NOTE ... I consider these Projections to be similar to "Seed Times" for a track & field meet.

 

                                 Projected                        Actual
      School               Sect   Score        School              Score
      ===============      ====   =====        ==================  =====
  1   Fayetteville-Manlius (03)      29        Fayetteville-Manlius   24
  2   Shenendehowa         (02)     104        Shenendehowa          100
  3   Corning              (04)     108        Warwick Valley        114
  4   Sachem North         (11)     122        Sachem North          118
  5   Syosset              (08)     128        Corning               126
  6   Warwick Valley       (09)     135        Syosset               131
  7   McQuaid              (05)     157        Williamsville North   172
  8   Williamsville North  (06)     172        McQuaid               174
  9   Arlington            (01)     179        Arlington             183
 

		

Pre-Race Analysis ... Fayetteville-Manlius is the odds-on favorite in the Class A race ... At this point in time, Fayetteville-Manlius can be considered the #1 team in the nation, with American Fork (Utah) very close behind ... Fayetteville-Manlius handily beat Liverpool (the 2nd-best team in NY State) at sectionals in a race where Liverpool altered their previous race strategy and it proved unsuccessful (but FM was just simply excellent) ... I doubt FM will duplicate their sectional level-of-performance at States, but they don't need to.

Shenendehowa and Corning look fairly even-up ... and the next 3 teams also look even-up.

Several out-of-State coaches have asked about the qualifying procedure for this meet ... "Why only 9 teams in a State Championship race??" (Answer - 2 of the 11 sections have no Class A teams, so that leaves only 9) ... "Why just the winning team in each class??" (Answer - the NYSPHSAA Meet is technically an "Intersectional Championship" ... A number of years ago, I over-heard a reporter having an argument with several of the sectional coordinators about excluding top teams ... the sectional coordinators made it clear that it was an "Intersectional" meet ... one coordinator pointed to another coordinator and said "It's my best against his best" in a gladiator tone of voice ........ Let's see, each district (I mean section) picks one boys team champion and one girls team champion to slay the others (Hey, I just watched The Hunger Games).

Individual Race ... This is an excellent quality individual race ... As noted in the list below, 14 guys with overall speed ratings between 198 and 186, and 6 guys at 190 or higher ... Bryce Millar (FM) and Mike Brannigan (Northport) should probably be considered co-favorites for the individual title ... Mike Brannigan just popped a 198 speed rating at the Section 11 Championships after beginning competition in mid-season ... Mike Brannigan could go out very fast at the start of the race (as he did in two earlier season races), but I expect he may follow Bryce Millar closely through much of the race and try to out-kick Bryce Millar near the end ... Other good runners in this race could benefit from the Millar-Brannigan duel up front ... Any runner who has shown a 190 speed rating capability has the potential to step-up and pop a huge performance (it happens quite a bit at Footlocker) ... Should be very interesting to see how this race plays out in terms of tactics and results.

 
The Top-Ranked Class A Runners Entering States:
1   Bryce Millar          12   03-A    FM                     198
2   Mike Brannigan        12   11-A    Northport              194
3   Ben Petrella          11   03-A    Liverpool              193
4   Peter Ryan            11   03-A    FM                     193
5   Dan Dracup            12   04-A    Ithaca                 190
6   Kyle Barber           12   03-A    FM                     190
7   Tyler Italiano        12   08-A    Syosset                188
8   Jack Jibb             12   09-A    Monroe-Woodbury        188
9   Adam Hunt             12   03-A    FM                     187
10  Aidan Tooker          11   02-A    Saratoga               187
11  Zackaria Adam         12   03-A    Proctor                186
12  Jake Johnson          11   02-A    Colonie                186
13  Benito Muniz          12   01-A    Carmel                 186
14  Noah Carey            10   02-A    Guilderland            186
15  Connor Buck           12   03-A    Liverpool              185
16  Nick Ciolkowski       12   05-A    McQuaid                184
17  Dan Peterson          12   09-A    Warwick                182
18  Dan Muldoon           12   03-A    Liverpool              181
19  Joshua Hadity         12   11-A    Commack                181
20  Peter Kane            11   04-A    Corning                181
21  Will Randall          12   03-A    West Genesee           181
22  Dylan McCarthy        12   03-A    Liverpool              181
23  Nick Neamtu           11   05-A    Webster Thomas         180
24  Donovan Glavin        11   05-A    McQuaid                180
25  Matt Adolph           11   09-A    Warwick                180

