1 11/15/2002 2 16:02.5 195 Keith Gill 12 Brockton Mass E-Division I 11/8/2003 3 15:47.0 188 Keith Gill 12 Brockton Brown Univ-Champ 10/18/2003 3 15:19.0 191 Chris Barnicle 11 Newton North Mass All-State-D1 11/15/2002 3 16:03.6 195 Chris Barnicle 11 Newton North Mass E-Division I 11/8/2003 1 15:36.5 192 Khalid Abdi 12 Brockton Mass All-State-D1 11/15/2002 4 16:06.9 194 Khalid Abdi 12 Brockton Mass E-Division I 11/8/2003 2 15:43.8 189 Pennsylvania Ian Gottesfeld 12 WC Henderson Penn IAA-States-AAA 11/1/2003 2 15:59.0 188 Ian Gottesfeld 12 WC Henderson Penn IAA-Dist I 10/24/2003 1 15:27.0 189 Ian Gottesfeld 12 WC Henderson Ches-Mont League 10/15/2003 2 16:58.0 --- Ian Gottesfeld 12 WC Henderson Great Amer-ROC 9/27/2003 6 15:59.1 189 Ian Gottesfeld 12 WC Henderson Briarwood Invite 9/20/2003 2 15:47.0 190 Ian Gottesfeld 11 WC Henderson Footlocker Finals 12/14/2002 21 15:33.8 195 Ian Gottesfeld 11 WC Henderson Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 6 15:38.0 199 Greg Williams 12 WC Henderson Penn IAA-States-AAA 11/1/2003 15 16:38.0 175 Greg Williams 12 WC Henderson Penn IAA-Dist I 10/24/2003 2 15:27.0 189 Greg Williams 12 WC Henderson Ches-Mont League 10/15/2003 1 16:56.0 --- Greg Williams 12 WC Henderson Great Amer-ROC 9/27/2003 2 15:49.7 192 Greg Williams 12 WC Henderson Briarwood Invite 9/20/2003 3 15:47.3 190 Chris Spooner 12 Lewisburg Mid-East Regional 11/15/2003 3 15:39.8 192 Chris Spooner 12 Lewisburg Penn IAA-States-AA 11/1/2003 2 16:04.0 186 Chris Spooner 12 Lewisburg Penn IAA-Dist IV-AA 10/23/2003 1 16:01.0 --- Chris Spooner 12 Lewisburg Great Amer-Seeded 9/27/2003 7 15:51.9 192 Chris Spooner 12 Lewisburg NE PA XC Invite 9/20/2003 1 16:14.0 192 Chris Spooner 12 Lewisburg Big Valley Invite 8/30/2003 1 15:54.0 --- Chris Spooner 11 Lewisburg Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 67 16:44.0 177 Steve Hallinan 12 Cardinal O'Hara Mid-East Regional 11/152003 4 15:42.1 191 Steve Hallinan 12 Cardinal O'Hara PCL Championship 11/2/2003 1 15:43.0 192 Steve Hallinan 12 Cardinal O'Hara PCL South Champ 10/22/2003 1 15:49.0 --- Steve Hallinan 12 Cardinal O'Hara Delaware Co Champ 10/11/2003 1 15:32.0 --- Steve Hallinan 12 Cardinal O'Hara Steel City Invite 10/4/2003 2 15:34.9 --- Steve Hallinan 12 Cardinal O'Hara Briarwood Invite 9/20/2003 1 15:42.0 192 New Hampshire Cory Thorne 11 Portsmouth New England Champ 11/8/2003 5 15:44.8 191 Cory Thorne 11 Portsmouth NH State Champ 11/1/2003 1 15:53.0 189 |
Girls Footlocker NE Preview |
Nicole Blood (Saratoga) is the race favorite. | Lindsay Donaldson (Lincoln-Sudbury MA) challenged Nicole Blood at the Brown Invite and only lost by 2 seconds ... Lindsay was a soccer player until her senior year. | Lindsey Scherf (NY) is a senior at Scarsdale HS, but runs for the Westchester Track Club ... she has been running very well. | Caitlin McTague (Niskayuna) finished 3rd at Nationals last year | Brittney Criscuolo (East Meadow) has been running well ... skipped NY Feds to prepare for Footlockers. | Laura Cummings (Bay Shore) finished 4th at Nationals last year |
