Pre-Season XC 2018
GIRLS Teams - New York State 2018
Bill Meylan (July 19, 2018)
[ Combined Teams ] .. [ Class A ] .. [ Class B ] .. [ Class C ] .. [ Class D ] .. [ CHSAA - AIS - PSAL ]
NY Girls - Pre-Season Rankings 2018 |
Remember ... this list is just an informational starting point ... I posted scores by individual class because some people are interested.
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New York GIRLS Teams - Combined Classes 2018 |
Pre-Season Projection - New York Girls Team Contenders - 2018 --------------------------------------- Scores Using Top 40 Teams --------------------------------------- Section- Team Score Class --------------------- ----- -------- 1 Fayetteville-Manlius 175 (03-A ) 2 Saratoga 185 (02-A ) 3 Liverpool 190 (03-A ) 4 John Jay Cross River 295 (01-B ) 5 Niskayuna 320 (02-A ) 6 Monroe-Woodbury 320 (09-A ) 7 North Rockland 325 (01-A ) 8 Warwick Valley 360 (09-A ) 9 Shenendehowa 365 (02-A ) 10 Pearl River 420 (01-B ) 11 Notre Dame 430 (CHSAA) 12 Bethlehem 450 (02-A ) 13 West Seneca West 455 (06-A ) 14 Greenwich 475 (02-C ) 15 CBA-Syracuse 505 (03-B ) 16 Ursuline 510 (01-A ) 17 Smithtown 530 (11-A ) 18 Clarence 540 (06-A ) 19 Arlington 570 (01-A ) 20 Baldwinsville 575 (03-A ) 21 Corning 575 (04-A ) 22 Cornwall 580 (09-B ) 23 Guilderland 580 (02-A ) 24 Maple Grove 590 (06-D ) 25 Mount Sinai 620 (11-B ) 26 East Aurora 620 (06-B ) 27 Sachem East 645 (11-A ) 28 Webster Thomas 655 (05-A ) 29 Mohonasen 670 (02-B ) 30 Sacred Heart 680 (CHSAA) 31 Kellenberg 690 (CHSAA) 32 Pittsford Mendon 695 (05-B ) 33 West Genesee 695 (03-A ) 34 St. John Bapt 705 (CHSAA) 35 Burnt Hills 715 (02-B ) 36 Bronxville 720 (01-C ) 37 Tappan Zee 720 (01-B ) 38 Commack 730 (11-A ) 39 Bay Shore 735 (11-A ) 40 Ithaca 735 (04-A ) |
Note ... The scores are simply my pre-season "guess" of relative team abilities in a combined race ... I included 40 teams to show some depth. In General ... Fayetteville-Manlius is the slight favorite due to their history of success ... Saratoga and Liverpool could be placed at the top spot as well. Fayetteville-Manlius, Saratoga, Liverpool and North Rockland and have additional comments below in the Class A section. Additional comments and information are given below by class ... Class consideration is important in the pre-season because it impacts far more runners than projections intended for Federation Championships or the NXN-NY regional qualifier.