 

                                 Projected                        Actual
      School               Sect   Score        School              Score
      ===============      ====   =====        ==================  =====
  1   Pittsford Mendon     (05)      59        Pittsford Mendon       55
  2   Bayport-Blue Pt      (11)     113        Bayport-Blue Pt        96
  3   Tappan Zee           (01)     113        Sweet Home            111
  4   Cornwall             (09)     136        Tappan Zee            111
  5   Sweet Home           (06)     136        Carthage              141
  6   Burnt Hills          (02)     139        Burnt Hills           143
  7   Carthage             (03)     169        Maine-Endwell         163
  8   Maine-Endwell        (04)     170        Franklin Academy      179
  9   Manhasset            (08)     172        Cornwall              218
  10  Franklin Academy     (10)     197        Manhasset             221
  11  Peru                 (07)     317        Peru                  336

Pre-Race Analysis ... Pittsford Mendon is the defending State Class B champion and the favorite to win again ... Pittsford Mendon was the top team by nearly 50 points in the Section 5 merge.

Looks like a toss-up between Bayport-Blue Point and Tappan Zee for the runner-up spot ... Cornwall, Sweet Home and Burnt Hills look evenly match as well.

Individual Race ... Noah Affolder (Carthage) is undefeated since moving to NY State from Illinois ... Last year as a freshmen, Noah Affolder finished 9th at the Illinois State Class 2A Championship (176 speed rating) ... Noah defeated Dan Schaeffer (Maine-Endwell) at the Marathon Invitational, but not much separates the two runners overall ... Luke Gavigan (Tappan Zee) is also undefeated this season (he finished 4th at last year's State Meet) and Luke has an excellent track resume (e.g. NY State 1600 meter champion beating Mike Brannigan in 4:07.82) ... This could be a really good race.

 
The Top-Ranked Class B Runners Entering States:
1   Noah Affolder         10   03-B    Carthage               190
2   Dan Schaffer          11   04-B    Maine-Endwell          187
3   Luke Gavigan          12   01-B    Tappan Zee             184
4   Kobie Lane            12   09-B    Port Jervis            183
5   Liam Burke            12   01-B    Tappan Zee             181
6   Peter Rindfuss        11   06-B    Hamburg                180
7   Mitchell Daddario     12   06-B    Sweet Home             179
8   Christopher Nowak     10   06-B    Sweet Home             179
9   Tim Josephs           12   08-B    Garden City            178
10  Aidan Doyle           12   09-B    Cornwall               177
11  Calvin Butlak         12   06-B    Lake Shore             177
12  Ben McDermott         12   01-B    Pearl River            177
13  Kevin Hazelwood       11   01-B    Brewster               177
14  Jack Ryan             11   01-B    Rye                    176
15  Matt Baffuto          12   01-B    Pelham                 176
16  Isaac Goodman         11   05-B    Pittsford Mendon       176
17  Patrick Dye           10   03-B    Jamesville Dewitt      175
18  Griffin Hess          11   05-B    Pittsford Mendon       175
19  Paul Dellinger        10   05-B    Brighton               174
20  Ben Smith             12   01-B    John Jay CR            174
21  Erik Engstrom         11   11-B    East Hampton           174
22  Sam Affolder          8    03-B    Carthage               174
23  Henry Burton          11   05-B    Pittsford Mendon       173
24  Drew Schmitt          11   05-B    Brighton               173
25  Eion Nohilly          11   01-B    John Jay CR            173
26  Matt Geraci           12   05-B    Honeoye FL             173
27  Lorenzo Mazzuca       12   09-B    New Paltz              173
28  Matthew Gladysz       12   11-B    Shoreham-Wading R      173

 