The table below lists some past performances for some of the top contenders in the Footlocker NE race (to be run Nov 29, 2003) ... the table separates runners by state ... I am unable to derive speed ratings for many of the out-of state races because I do not have enough information (and I am not interested in spending the time to get the needed information) ... however, I have some speed ratings for most out-of-state runners that indicates their relative speed ... I approximated most out-of-state speed ratings rather quickly, so the accuracy is not nearly as certain as for the NY runners ... however, I think they're in the right ballpark. New York has an exceptional strong field of runners ... Nicole Blood (Saratoga) has won everything this year including the Great American and NY Federation Championship and enters as the race favorite ... Caitlin McTague (Niskayuna) and Laura Cummings (Bay Shore) qualified and finished 3rd and 4th at Nationals last year - both are capable of qualifying again, but the competition is stiff ... Aislinn Ryan (Warwick) has been very good all year, including 2nd at NY Feds and 2nd at Great American ... Lindsey Scherf (Westchester Track Club) has already run fast times at Van Cortlandt Park (17:50, 17:54) and is a strong contender to qualify ... Brittney Criscuolo (East Meadow) was 3rd at States (Class A) and has run good VCP times this season (18:13, 18:14) ... Nichole Lister (South Jefferson) and Brittany Crawford (Fayetteville-Manlius) have both been running fast enough to contend, as has Lindsey Ferguson (Saratoga) ... So New York has at least nine legitimate contenders. Out-of-State Contenders ... The top contender is Lindsay Donaldson (Lincoln-Sudbury MA) - she decided to run cross country for the first time as a senior (after playing on a good soccer team) - Lindsay has won every race except as 2 second loss to Nicole Blood at the Brown Univ. Invite - her speed rating at Brown (158) is convincing because many other NY girls raced at Brown that day - Lindsay Donaldson appears to be a solid favorite to qualify. Andrea Walkonen (Conant NH) is the New Hampshire State Champion - she has destroyed a number of course records this year and her winning margins have been phenomenal - I wish I could make better speed ratings for her (the Sanborn Invite seemed to be at least 150+) - her 7th place finish in the New England Championships makes me wonder (perhaps she was sick or injured ... couldn't find a news article about it) ... but she has shown the speed capability to be a solid contender. Amie Schumacher (Holy Cross CT) has won her last three races including the Connecticut State and New England Championships - her performance at the NE Championships is not only impressive from the speed aspect, but it was an excellent 5K performance compared to her 4K Connecticut races (girls generally race 4K in CT). Frances Coon (Allentown Central Catholic PA) is a top Pennsylvania runner who has been running very well - she lost to Laura Cummings by 9 seconds at the Spiked Shoe Invitational ... Lauren Centrowitz (Broadneck Maryland) finished 19th at last year's Footlocker NE and has been running well ... Christine Laakso (Fitchburg MA) finished 2nd to Lindsay Donaldson at the Massachusetts All-States. New Jersey's top contenders appear to be Brittany Sedberry (Ocean City NJ) and Jennifer Clausen (Jackson Mem NJ) ... Brittany Sedberry just won the NJ Meet of Champions (18:42) by 16 seconds ... Clausen was 6th (19:18) Projection ... Based on ratings, here is a projection and possible finishing time ... don't put too much faith in the project time itself (varies with course conditions), but rather the time difference between runners ... For some girls, I guessed somewhat (for example, I wasn't sure how to handle Andrea Walkonen's ratings) ... For the girls, I projected times based on how fast VCP seems to be running this year (which is faster than last year ... Note: but I just modified them upwards somewhat): |
... Nov 25 update - times adjusted upwards by 6 seconds due to weather forecast of wind & cold ACTUAL Projected Time Place & Time ============== ============= Nicole Blood 10 Saratoga NY 17:54 1 - 17:44.7 Lindsay Donaldson 12 Linc-Sudbury MA 18:00 6 - 18:25.4 Lindsey Scherf 12 Scarsdale NY 18:06 15 - 18:49.5 Aislinn Ryan 10 Warwick NY 18:15 3 - 18:21.0 Laura Cummings 11 Bay Shore NY 18:21 11 - 18:36.2 Brittney Criscuolo 12 East Meadow NY 18:21 12 - 18:36.5 Caitlin McTague 12 Niskayuna NY 18:24 19 - 19:01.8 Amie Schumacher 10 Holy Cross CT 18:24 69 - 20:02.9 Andrea Walkonen 12 Conant NH 18:24 38 - 19:34.4 Nichole Lister 11 South Jefferson NY 18:24 9 - 18:31.3 Lindsey Ferguson 10 Saratoga NY 18:24 4 - 18:23.9 Brittany Sedberry 10 Ocean City NJ 18:33 2 - 18:16.4 Lauren Centrowitz 12 Broadneck MD 18:33 10 - 18:31.9 Christine Laakso 12 Fitchburg MA 18:33 25 - 19:13.9 Brittany Crawford 12 Fayetteville-Man NY 18:33 ------------ Frances Coon 12 Allentown CCath PA 18:39 5 - 18:24.7 Jennifer Clausen 10 Jackson Mem NJ 18:42 7 - 18:26.1 |
Speed Name Grade Sect School Race Date Place Time Rating NEW YORK Nicole Blood 10 02-A Saratoga Federation Champ 11/15/2003 1 17:57.9 159 Nicole Blood 10 02-A Saratoga NY States-Class A 11/8/2003 1 18:28.7 154 Nicole Blood 10 02-A Saratoga Section 2-Class A 10/31/2003 1 17:13.0 150 Nicole Blood 10 02-A Saratoga Suburban Council 10/25/2003 1 17:04.9 152 Nicole Blood 10 02-A Saratoga Brown Univ-Champ 10/18/2003 1 16:52.3 159 Nicole Blood 10 02-A Saratoga Manhattan-Champ 10/11/2003 1 14:17.8 152 Nicole Blood 10 02-A Saratoga Great Amer-ROC 9/27/2003 1 18:08.8 151 Nicole Blood 10 02-A Saratoga Warwick XC Mania 9/13/2003 1 17:37.9 148 Nicole Blood 9 02-A Saratoga Footlocker Finals 12/14/2002 9 17:52.0 153 Nicole Blood 9 02-A Saratoga Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 2 17:48.0 159 Lindsey Ferguson 10 02-A Saratoga Federation Champ 11/15/2003 5 18:30.7 148 Lindsey Ferguson 10 02-A Saratoga NY States-Class A 11/8/2003 5 18:53.2 146 Lindsey Ferguson 10 02-A Saratoga Section 2-Class A 10/31/2003 2 17:30.0 144 Lindsey Ferguson 10 02-A Saratoga Suburban Council 