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Class A - Girls ... Pre-Season 2018 |
Section- Team Score Class --------------------- ----- -------- 1 Fayetteville-Manlius 120 (03-A ) 2 Saratoga 130 (02-A ) 3 Liverpool 135 (03-A ) 4 Niskayuna 220 (02-A ) 5 Monroe-Woodbury 220 (09-A ) 6 North Rockland 225 (01-A ) 7 Warwick Valley 240 (09-A ) 8 Shenendehowa 250 (02-A ) 9 Bethlehem 300 (02-A ) 10 West Seneca West 305 (06-A ) 11 Ursuline 340 (01-A ) 12 Smithtown 360 (11-A ) 13 Clarence 365 (06-A ) 14 Corning 380 (04-A ) 15 Arlington 385 (01-A ) 16 Baldwinsville 390 (03-A ) 17 Guilderland 395 (02-A ) 18 Webster Thomas 435 (05-A ) 19 Sachem East 440 (11-A ) 20 West Genesee 470 (03-A ) 21 Commack 490 (11-A ) 22 Rush-Henrietta 490 (05-A ) 23 Bay Shore 490 (11-A ) 24 Horseheads 495 (04-A ) 25 Ithaca 495 (04-A ) 26 Hilton 500 (05-A ) |
Fayetteville-Manlius is the slight favorite due to their history of success and ability to re-load when necessary ... whether it happens again this season remains to be seen ... FM is not the top NY team based on raw returning speed ratings. Saratoga and Liverpool are both nationally ranked teams ... Liverpool and Saratoga finished 13th and 14th, respectively, at NXN Nationals last year. Fayetteville-Manlius graduated the #3, #4, #5 and #7 runners from NXN ... FM returns two top national runners (Claire Walters and Phobe White) and another runner (Grace Kaercher) that forms a solid core of a top national team ... The question is strength at the #4 and #5 positions ... I do not know if FM can re-load again this season. Saratoga has one of the top runners in the nation (Kelsey Chmiel) ... although Saratoga graduated some runners, they have a deep team with lots of potential ... they have some good young (junior high) runners - three 8th-graders in their top returning XC runners ... good track performances suggest improved XC performances (but that remains to be seen any school in NY or the nation) ... I see uncertainty, but lots of potential. Liverpool returns 6 of 7 runners from NXN, including their top 3 that form a solid core of a nationally ranked team (Jenna Schulz, Madison Neuner and Sydney Carlson) ... the raw rating numbers actually have Liverpool as the top team in NY. North Rockland has a strong lead duo in Katelyn Tuohy and Haleigh Morales which obviously helps the team score ... uncertainty in the other scoring positions.
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Some Class A Returning Runners by Team XC-Rating XC Ratings by Race 2017 --------- -------------------------------- Fayetteville-Manlius Claire Walters 11 147 149 144 140 151 142 147 117 143 Phoebe White 11 144 145 142 136 143 146 144 127 133 Grace Kaercher 10 116 107 110 114 126 124 127 107 103 Izzy Crovella 10 103 107 98 86 82 Emily Cook 12 89 89 90 38 Lejla Borcilo 10 84 86 87 47 57 Rebecca White 11 76 77 74 60 Saratoga Kelsey Chmiel 12 158 160 159 158 153 154 152 154 148 McKinley Wheeler 8 114 117 101 115 103 105 Ciara Knott 12 111 104 91 111 95 128 117 115 Sheridan Wheeler 8 109 117 97 100 96 93 Skyler Knott 8 98 93 100 79 101 Katie Vandyck 10 95 98 92 85 85 Megan Morin 12 89 78 99 77 75 Liverpool Jenna Schulz 11 141 