                                 Projected                        Actual
      School               Sect   Score        School              Score
      ===============      ====   =====        ==================  =====
  1   East Aurora          (06)      49        East Aurora            45
  2   Mount Academy        (09)      64        Mount Academy          61
  3   Pleasantville        (01)      79        Pleasantville          88
  4   Greenwich            (02)     107        Greenwich             123
  5   Adirondack           (03)     147        Adirondack            131
  6   Southampton          (11)     186        Newark Valley         186
  7   Newark Valley        (04)     190        Oyster Bay            189
  8   Oyster Bay           (08)     205        Southampton           209
  9   Plattsburgh          (07)     208        Plattsburgh           209
  10  Waterloo             (05)     233        Waterloo              239
  11  Gouverneur           (10)     343        Gouverneur            330

  		

Pre-Race Analysis ... East Aurora dropped to Class C in 2014 ... East Aurora has been improving all season and enter this race off a very good performance at sectionals which makes them the favorite.

Mount Academy beat Greenwich in last year's Class D race at States - Both teams moved up to Class C this year ... Mount Academy has a very deep team which could help them because they are not that far behind East Aurora.

Pleasantville is within striking distance with a real good performance ... East Aurora is the favorite, but they need to run a good race with the competition close behind.

Individual Race ... The Class C individual race features a real good match-up between Jeremy Spiezo (Greenwich) and Kenny Vasbinder (East Aurora) ... Both runners are undefeated this year ... Jeremy Spiezo ran the 4th fastest time ever at Saratoga Park in winning the Wasaren League Meet and Jeremy Spiezo won the Class D race at last year's State Meet ... But Kenny Vasbinder has run some excellent races and appears capable of seriously challenging for the individual title ... A bunch of guys could challenge for the 3rd spot.

 
The Top-Ranked Class C Runners Entering States:
1   Jeremy Spiezio        12   02-C    Greenwich              191
2   Kenny Vasbinder       11   06-C    East Aurora            188
3   Keith Baird           12   09-C    Mount Academy          181
4   Dylan Servos          12   06-C    Alden                  177
5   Jeriqho Gadway        12   07-C    Plattsburgh            177
6   James Burke           12   11-C    Port Jefferson         177
7   Owen Barber           11   06-C    Allegany-Limestone     177
8   Jason McFarland       11   03-C    Hannibal               175
9   Matt McLaughlin       11   06-C    East Aurora            173
10  Sean McAneny          11   02-C    Greenville             171
11  Baxter Wareham        11   09-C    Mount Academy          170
12  Grant Sheely          12   01-C    Dobbs Ferry            169
13  Connor Hrynuk         12   03-C    Adirondack             169
14  Patrick Murray        10   06-C    East Aurora            168
15  Devin Akerley         12   02-C    Corinth                168
16  Alexander Tosi        11   08-C    Oyster Bay             168
17  Liam Neary            11   09-C    James O'Neill          168
18  Eli Waxler            12   01-C    Pleasantville          167
19  Ben Eisenhut          12   04-C    Lansing                167
20  Sean Ryan             11   01-C    Bronxville             167
21  Drew Dorflinger       11   01-C    Pleasantville          166
22  William Esposito      11   09-C    Dover                  166
23  Cole DiNome           12   01-C    Briarcliff             166
24  Miles Isenhour        11   09-C    James O'Neill          166
25  Matthew Kruszka       10   06-C    Gowanda                166

 

                                 Projected                        Actual
      School               Sect   Score        School              Score
      ===============      ====   =====        ==================  =====
  1   Beaver River         (03)      70        Beaver River           74
  2   Barker               (06)      84        Barker                 80
  3   East Rochester       (05)      91        Norwood-Norfolk        81
  4   Norwood-Norfolk      (10)     112        East Rochester        106
  5   Lake Placid          (07)     121        Lake Placid           118
  6   Trumansburg          (04)     141        Duanesburg            142
  7   Duanesburg           (02)     146        Trumansburg           143
  8   Haldane              (01)     161        Haldane               173
  9   Southold             (11)     204        Southold              200
  10  S.S. Seward          (09)     299        S.S. Seward           309

		

Pre-Race Analysis ... The top two teams at last year's Class D race (Mount Academy and Greenwich) both moved up to Class C ... Barker was 3rd and East Rochester was 5th at last year's Class D race.