10/25/2003 2 17:27.9 145 Lindsey Ferguson 10 02-A Saratoga Brown Univ-Champ 10/18/2003 4 17:37.0 144 Lindsey Ferguson 10 02-A Saratoga Manhattan-Champ 10/11/2003 4 14:39.3 145 Lindsey Ferguson 10 02-A Saratoga Great Amer-ROC 9/27/2003 4 18:27.8 145 Lindsey Ferguson 10 02-A Saratoga Warwick XC Mania 9/13/2003 3 18:22.6 133 Lindsey Ferguson 9 02-A Saratoga Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 46 19:31.0 124 Lindsey Scherf 12 01-A Scarsdale NYRR XC (VCP-5K) 11/16/2003 1 17:50.0 154 Lindsey Scherf 12 01-A Scarsdale Mayor's Cup - MA 10/26/2003 16 18:03.0 --- Lindsey Scherf 12 01-A Scarsdale NYRR XC (VCP-5K) 10/5/2003 1 17:54.0 152 Lindsey Scherf 12 01-A Scarsdale Great Amer-College 9/26/2003 49 18:57.0 142 Lindsey Scherf 11 01-A Scarsdale NY States-Class A 11/9/2002 40 20:14.8 117 Aislinn Ryan 10 09-A Warwick Federation Champ 11/15/2003 2 18:22.5 151 Aislinn Ryan 10 09-A Warwick NY States-Class A 11/8/2003 4 18:49.9 147 Aislinn Ryan 10 09-A Warwick Section 9-Class A 10/31/2003 1 17:19.0 149 Aislinn Ryan 10 09-A Warwick OCIAA Champions 10/24/2003 1 16:59.0 149 Aislinn Ryan 10 09-A Warwick Manhattan-Champ 10/11/2003 5 14:40.8 144 Aislinn Ryan 10 09-A Warwick St Anthonys Inv-A2 10/4/2003 2 14:38.0 134 Aislinn Ryan 10 09-A Warwick Great Amer-ROC 9/27/2003 2 18:18.7 148 Aislinn Ryan 10 09-A Warwick Suffern Inv-B 9/20/2003 2 17:37.0 142 Aislinn Ryan 10 09-A Warwick Warwick XC Mania 9/13/2003 2 17:53.4 143 Aislinn Ryan 9 09-A Warwick Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 68 20:02.0 114 Brittney Criscuolo 12 08-A East Meadow NYRR XC (VCP-5K) 11/16/2003 2 18:14.0 146 Brittney Criscuolo 12 08-A East Meadow NY States-Class A 11/8/2003 3 18:46.7 148 Brittney Criscuolo 12 08-A East Meadow Section 8-Class A 11/1/2003 1 18:29.9 147 Brittney Criscuolo 12 08-A East Meadow NYRRC 5K (VCP) 10/19/2003 1 18:13.0 148 Brittney Criscuolo 12 08-A East Meadow Manhattan-Champ 10/11/2003 2 14:34.3 146 Brittney Criscuolo 12 08-A East Meadow St Anthonys Inv-A2 10/4/2003 1 14:19.4 141 Brittney Criscuolo 12 08-A East Meadow OLL Invite (VCP) 9/27/2003 1 15:26.4 134 Brittney Criscuolo 12 08-A East Meadow Wildcat Inv-Sd-I 9/20/2003 1 19:03.0 145 Brittney Criscuolo 12 08-A East Meadow Jim Smith Inv-Sr 9/13/2003 1 19:21.1 136 Laura Cummings 11 11-A Bay Shore Federation Champ 11/15/2003 4 18:30.3 148 Laura Cummings 11 11-A Bay Shore NY States-Class A 11/8/2003 2 18:41.0 150 Laura Cummings 11 11-A Bay Shore Section 11-Class A 10/31/2003 1 18:38.3 148 Laura Cummings 11 11-A Bay Shore Suffolk Co Champ 10/25/2003 1 18:32.6 148 Laura Cummings 11 11-A Bay Shore Brown Univ-Champ 10/18/2003 3 17:30.0 146 Laura Cummings 11 11-A Bay Shore Manhattan-Champ 10/11/2003 3 14:38.7 145 Laura Cummings 11 11-A Bay Shore Great Amer-ROC 9/27/2003 3 18:26.9 145 Laura Cummings 11 11-A Bay Shore Suffolk Coaches-C 9/20/2003 1 18:48.4 148 Laura Cummings 11 11-A Bay Shore Spiked Shoe PA 9/13/2003 1 18:09.64 145 Laura Cummings 10 11-A Bay Shore Footlocker Finals 12/14/2002 4 17:47.2 154 Laura Cummings 10 11-A Bay Shore Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 