144 136 133 138 134 138 140 133 130 Madison Neuner 12 132 123 132 129 132 132 136 136 126 127 Sydney Carlson 10 112 116 109 103 105 110 108 94 96 Rosie Petrella 11 105 106 104 104 99 104 108 78 80 Windsor Ardner 12 99 105 83 93 93 89 78 103 Isabella Brancato 11 81 75 62 77 84 85 98 85 86 Emily Neuner 12 77 58 84 79 56 59 73 Niskayuna Liyat Kebbede 9 117 107 115 123 114 102 104 Charlotte Kokernak 12 109 92 113 115 108 81 96 98 Abigail Thomas 9 104 96 108 107 101 93 93 Sophia Boler 9 104 107 102 96 87 94 Katharine Hesler 11 100 103 101 93 89 88 91 Erin Boler 8 97 98 96 96 75 Tess Mcgrinder 12 93 93 96 41 86 91 Monroe-Woodbury Jessica Pidgeon 12 121 108 124 122 122 127 110 116 114 111 Rachel Hirschkind 12 106+ 98 102 66 111 113 93 106 88 89 Allison Nolan 9 104 102 109 99 107 104 82 87 82 69 Sarah Kern 12 98 89 99 89 102 106 95 98 96 91 Daniella Napoli 12 97 88 83 103 108 111 90 82 87 93 Ella Dephillips 12 88 86 80 97 69 81 56 72 Abigail Howell 12 73 78 66 37 North Rockland Katelyn Tuohy 11 170 172 170 172 167 167 168 160 166 159 158 Haleigh Morales 11 123+ 124 120 124 122 110 109 92 Britney Pezzementi 10 112 113 111 113 103 112 96 107 103 89 Catherine Ruffino 11 99 91 106 97 95 91 88 86 93 75 Emily Grall 10 81 78 79 77 87 92 60 74 Rachel Keller 10 69 65 71 59 74 68 67 66 Brielle Italiano 11 63 51 64 58 72 72 45 61 33 Warwick Valley Simone Sullivan 10 109 109 108 110 107 98 103 101 Katherine Smith 10 107 109 93 110 105 100 86 Kristin Thompson 10 105 100 93 111 102 100 97 112 Genevieve Reilly 11 101 95 104 95 81 99 107 90 Lauren Fox 12 98 91 102 94 93 91 103 89 Billie Finn 10 93 83 94 93 68 97 92 Michaela Calandra 12 79 58 93 54 63 78 44 Shenendehowa Hannah Belleville 11 115 106 115 107 117 116 123 113 Luccabella Hotaling 9 109 103 111 97 112 103 112 Jade Dennis 11 103 65 110 92 98 114 Jada Dennis 11 103 83 104 88 115 109 102 107 McKenzie Ryan 12 93 94 93 77 Lily Digman 12 93 82 95 86 97 Cassie McLaughlin 10 89 89 88 |
Class B - Girls ... Pre-Season 2018 |
Section- Team Score Class --------------------- ----- -------- 1 John Jay Cross River 95 (01-B ) 2 Pearl River 135 (01-B ) 3 CBA-Syracuse 160 (03-B ) 4 Cornwall 185 (09-B ) 5 East Aurora 200 (06-B ) 6 Mount Sinai 220 (11-B ) 6 Mohonasen 225 (02-B ) 7 Pittsford Mendon 230 (05-B ) 9 Burnt Hills 240 (02-B ) 10 Tappan Zee 240 (01-B ) 11 Brewster 260 (01-B ) 12 Camden 265 (03-B ) 13 Jamesville Dewitt 275 (03-B ) 14 North Shore 280 (08-B ) 15 Shoreham Wading River 320 (11-B ) 16 Maine-Endwell 330 (04-B ) 17 Manhasset 330 (08-B ) 18 Kings Park 335 (11-B ) |
John Jay Cross River is the defending Class B Champion and they return their entire team from States ... Pearl River will challenge John Jay Cross River at the Section 1 sectionals. CBA-Syracuse won the Class C race at States last year, but were moved up to Class B by Section 3 (they return all 6 runners from States). East Aurora, Mount Sinai and Cornwall were 2nd, 3rd and 4th at States last year, but lose at least one scorer to graduation.