Beaver River has been racing decently all season and enter States off a good race at sectionals which makes Beaver River the favorite ... Barker and East Rochester are within striking distance ... A bit more "uncertainty" in this race (compared to others) could project a very close finish.

Individual Race ... Appears to be a competitive race for the Class D individual title ... Pat Murphy (Duanesburg) beat Daryn Hutchings (Argyle) at the Section 2 sectionals, but not much separates the two runners ... Everett Geiger (Caledonia Mumford) is virtually even-up with the top two and Dawson Bathgate (East Rochester) is close behind ... very competitive.

 
The Top-Ranked Class D Runners Entering States:
1   Pat Murphy            12   02-D    Duanesburg             181
2   Daryn Hutchings       12   02-D    Argyle                 181
3   Everett Geiger        12   05-D    Caledonia Mumford      179
4   Dawson Bathgate       11   05-D    East Rochester         176
5   Kyle Fulk             10   10-D    Norwood-Norfolk        172
6   Adam Saucier          10   10-D    Norwood-Norfolk        169
7   Alex Hogue            11   05-D    Wheatland-Chili        168
8   Josh O'Dell           11   06-D    Sherman                167
9   Jon Gay               11   07-D    Westport               167
10  Connor Oakman         11   03-D    LaFayette              167 (not racing)
11  Garrett Butters       12   04-D    Elmira Notre Dame      166
12  Evan Whittaker        9    04-D    Trumansburg            166
13  Ryan Hetrick          11   06-D    Maple Grove            166
14  Karl Schultz          11   07-D    Lake Placid            163
15  Cole Blocher          12   03-D    Sauquoit Valley        162
16  Sergio Cruz           12   06-D    Barker                 161
17  Connor Fulk           10   10-D    Norwood-Norfolk        160
18  Leif Ostrum           12   03-D    South Lewis            160
19  Matt Karee            10   04-D    Elmira Notre Dame      160
20  Dylan Durgan          10   03-D    South Lewis            159
21  Dan Hillman           12   03-D    Utica Notre Dame       159
22  Frank Zuroski         11   06-D    Maple Grove            159
23  Henry Sullivan        10   06-D    Sherman                158
24  Brett Neddo           11   03-D    Beaver River           157
25  Caleb Makuch          12   06-D    Silver Creek           156
26  Brad Phelps           12   03-D    Tully                  156

 

                                 Projected                        Actual
      School               Sect   Score        School              Score
      ===============      ====   =====        ==================  =====
  1   Fayetteville-Manlius (03)     36         Fayetteville-Manlius   20
  2   Saratoga             (02)     76         Saratoga Springs       85
  3   Corning              (04)     94         Suffern                95
  4   Suffern              (01)    101         Corning               115
  5   Monroe-Woodbury      (09)    119         Monroe-Woodbury       129
  6   Sachem East          (11)    143         Sachem East           141
  7   Webster Thomas       (05)    182         Syosset               170
  8   Syosset              (08)    196         Webster Thomas        189
  9   Williamsville North  (06)    216         Williamsville North   236

		

Pre-Race Analysis ... Fayetteville-Manlius is one of the top team in the nation (again) and the odds-on favorite to win this race ... Fayetteville-Manlius did not have their best team race at sectionals ... Top runner Annika Avery was sick and finished as the #5 scorer.

Saratoga is a young team - 4 freshmen and an 8th-grader in their top 7 at sectionals ... Like last year, Saratoga has had both good and "off" team performances this season, but they are capable of performing very well.

Corning has come on strong this season in Class A (they were Class B last year) ... they are lead by Jessica Lawson, and starting the team score with a "1" is a nice advantage ... Suffern has a good team.