7 18:14.0 150 Caitlin McTague 12 02-A Niskayuna Federation Champ 11/15/2003 6 18:33.9 147 Caitlin McTague 12 02-A Niskayuna NY States-Class A 11/8/2003 6 18:54.6 146 Caitlin McTague 12 02-A Niskayuna Section 2-Class A 10/31/2003 4 17:46.0 139 Caitlin McTague 12 02-A Niskayuna Suburban Council 10/25/2003 4 17:52.0 137 Caitlin McTague 12 02-A Niskayuna Burnt Hills-Div 3 10/11/2003 1 17:50.0 138 Caitlin McTague 12 02-A Niskayuna Grout Invite-III 10/4/2003 1 15:53.31 132 Caitlin McTague 12 02-A Niskayuna EJ Hermann Inv-A 9/27/2003 1 18:24.8 140 Caitlin McTague 12 02-A Niskayuna Guilderland-Chm 9/20/2003 1 16:18.0 139 Caitlin McTague 12 02-A Niskayuna Shaker Invite 9/13/2003 1 17:35.0 145 Caitlin McTague 11 02-A Niskayuna Footlocker Finals 12/14/2002 3 17:46.4 154 Caitlin McTague 11 02-A Niskayuna Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 6 18:12.0 151 Nichole Lister 11 03-C South Jefferson Federation Champ 11/15/2003 7 18:34.3 147 Nichole Lister 11 03-C South Jefferson NY States-Class C 11/8/2003 1 19:22.5 140 Nichole Lister 11 03-C South Jefferson Section 3-Class C 11/1/2003 1 18:12.4 150 Nichole Lister 11 03-C South Jefferson Adirondack Inv-1 10/25/2003 1 17:56.3 147 Nichole Lister 11 03-C South Jefferson Phoenix Invite-II 10/11/2003 1 17:46.0 146 Nichole Lister 11 03-C South Jefferson Baldwinsville-CD 10/4/2003 1 18:03.0 131 Nichole Lister 11 03-C South Jefferson McQuaid-Sd-A 9/27/2003 1 17:46.4 140 Nichole Lister 11 03-C South Jefferson ESM Invite - B 9/20/2003 1 18:41.5 130 Nichole Lister 11 03-C South Jefferson Cato Inv-Med 9/13/2003 1 18:55.5 138 Nichole Lister 11 03-C South Jefferson Liverpool Inv-I 9/6/2003 1 18:37.3 136 Brittany Crawford 12 03-A Fayetteville-M Federation Champ 11/15/2003 8 18:40.9 144 Brittany Crawford 12 03-A Fayetteville-M NY States-Class A 11/8/2003 7 19:06.0 142 Brittany Crawford 12 03-A Fayetteville-M Section 3-Class A 11/1/2003 1 18:35.9 142 Brittany Crawford 12 03-A Fayetteville-M OHSL Championship 10/25/2003 1 18:26.3 144 Brittany Crawford 12 03-A Fayetteville-M Manhattan-Champ 10/11/2003 11 15:04.6 136 Brittany Crawford 12 03-A Fayetteville-M Baldwinsville-A 10/4/2003 1 17:48.0 136 Brittany Crawford 12 03-A Fayetteville-M ESM Invite - A 9/20/2003 1 18:06.4 141 Brittany Crawford 12 03-A Fayetteville-M Cato Inv-Large 9/13/2003 1 18:39.5 144 Massachusetts Lindsay Donaldson 12 Linc-Sudbury Mass All-State-D1 11/15/2003 1 18:46.0 152 Lindsay Donaldson 12 Linc-Sudbury Mass Eastern-D2 11/8/2003 1 18:06.7 149 Lindsay Donaldson 12 Linc-Sudbury Dual County League 10/24/2003 1 18:52.7 --- Lindsay Donaldson 12 Linc-Sudbury Brown Univ-Champ 10/18/2003 2 16:54.0 158 Lindsay Donaldson 12 Linc-Sudbury McIntyre Inv-Lg 10/4/2003 1 18:04.0 150 ** at the Brown University Invite, Nicole Blood beat Lindsay Donaldson by only 2 seconds! Christine Laakso 12 Fitchburg Mass All-State-D1 11/15/2003 2 19:10.3 144 Christine Laakso 12 Fitchburg Mass Central-D1 11/8/2003 1 17:37.0 142 Christine Laakso 12 Fitchburg Mid-Wach A League 10/25/2003 1 17:22.8 142 Christine Laakso 12 