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Some Class B Returning Runners by Team XC-Rating XC Ratings by Race 2017 --------- -------------------------------- John Jay CR Pippa Nuttall 12 120 106 127 117 95 117 113 122 109 104 Kelsey Crawford 10 110 107 115 101 114 107 93 112 100 87 89 Cameron Crawford 12 107 105 111 103 107 107 91 110 98 99 94 Morgan Johnson 11 101 96 99 94 108 110 108 109 98 85 94 Lauren Pollack 12 100 73 92 103 113 116 104 108 99 92 Clodagh McGroary 11 93 92 97 81 90 90 92 81 65 73 72 Libby Gressin 12 80 69 84 72 74 81 Pearl River Mary Borkoski 12 122+ 113 122 126 119 121 120 113 113 119 Niamh Durcan 10 108 108 98 112 106 110 101 97 82 Ciara Durcan 10 97 70 97 103 102 104 92 89 85 Una Boylan 9 96 92 99 80 85 100 92 Jessica McDermott 12 93 91 93 97 90 98 75 39 66 75 Catie Horan 9 77 77 78 41 Emily Borkoski 8 74 74 74 69 51 CBA-Syracuse Olivia Morganti 11 115+ 103 109 111 119 116 128 116 127 123 Deja Jones 10 113 110 100 121 112 103 99 113 105 Cory Knox 12 98 95 101 91 94 99 88 94 Bri Pucci 12 86+ 83 67 77 93 100 92 102 81 73 Lea Kyle 11 85+ 62 82 76 102 87 94 91 90 Cornwall Meredith Hickman 12 116 120 105 118 118 101 112 109 109 100 105 Claire Kelly 10 103 95 102 106 92 Molly Cameron 12 94 91 96 96 84 96 89 89 84 90 Ashley Hickman 12 93 93 Gia Flores 12 79 62 80 84 69 81 66 69 77 Julia Samuelson 10 61 59 64 53 52 East Aurora Megan McLaughlin 9 125 124 127 112 125 126 126 127 120 124 120 Karis Ertel 11 98 93 94 97 97 100 101 96 82 94 108 Emily Jason 12 87+ 73 82 81 98 94 90 95 85 79 104 Ava Danieu 12 86+ 64 84 59 96 98 98 98 92 83 97 Annika Safford 10 79 81 75 73 64 38 84 Maggie McLaughlin 11 78 59 71 73 85 97 86 82 79 64 91 Theresa Murphy 10 77 57 81 76 77 79 44 80 Mohonasen Kate Sherman 10 107 102 89 114 116 112 100 90 87 Emma Sinisgalli 11 101 97 103 100 103 93 85 88 Anna Sherman 12 90 76 57 106 104 77 95 79 76 Natalia Sawyer 9 84 69 90 87 85 69 24 52 Christa Bailey 10 83 73 64 90 4 83 91 Emily Racana 12 60 63 59 60 51 38 23 30 Piper Cartier 10 45 32 52 44 38 5 1 Mount Sinai Sarah Connelly 11 128+ 130 120 127 127 120 114 118 117 126 Kaitlyn Chandrika 10 116+ 96 113 122 118 95 Isabella DiPalermo 11 97 88 94 100 95 97 86 102 Kayleigh Robinson 12 71 49 74 78 57 70 50 59 73 Isabel Cubillo 11 31 13 43 12 33 56 |
Class C - Girls ... Pre-Season 2018 |
Section- Team Score Class --------------------- ----- -------- 1 Greenwich 65 (02-C ) 2 Bronxville 100 (01-C ) 3 Newfane 135 (06-C ) 4 Newark Valley 205 (04-C ) 5 Clinton 210 (03-C ) 6 Saranac 225 (07-C ) 7 Canton 230 (10-C ) 8 Waterloo 235 (05-C ) 9 Greenville 235 (02-C ) 10 Vernon-Verona-Sherrill 240 (03-C ) 11 Westhill 240 (03-C ) 12 Duanesburg 245 (02-C ) 13 Peru 260 (07-C ) 14 Albion 260 (06-C ) 15 Schuylerville 265 (02-C ) 16 South Jefferson 270 (03-C ) |
CBA-Syracuse won Class C last year, but they have been moved up to Class B this season ... Newfane finished 2nd in Class C last year and won the year before, and Newfane returns their entire team from States. Greenwich finished 2nd in Class D last year, but have moved up to Class C this season due to the new enrollment cut-off numbers ... they return their entire team from States and become the favorite in Class C. Bronxville has won the State Meet many times in past years (3rd at States last year, they return their entire team from States). Lots of uncertainty in projecting the next groups of teams.