Individual Race ... The best girl's race of the day in terms of quality ... Jessica Lawson (Corning) and Bella Burda (Arlington) are two nationally ranked runners ... Bella Burda beat Jessica Lawson at the Pre-State meet back in September ... The following week, Jessica Lawson set the course record at McQuaid and Jessica Lawson then ran the fastest time of the day at the Manhattan Invitational ... Bella Burda popped a huge sub-18:00 performance at sectionals at Bowdoin Park.

Freshman Carly Benson (West Genesee) could make this an interesting race at the top end ... Carly Benson has been improving all season ... she finished 3rd in the champion race at Manhattan and looked very good in winning over the tough VVS course at sectionals ... she has good speed (e.g. an open 800m in 2:14) and could be a real factor if close approaching the finish.

Twenty-two girls in this race have an overall speed rating of 130 or higher ... Excellent Quality.

 
The Top-Ranked Class A Runners Entering States:
1   Bella Burda           12   01-A    Arlington              150
2   Jessica Lawson        10   04-A    Corning                148
3   Carly Benson          9    03-A    West Genesee           144
4   Abbey Wheeler         11   04-A    Elmira District        142
5   Annika Avery          12   03-A    FM                     139
6   Samantha Levy         11   03-A    FM                     138
7   Danielle Jordan       11   02-A    Shenendehowa           136
8   Alex Cooper           12   05-A    Rush-Henrietta         135
9   Anna Flynn            11   01-A    Ursuline               135
10  Rachel Ludwikowski    10   01-A    Suffern                135
11  Kathryn Munks         11   09-A    Monroe-Woodbury        133
12  Jenna Farrell         11   03-A    FM                     133
13  Peyton Engborg        9    02-A    Saratoga               133
14  Julia Zachgo          10   02-A    Shenendehowa           133
15  Natalie Rogus         12   04-A    Corning                133
16  Maryanna Lansing      11   02-A    Shaker                 133
17  Sophia Ryan           9    03-A    FM                     132
18  Alexandra DeCicco     11   11-A    Sachem East            131
19  Olivia Ryan           12   03-A    FM                     131
20  Abigail Spiers        9    02-A    Niskayuna              130
21  Lauren Trumble        12   04-A    Ithaca                 130
22  Emily Burns           12   02-A    Guilderland            130
23  Katie Murphy          10   11-A    Hauppauge              129
24  Spencer Hayes         12   02-A    Saratoga               128
25  Abbey Lang            12   06-A    Lockport               128
26  Vicky Martinez        11   01-A    Fox Lane               128
27  Kiersten Kral         10   09-A    Monroe-Woodbury        128
28  Jessica Thatcher      12   04-A    Elmira District        127
29  Mary Hennelly         7    01-A    Suffern                127
30  Naomi Wistner         8    06-A    Williamsville N        127
31  Emily Bini            7    02-A    Guilderland            127
32  Paris Fenoff          8    02-A    Saratoga               127

 

                                 Projected                        Actual
      School               Sect   Score        School              Score
      ===============      ====   =====        ==================  =====
  1   Cornwall             (09)     50         Burnt Hills            57
  2   Burnt Hills          (02)     65         Cornwall               73
  3   Shoreham Wading Riv  (11)    103         North Shore            77
  4   North Shore          (08)    104         Shoreham-Wading Riv   106
  5   Pearl River          (01)    105         Pearl River           115
  6   Sweet Home           (06)    128         Pittsford Mendon      145
  7   Pittsford Mendon     (05)    160         Jamesville-Dewitt     191
  8   Jamesville-Dewitt    (03)    216         Sweet Home            213
  9   Maine-Endwell        (04)    280         Maine-Endwell         248
  10  Franklin Academy     (10)    285         Franklin Academy      272
  11  Peru                 (07)    299         Peru                  293

		

Pre-Race Analysis ... Cornwall popped a very nice performance at sectionals, and that makes Cornwall the favorite ... Burnt Hills had a good, deep performance at sectionals (Section 2 allows 10 runners at sectionals) ... If Cornwall falters at the scoring positions, Burnt Hills could take advantage and grab the team title.

Very little separates Shoreham Wading River, North Shore and Pearl River ... Actually, this race has significant "variability", and these three teams are within striking distance should the top two falter.