Fitchburg Quabbin Invite 10/18/2003 1 18:37.0 --- Christine Laakso 12 Fitchburg McIntyre Inv-Lg 10/4/2003 10 19:51.9 115 Pennsylvania Frances Coon 12 Allentown CCath Mideast Regional 11/15/2003 7 18:19.1 142 Frances Coon 12 Allentown CCath Penn IAA-Dist IV-AA 11/1/2003 1 18:37.0 138 Frances Coon 12 Allentown CCath Penn IAA-Dist IV-AA 10/23/2003 1 18:45.5 --- Frances Coon 12 Allentown CCath Lehigh Valley Conf 10/14/2003 1 18:16.0 --- Frances Coon 12 Allentown CCath Carlisle Invite 9/27/2003 1 18:26.3 --- Frances Coon 12 Allentown CCath Northeast Invite 9/20/2003 1 18:39.0 --- Frances Coon 12 Allentown CCath Spiked Shoe PA 9/13/2003 2 18:18.5 142 New Hampshire Chantelle Dron 11 Home-School Footlocker Finals 12/14/2002 18 18:10.8 146 Chantelle Dron 11 Home-School Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 4 18:09.0 152 ** (has not yet listed in entries ... reported injured) Andrea Walkonen 12 Conant New England Champ 11/8/2003 7 19:05.1 132 Andrea Walkonen 12 Conant NH State Champ 11/1/2003 1 18:03.0 147 Andrea Walkonen 12 Conant NHIAA Class M&S 10/25/2003 1 18:53.0 --- Andrea Walkonen 12 Conant Hillcat Invite 10/8/2003 1 19:46.0 --- Andrea Walkonen 12 Conant Manchester Inv-Sm 9/27/2003 1 18:26.0 140 Andrea Walkonen 12 Conant Belmont Homecoming 9/20/2003 1 19:09.0 --- Andrea Walkonen 12 Conant Sanborn Invite 9/16/2003 1 17:29.0 150?? New Jersey Brittany Sedberry 10 Ocean City NJ Meet of Champ 11/22/2003 1 18:42.0 143 Brittany Sedberry 10 Ocean City NJSIAA Gr-III Champ 11/15/2003 1 18:42.9 143 Brittany Sedberry 10 Ocean City NJSIAA South-IV 11/8/2003 1 17:55.0 141 Brittany Sedberry 10 Ocean City South Jersey Open-2 10/11/2003 1 18:06.0 144 Brittany Sedberry 10 Ocean City SHore Coaches-B 10/4/2003 2 18:56.0 132 Jennifer Clausen 10 Jackson Mem NJ Meet of Champ 11/22/2003 6 19:18.0 131 Jennifer Clausen 10 Jackson Mem NJSIAA Gr-IV Champ 11/15/2003 1 18:53.7 138 Jennifer Clausen 10 Jackson Mem NJSIAA Cen-Gr IV 11/8/2003 1 18:41.0 140 Jennifer Clausen 10 Jackson Mem Ocean Co Champ 10/24/2003 1 17:32.0 141 Jennifer Clausen 10 Jackson Mem SHore Coaches-A 10/4/2003 1 18:26.0 142 Connecticut Amie Schumacher 10 Holy Cross New England Champ 11/8/2003 1 18:12.0 149 Amie Schumacher 10 Holy Cross CIAC Open Champ 10/31/2003 1 15:15.0 141 Amie Schumacher 10 Holy Cross CIAC Class MM 10/25/2003 1 15:00.0 145 Amie Schumacher 10 Holy Cross NVL League Meet 10/15/2003 1 15:26.0 --- Amie Schumacher 10 Holy Cross Windham Inv-V1 9/13/2003 4 15:29.6 133 Maine Elise Moody-Roberts 9 Cape Elizabeth New England Champ 11/8/2003 2 18:45.9 138 Elise Moody-Roberts 9 Cape Elizabeth Maine St Champ B 11/1/2003 1 18:34.5 145 Elise Moody-Roberts 9 Cape Elizabeth Manchester Inv-Sm 9/27/2003 2 18:39.0 136 ** (has not yet listed in entries ... may not run) Maryland Lauren Centrowitz 12 Broadneck MD State - 4A 11/8/2003 1 19:02.0 145 Lauren Centrowitz 12 Broadneck Anne Rundel County 10/24/2003 1 19:31.5 --- Lauren Centrowitz 12 Broadneck Knights Invite 9/13/2003 1 19:24.0 --- Lauren Centrowitz 11 Broadneck Footlocker NE-Ch 11/30/2002 19 19:00.0 135 |