).| Speed Ratings for Nike & New Balance Indoor Nationals 5K Races 2025 |
... posted March 18, 2025
Nike Indoor Nationals 2025
Mar 13, 2025
Armory Track NYC, NY
New Balance Indoor Nationals 2025
Mar 13, 2025
The TRACK at New Balance
Boston, MA
Results from:
https://armorytrack.live/meets/39022
https://www.milesplit.com/meets/657204-new-balance-nationals-indoor-2025/results
https://www.milesplit.com/meets/629088-nike-indoor-nationals-2025/results
Note: The Speed Ratings were determined using two data sets ... (1) applying a generic fit of the actual 5000 meter Track times to the sequential XC speed ratings of each runner to derive an estimated speed rating correction factor .. and (2) estimating a speed rating correction factor based on historical data fitting of 5000 meter track times to XC speed ratings ... AS USUAL, the Speed Ratings posted below are best-guess approximations ... But I believe they are very decent approximations.
My most recent
Table of XC Speed
Ratings with Approximated Times for Various Track Distances is posted at this
associated link ... It was posted back in December 2021, and could likely by
updated ... But even with additional updating, the numbers will still be very
variable (because runners overall are randomly variable and always will be).
Jane Hedengren and Rylee Blade achieved outstanding speed ratings of 175 and 173, respectively, in the recent Indoor Track races ... They join a very small and elite group of high school girls to achieve speed ratings of 170+ ... this group includes runners like Amber Trotter (180), Melody Fairchild (178), Katelyn Tuohy (177), Cathy Shiro (174), Natalie Cook (173), Julia Stamps (173), Jenna Hutchins (172), Janet Smith (170) and Aisling Cuffe (170) ..... Jane Hedengren, Rylee Blade, Natalie Cook and Jenna Hutchins speed ratings noted here were on the Track (not XC), and the others were all XC.
Speed Ratings measure how fast runners run relative to other runners and groups of runners (Time Differences between runners and groups of runners) ... The numbers below are good.
Even before posting this, I have already
gotten complaints from the Jane Hedengren fans and one Utah coach wanting me to
apologize for under-rating her at NXN Nationals ... But I did get more
complaints from the Katelyn Tuohy fans, Jenna Hutchins fans and Natalie Cook
fans when they popped huge performances ... It's all good
.
[ Boys Results ]
| Girls 5000 Meter Speed Ratings |
Nike Indoor Nationals - Girls 5000 Meters
2024 XC Season Speed Ratings
Pl Name Gr School St 5K Time Speed Rating (sequential order - most recent first)
======================================================================== ------------ -----------------------------------------
1 Jane Hedengren 12 Timpview UT 15:13.26 174.58 175 ** [172 169 162 147 154 153 143 158 ]
2 Rylee Blade 12 Santiago Corona (SS) CA 15:16.72 173.43 173 ** [145 154 149 159 158 154 ]
3 Zariel Macchia 12 William Floyd NY 16:29.02 149.33 149 [149 153 148 145 147 146 145 132 144 136]