Individual Race ... This could be the most competitive race of the day at top end ... Five girls with overall speed ratings between 131 and 134, and a bunch of others close behind ... Katherine Lee (Shoreham) has been racing well all season and won a division of the Brown Invitational in Rhode Island ... Stephanie Gerland (Garden City) typically races well at big meets.

 
The Top-Ranked Class B Runners Entering States:
1   Stephanie Gerland     11   08-B    Garden City            134
2   Katherine Lee         9    11-B    Shoreham Wading R      133
3   Aileen Doyle          12   06-B    Sweet Home             133
4   Beatrice Boylan       12   09-B    Cornwall               132
5   Anna Kostarellis      10   05-B    Churchville-Chili      131
6   Daniela LoCastro      11   08-B    Cold Spring Har        128
7   Alex Bielli           12   02-B    Gloversville           128
8   Kaylah Quarshie       10   09-B    Port Jervis            127
9   Emily Digman          11   02-B    Burnt Hills            126
10  Ashley Wallace        12   09-B    Cornwall               125
11  Autumn Albrecht       12   05-B    Brockport              125
12  Emily MacKay          11   04-B    Union-Endicott         125
13  Isabella Pascucci     12   08-B    Friends Acad           124
14  Brittany Fuller       12   09-B    Port Jervis            123
15  Mary Borkoski         8    01-B    Pearl River            123
16  Eva Scott             10   02-B    Burnt Hills            123
17  Dara Cuffe            12   09-B    Cornwall               122
18  Mary Visca            12   05-B    Pittsford Suth         122
19  Gemma Nuttall         11   01-B    John Jay CR            121
20  Mary Barger           12   05-B    Pittsford Mendon       121
21  Courtney Breiner      12   02-B    Emma Willard           120
22  Alexandra Hays        10   11-B    Shoreham Wading R      120
23  Kassidy Ayres         12   01-B    Tappan Zee             120
24  Jennifer Gerland      12   08-B    Garden City            120
25  Laura Nolan           11   11-B    Miller Place           120
26  Justyna Wilkinson     11   03-B    Whitesboro             120
27  Natalie Marra         11   03-B    ESM                    120
28  Stacie Nadel          12   08-B    North Shore            120

 

                                 Projected                        Actual
      School               Sect   Score        School              Score
      ===============      ====   =====        ==================  =====
  1   East Aurora          (06)     48         East Aurora            51
  2   Bronxville           (01)     53         Bronxville             54
  3   Greenwich            (02)     78         Greenwich              83
  4   Westhill-Ludden      (03)     83         Westhill-Ludden        88
  5   Canton               (10)    163         Canton                143
  6   James O'Neill        (09)    190         Watkins Glen          195
  7   Saranac              (07)    205         Mattituck             201
  8   Mattituck            (11)    208         Livonia               203
  9   Livonia              (05)    209         Saranac               206
  10  Watkins Glen         (04)    209         James O'Neill         212
  11  Oyster Bay           (08)    266         Oyster Bay            240

		

Pre-Race Analysis ... Bronxville is the many-time defending Class C champion ... East Aurora finished a very close 3rd at States last year in Class B, and that was without Sophia Tasselmyer.

I was expecting East Aurora to be a bigger favorite than the score above shows, but scores are determined by the competition in the race ... In a number of race simulations, Bronxville was getting some match-up advantages ... Bronxville and East Aurora typically race well at States, and this race looks like it is up for grabs.

Greenwich and Westhill-Ludden look fairly evenly matched ... Greenwich gets the advantage due to a better performance at sectionals.

Individual Race ... Sophia Tasselmyer (East Aurora) finished 2nd at States last year in Class B (she was beaten by Jessica Lawson) ... Sophia Tasselmyer has come on nicely in recent races which makes her the favorite ...  Kaitlyn Neal (Skaneateles) was 2nd at States last year and runs well on any type of course ... Emily Acker (Albany Academy) made a big improvement this XC season (will be interesting to see how she races at States).