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Some Class C Returning Runners by Team XC-Rating XC Ratings by Race 2017 --------- -------------------------------- Greenwich Brynne Wright 11 124 116 125 124 129 123 122 117 100 119 Emma Cronin 11 108 108 94 108 113 109 110 106 113 Teagan Wright 8 99 90 90 101 110 103 98 88 92 Quinn Collins 11 91 72 72 102 94 99 72 97 Brooke Wright 11 86 86 63 79 82 100 88 89 94 Emily Skiff 9 79 74 79 80 68 Annabel Gregg 12 72 59 74 65 85 56 76 48 70 Bronxville Natalie Weiner 12 99+ 91 98 99 111 85 102 89 81 97 Emma Mandanas 12 92 94 91 89 66 92 84 80 86 Patty Haggerty 12 86 79 86 87 70 89 75 87 19 Gigi Chrappa 12 85 58 92 95 52 63 73 65 87 Avery Widen 10 83 67 86 80 67 91 72 Molly Palma 11 77 71 66 84 72 80 65 41 75 Lyric Abbott 12 74 78 69 69 45 76 71 65 38 Newfane Kimberly Goerss 12 106 105 108 106 103 104 89 100 Nina Burkard 12 87 77 87 90 75 65 Catalina Ersing 8 85 39 88 98 74 89 49 67 Vanessa Burkard 11 81 77 78 76 90 74 83 Lydia Chunco 11 78 80 77 74 67 54 75 Leah Siegmann 9 65 54 71 60 70 25 41 Newark Valley Renee Riegel 10 91 96 85 83 87 89 81 52 65 Marissa Silba 12 90 95 83 75 67 89 90 63 52 Kristina Knight 12 85 72 90 82 89 91 75 77 68 Sophie Stewart 12 65 68 60 64 43 60 66 45 17 Colleen Riegel 12 51 51 52 32 53 52 55 19 24 Clinton Eva Borton 12 131 122 135 129 125 124 124 130 125 127 Taylor Harvey 10 107 93 111 105 101 101 115 103 102 90 Emily Hemstrought 10 62 69 51 59 49 54 46 16 Piper Davignon 11 62 54 61 67 46 40 Brynn Hewitt 10 41 42 36 40 44 39 43 5 Abbey Hynes 11 32 27 43 23 5 4 -26 |
Class D - Girls ... Pre-Season 2018 |
Section- Team Score Class --------------------- ----- -------- 1 Maple Grove 80 (06-D ) 2 Beaver River 95 (03-D ) 3 Tully 125 (03-D ) 4 Delhi 130 (04-D ) 5 South Lewis 140 (03-D ) 6 Silver Creek 160 (06-D ) 7 Seton Catholic-Platt 190 (07-D ) 8 Clymer-Sherman 195 (06-D ) 9 Lake Placid 205 (07-D ) 10 Trumansburg 210 (04-D ) 11 New York Mills 220 (03-D ) 12 Sauquoit Valley 230 (03-D ) |
Maple Grove finished a close 3rd at States last year and return 6 or 7 runners from States (including their top 3) ... Greenwich (2nd last year in Class D) moves to Class C this year. Defending Class D Champion South Lewis graduated 2 of their top four ... South Lewis will have competition in Section 3 from Beaver River (return top 4 from sectionals) and Tully (return top 5 from sectionals). As normal, lots of uncertainty in projecting the other Class D teams (it's a real guess at this point) ..... Talented new runners can have a major impact on team scoring, especially at the small school level.
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Some Class D Returning Runners by Team XC-Rating XC Ratings by Race 2017 --------- -------------------------------- Maple Grove Ava Crist 10 112 96 115 108 120 108 112 114 91 96 Christina Peppy 10 110 104 103 115 115 113 104 112 88 99 Carling Lockwood 10 96 50 90 114 92 88 Abby Brunanavas 9 90 91 90 88 87 89 69 70 Bryn Mozzi 12 68 66 65 63 69 80 40 38 Kendra Berg 10 63 66 61 53 67 39 40 Riley Caskey 12 63 45 56 66 74 73 47 47 Beaver River Rylee Campeau 12 100 98 92 103 100 104 101 100 102 84 79 Taylor Moore 12 92 83 87 93 101 94 90 90 32 Shauna Rice 12 85 80 75 91 86 83 90 74 59 Makayla Garrison 10 82 51 86 88 84 87 91 79 31 65 Rachel