4 Macy Wingard 11 Denton Braswell TX 16:33.74 147.75 148 [148 133 146 147 149 144 138 ]
5 Caitlin Thomas 12 Hastings NY 16:57.18 139.94 140 [122 121 136 120 136 134 130 127 136 ]
6 Katie Berkshire 11 Gaylord MI 17:05.49 137.17 137 [129 129 127 127 124 120 ]
7 Kyleen Brady 11 Auburn NY 17:08.58 136.14 136 [128 132 135 137 138 132 133 128 121 131]
8 Lily Strebel 12 Westhampton Beach NY 17:39.30 125.90 126 [113 122 115 120 116 115 118 ]
9 Elyse Henriksen 11 Lincoln HS OR 17:40.66 125.45 125 [123 123 124 125 129 123 124 ]
10 Lexie Cole 10 Comsewogue NY 17:49.42 122.53 123 [121 131 135 122 132 118 120 120 115 ]
11 Charlotte Hardy 10 Shawnee Mission East KS 17:49.71 122.43 122 [130 114 122 121 111 ]
12 Brielle McClarnon 12 Holmdel HS NJ 17:57.49 119.84 120 [114 116 113 ]
13 Gracelyn Laudermilch 12 Northeast Bradford PA 18:10.95 115.35 115 [107 84 118 ]
14 Lyana Gutierrez 11 Highland Reg HS NJ 19:16.13 93.62 94 [87 66 ]
New Balance Indoor Nationals - Girls 5000 Meters
2024 XC Season Speed Ratings
Pl Name Gr School St 5K Time Speed Rating (sequential order - most recent first)
=========================================================================== ------------ -------------------------------------
Seeded Heat
1 Caroline Barton 12 Carolina Day School NC 16:24.15 151.95 152 [142 152 142 140 ]
2 Katelyn Rupe 12 Salina Central KS 16:32.88 149.04 149 [137 150 151 148 145 150 ]
3 Jazzlyn Garmer 11 Webb School of Knoxville TN 16:41.70 146.10 146 [132 147 139 133 126 122 135 ]
4 Emma Hoffman 11 Otsego MI 16:44.68 145.11 145 [141 138 139 133 ]
5 Liliah Gordon 12 Northern Burlington Reg. HS NJ 16:48.89 143.70 144 [139 138 139 144 138 136 ]
6 Lilly Beshears 11 Rogers AR 16:51.80 142.73 143 [149 148 152 154 149 150 152 140 ]
7 Abigail Anstett 10 Georgetown Visitation Prep DC 16:54.47 141.84 142 [130 128 127 120 119 Abigail ]
8 Elly Velasquez 12 Glen Allen VA 17:02.24 139.25 139 [135 129 121 ]
9 Cecilia Montagnese 12 Quaker Valley PA 17:05.72 138.09 138 [127 104 ]
10 Olivia Magagna 12 Lampeter Strasburg PA 17:08.12 137.29 137 [122 127 119 ]
11 Allison Lee 11 West Windsor-Plainsboro North NJ 17:13.10 135.63 136 [133 139 134 135 127 ]
12 Joanna Kenney 11 North Shore NY 17:15.66 134.78 135 [112 93 113 106 127 131 107 104 ]
13 Sloan Wasserman 11 John Jay - Cross River NY 17:17.68 134.11 134 [124 137 131 134 135 131 127 135 120]
14 Elena Aldrink 11 Olen. Liberty OH 17:21.52 132.83 133 [141 139 133 135 ]
15 Summer Wilson 11 Irvine (SS) CA 17:36.92 127.69 128 [135 139 138 148 146 ]
16 Abigail Kowalczyk 12 Roy C. Ketcham (RCK) NY 17:51.67 122.78 123 [120 128 134 131 129 96 126 118 113 ]
17 Sawyer Nicholson 8 Durham Dragons Ath Canada -- 17:56.62 121.13 121 [ -- No Data -- ]
UnSeeded Heat
1 Morgan Miller 11 First Flight NC 17:03.42 138.86 139 [134 136 132 127 134 120 125 ]
2 Fiona King 8 Northport NY 17:11.66 136.11 136 [119 128 139 140 140 141 132 134 ]
3 Zoe Carter 12 Normal (University) IL 17:11.97 136.01 136 [141 139 138 135 132 ]
4 Emma Patrick 11 Severn School MD 17:18.83 133.72 134 [130 114 ]
5 Brenna Jorde 11 Mountain Vista CO 17:32.65 129.12 129 [123 127 126 123 118 128 121 108 ]
6 Kajol Karra 11 Princeton HS NJ 17:42.36 125.88 126 [124 122 114 118 109 ]
7 Mallory Bigelow 12 Oxford MI 17:43.28 125.57 126 [129 116 ]
8 Katie Hetzel 12 Cookeville TN 17:48.38 123.87 124 [135 130 127 ]
9 Brynn Balturshot 11 Station Camp TN 17:50.41 123.20 123 [124 120 131 134 121 ]
10 Lily Farrell 10 Bleckley County GA 17:59.47 120.18 120 [118 122 ]
11 Rowan Barry 11 Greely ME 18:05.95 118.02 118 [107 115 111 ]
12 Nora Schmidt 8 Lincoln MS ME 18:08.86 117.05 117 [ -- No Data -- ]
13 Sydney Tackett 12 Liberty Creek TN 18:11.09 116.30 116 [119 126 115 100 112 ]
|
| Boys 5000 Meter Speed Ratings |
New Balance Indoor Nationals - Boys 5000 Meters
2024 XC Season Speed Ratings
Pl Name Gr School St 5K Time Speed Rating (sequential order - most recent first)
============================================================================ ------------ -------------------------------------
Seeded Heat
1 Tayvon Kitchen 12 Crater OR 14:01.14 197.62 198 [195 195 194 193 191 179 ]
2 Hayden Boaz 12 Summit OR 14:13.28 193.57 194 [176 194 191 187 188 ]
3 Jackson Spencer 11 Herriman UT 14:15.97 192.68 193 [195 193 192 184 179 189 189 186 181]
4 Jase Burton 12 Star Valley WY 14:25.65 189.45 189 [192 195 186 184 184 178 ]
5 Zafer Courcelle 12 Franklin OR 14:29.52 188.16 188 [175 179 177 181 181 ]
6 Nathaniel Assa 12 Marblehead MA 14:32.40 187.20 187 [172 180 175 177 178 ]
7 Matthew Giardina 12 Bishop Guertin NH 14:38.50 185.17 185 [192 184 187 188 186 185 174 181 ]
8 Owen Kelley 12 Bentonville AR 14:41.41 184.20 184 [186 191 180 186 185 178 ]
9 Kaden Evans 12 American Fork UT 14:45.11 182.96 183 [195 196 194 187 185 189 185 188 190]
10 Carter Moore 12 American Fork UT 14:50.14 181.29 181 [184 185 183 179 181 182 185 187 179]
11 Sebi Hume 12 St. Albans School DC 14:53.07 180.31 180 [176 187 180 182 182 ]
12 Jonah Montagnese 10 Quaker Valley PA 15:07.54 175.49 175 [172 165 ]
13 Greg McGrath 11 Boston College MA 15:09.18 174.94 175 [180 182 180 183 180 ]
UnSeeded Heat
1 Lincoln Herald 12 Grant County KY 14:42.55 183.82 184 [179 183 183 184 ]
2 Sean Gray 11 Portsmouth RI 14:43.48 183.51 184 [180 189 191 190 190 ]
3 Will Baker 12 Mount Gilead OH 14:45.23 182.92 183 [163 184 ]
4 Jack Hearld 12 Danville Community IN 14:48.06 181.98 182 [174 178 188 182 182 170 ]
5 Dylan Flores 12 Glendora (SS) CA 14:55.04 179.65 180 [178 187 188 181 188 179 181 ]
6 Wells Peterson 11 San Antonio TMI Episcopal TX 14:58.22 178.59 179 [168 167 ]
7 Nicholas Mazzeo 11 Lower Merion PA 15:02.34 177.22 177 [185 186 190 184 180 ]
8 Everett Pacheco 11 Monument Mountain Regional MA 15:04.48 176.51 177 [169 174 177 174 171 ]
9 Dylan Fiegener 12 Corvallis OR 15:06.08 175.97 176 [177 170 176 176 ]
10 Ibrahim Ford 11 Arkport NY 15:07.43 175.52 176 [181 175 178 164 176 165 176 ]
11 Cedar Nichols-Barnhart 12 R.J. Reynolds NC 15:12.75 173.75 174 [186 183 181 182 179 177 182 177 ]