Streeter 9 73 65 71 77 63 75 68 Peyton Smith 10 64 68 69 57 51 51 37 0 21 Nobalie Kloster 12 62 45 54 72 62 75 58 46 42 Tully Brooke Rauber 10 147 148 149 147 132 143 130 149 146 129 142 Rachel Berry 12 99 90 97 103 101 97 100 70 Alison Carr 12 78 64 75 83 84 67 77 Lauren Yonko 10 70 56 72 55 58 78 83 52 Katie Haier 10 37 27 52 34 24 4 -64 3 Chelsea Phillips 11 28 30 31 23 19 18 8 8 Delhi Sienna Dorr 9 99 98 101 84 93 101 86 89 Cella Schnabel 10 92 87 91 86 93 101 86 90 Autumn Dorr 12 70 70 73 45 69 62 58 65 Jillian Lees 12 65 54 69 63 48 72 60 57 Lonnie Weiss 9 63 60 66 58 63 59 Camille Mueller 9 61 59 60 53 61 71 56 56 Lucia Marsiglio 9 56 46 60 41 61 47 South Lewis Hannah Ielfield 10 124 122 127 117 120 123 117 127 120 115 115 Lexi Bernard 9 117 116 121 110 118 117 108 118 110 100 101 Morgan Feisthamel 12 64 55 64 53 63 72 74 63 71 56 53 Abby Durgan 10 59 46 56 61 52 69 63 62 47 47 Chloe Seller 10 28 27 22 33 28 29 15 4 -16 -6 Izabelle Liendecker 11 25 24 15 32 19 25 -5 -5 |
CHSAA - PSAL - AIS Girls ... Pre-Season 2018 |
Team Score Federation --------------------- ----- ---------- 1 Notre Dame 70 (CHSAA) 2 Sacred Heart 105 (CHSAA) 3 St. John Bapt 115 (CHSAA) 4 Kellenberg 130 (CHSAA) 5 Benjamin Cardozo 165 (PSAL ) 6 St. Anthony's 180 (CHSAA) 7 Susan Wagner 185 (PSAL ) 8 Poly Prep 190 (AIS ) 9 Brooklyn Tech 205 (PSAL ) 10 Stuyvesant 235 (PSAL ) 11 St. Joseph Sea 255 (CHSAA) 12 Marymount 255 (AIS ) 13 Hackley 260 (AIS ) 14 Nardin Academy 270 (CHSAA) |
Notre Dame Academy (Staten Island) won the CHSAA Championship the last four years and return a good core of runners ... In addition, Notre Dame Academy is getting a transfer from the Prospect Park Youth Team (Alyssia Brown - 3000m (10:35), 1500m (4:55), 800m (2:26)). Sacred Heart returns all seven runners from Federations including top runner Maggie Maier. As normal, lots of uncertainty for most of the teams in the CHSAA-PSAL-AIS grouping entering a new season.
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Some CHSAA Returning Runners by Team XC-Rating XC Ratings by Race 2017 --------- -------------------------------- Notre Dame (Staten Is) Sierra Dinneen 11 120 115 123 123 118 105 120 110 108 Giavanna Comerford 10 108 103 102 115 82 110 98 99 Alyssia Brown 100+?? Transfer, 3000m (10:35) Lindsey Field 11 98 92 95 105 93 79 104 87 101 90 91 Nykoya Barnes 12 85 71 97 83 58 67 72 45 Casey Franzreb 12 82 88 77 64 81 65 66 64 79 Sofia Garcia 11 37 37 Sacred Heart Maggie Maier 11 126 123 128 125 123 127 120 120 120 127 Anna Kavanagh 12 94 84 88 95 84 106 90 91 94 93 Helen Moloney 10 93 90 97 89 94 87 84 78 Marie Naudus 10 80 52 78 88 57 83 Shannon Thieke 11 77 70 76 88 61 71 46 60 63 51 Bridget Rosso 11 70 70 71 67 72 51 62 55 51 Maeve Smith 12 64 63 53 68 64 71 55 62 49 58 St. John Bapt Kerri McCormack 11 105 100 108 104 93 104 99 94 106 Hailey Marcello 12 105 109 105 97 100 87 93 79 78 Meredith Haberfield 12 92 94 92 83 95 63 61 Morgan Murray 12 81 78 87 77 78 77 70 63 Jill Schleier 12 71 64 85 58 65 49 22 24 20 Claire McGrath 12 58 58 Madison Isnardi 11 47 32 48 44 54 Kellenberg Maureen Lewin 12 113 110 118 110 110 91 100 84 Brianna Lausev 12 108 106 111 105 104 106 102 93 Maya Richardson 12 90 90 91 89 88 77 88 69 Ashley Minns 10 82 71 84 86 70 66 81 73 Lauren Bernic 11 56 57 53 |