12 Noah Manwaring 12 Herriman UT 15:17.31 172.23 172 [181 180 172 173 178 181 176 180 174]
13 George Thomatos 12 Farmingdale NY 15:18.31 171.90 172 [181 177 174 175 170 159 164 176 ]
14 Ansh More 12 Riverdale Country Day NY 15:19.53 171.49 171 [162 169 165 160 157 150 125 159 ]
15 Clay Stevens 11 Manalapan HS NJ 15:19.76 171.41 171 [182 189 184 185 182 185 166 ]
16 Matt Gosling 11 Council Rock North PA 15:25.20 169.60 170 [176 186 183 168 168 ]
17 Walker Elrod 11 Grace Christian Academy FL 15:38.39 165.20 165 [165 165 164 165 162 160 ]
18 Caleb Barnes 12 Melrose MA 15:43.44 163.52 164 [174 173 182 173 176 ]
19 Dylan Rowell 11 Anacortes OR 15:49.55 161.48 161 [185 179 182 183 182 ]
20 Andrew Burr 12 Sacramento Country Day (SJ) CA 15:59.22 158.26 158 [ -- No Data -- ]
21 Bilal Elhaji 12 Boston Latin School MA 16:05.67 156.11 156 [148 152 160 168 155 ]
22 Ryan Maher 11 Auburn NY 17:13.09 133.64 134 [178 183 179 176 173 172 172 ]
Nike Indoor Nationals - Boys 5000 Meters
2024 XC Season Speed Ratings
Pl Name Gr School St 5K Time Speed Rating (sequential order - most recent first)
======================================================================== ------------ ---------------------------------------
1 Marcelo Mantecon 10 Belen Jesuit Prep FL 14:14.38 193.21 193 [192 188 192 185 194 188 187 ]
2 Will Sheets 12 Covington Catholic WV 14:16.29 192.57 193 [168 192 181 193 183 ]
3 Jack Bowen 12 McCallie School TN 14:16.73 192.42 192 [186 192 173 188 190 194 184 ]
4 Brogan Collins 12 Cheyenne Mountain CO 14:17.03 192.32 192 [192 194 189 181 184 184 183 184 ]
5 Ruel Newberry 9 Denton Guyer TX 14:24.62 189.79 190 [190 179 188 188 183 184 177 ]
6 Eyan Turk 12 Woodcrest Christian (SS) CA 14:30.81 187.73 188 [192 197 188 186 Eyan Turk 12 ]
7 Calvin Seitz 10 Jasper IN 14:33.33 186.89 187 [180 180 ]
8 Malachi Schoenherr 11 Sheldon OR 14:47.20 182.27 182 [179 187 182 176 178 ]
9 Sawyer LeBlanc 12 St. Johns Canada -- 14:47.94 182.02 182 [ - No Data - ]
10 Malachi Burnett 11 Creekview GA 14:49.11 181.63 182 [180 192 184 182 ]
11 Nicholas Falcone 11 Morris Plains NJ 14:58.58 178.47 178 [156 167 168 153 168 ]
12 Joseph DeLuise 11 Oxford CT 15:05.26 176.25 176 [164 168 ]
13 Liam Beighley 12 Mission Hills (SD) CA 15:08.10 175.30 175 [162 167 168 162 ]
14 Liam Bauschke 12 Mishawaka IN 15:08.51 175.16 175 [183 192 175 187 177 ]
15 Hayden Arbuckle 12 Viewmont UT 15:11.87 174.04 174 [171 179 175 146 130 167 ]
16 Talmage Bruschke 12 Viewmont UT 15:12.18 173.94 174 [165 167 177 170 173 163 176 ]
17 Simon Barlow 12 Bountiful UT 15:17.52 172.16 172 [176 173 172 177 172 174 166 ]
18 Patrick Croughwell 12 Norwich Free Academy CT 15:19.10 171.63 172 [153 148 174 ]
19 Daniel Gordon 12 Saint Joseph's Prep PA 15:29.44 168.19 168 [174 173 174 ]
20 Ian Frazer 11 Wantagh NY 15:44.55 163.15 163 [160 173 169 163 133 173 153 155 169]
21 Shane Ethakkan 12 Nanuet NY 15:48.14 161.95 162 [158 175 172 160 172 170 167 171 ]
22 Quinn Cataldi 12 William Tennent PA 15:58.61 158.46 158 [153 166 164 ]
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