 
The Top-Ranked Class C Runners Entering States:
1   Sophia Tasselmyer     11   06-C    East Aurora            134
2   Kaitlyn Neal          11   03-C    Skaneateles            130
3   Emily Acker           12   02-C    Albany Academy         128
4   Kaitlin Ryan          10   01-C    Bronxville             126
5   Genny Corcoran        11   03-C    Westhill-Ludden        124
6   Clara Rowles          8    03-C    Cazenovia              124
7   Abby Gugel            11   03-C    Jordan-Elbridge        123
8   Fiona Danieu          11   06-C    East Aurora            123
9   Kaylee Stone          10   04-C    Windsor                122
10  Delia Hayes           12   01-C    Bronxville             122
11  Tori Spiezio          11   02-C    Greenwich              121
12  Meghan Curtin         11   05-C    Wayland Cohocton       118
13  Sarah Marvin          12   01-C    Pawling                117
14  Lauren Reyda          12   06-C    Fredonia               117
15  Andrea Nardone        11   01-C    Albertus Magnus        116
16  Caroline Pennacchio   11   01-C    Briarcliff             116
17  Ashley Watson         10   02-C    Schuylerville          116
18  Maisy Webster         10   06-C    East Aurora            115
19  Allie Bartolotta      11   02-C    Hudson                 115
20  Julia Flower          11   02-C    Schalmont              115
21  Ryleigh Donegan       12   11-C    Center Moriches        115

 

                                 Projected                        Actual
      School               Sect   Score        School              Score
      ===============      ====   =====        ==================  =====
  1   Tully                (03)     66         Tully                  49
  2   Seton Catholic       (07)     73         Seton Catholic         67
  3   Norwood-Norfolk      (10)     87         Norwood-Norfolk        98
  4   Maple Grove          (06)    109         Maple Grove           103
  5   Addison              (05)    110         Addison               115
  6   Haldane              (01)    149         Haldane               158
  7   Duanesburg           (02)    150         Duanesburg            164
  8   Pierson              (11)    183         Pierson               184
  9   Trumansburg          (04)    188         Trumansburg           188
  10  Eldred               (09)    248         Eldred                252


		

Pre-Race Analysis ... Tully is the defending Class D champion ... Tully had their best race of the season at States last year ... They enter this race off a good performance at sectionals (despite an off-performance by one scorer due to sickness).

Seton Catholic-Plattsburgh raced well at sectionals to close a gap with Tully ... Norwood-Norfolk is not far behind.

The teams in this race are not deep ... It could make a big difference in the team score should a normal scorer falter for any team.

Individual Race ... Sage Hurta (Hamilton) has been racing well and enters the Class D race as the individual favorite ... Hope Pietrocarlo (Maple Grove) won the State Class D race last year and is a very good competitor ... Ashleigh Crawford (Tully), Kaycie Saucier (Norwood-Norfolk) and Margaret Champagne (Seton Catholic) are evenly matched on overall speed rating.

 
The Top-Ranked Class D Runners Entering States:
1   Sage Hurta            11   03-D    Hamilton               135
2   Hope Pietrocarlo      11   06-D    Maple Grove            121
3   Ashleigh Crawford     11   03-D    Tully                  118
4   Kaycie Saucier        11   10-D    Norwood-Norfolk        118
5   Margaret Champagne    11   07-D    Seton Catholic         117
6   Kristin Ratliff       11   03-D    Cooperstown            114
7   Ellen Jaworski        11   03-D    Tully                  110
8   Allie Tedeschi        12   02-D    Berne-Knox-West        107
9   Sofia DeJordy         8    07-D    Seton Catholic         106
10  Samantha Fanion       10   03-D    Cooperstown            104
11  Anna Warner           12   05-D    Notre Dame-Bat         103
12  Sarah Sharpe          8    03-D    New York Mills         101
13  Cameron Perry         10   05-D    Pembroke               99
14  Brenna Lyons          12   05-D    Addison                99
15  Grace Auer            9    06-D    Maple Grove            97
16  Elaine Atanasova      8    02-D    Duanesburg             96
17  Brittany Higgs        11   06-D    Olmsted                95
18  Monica Strain         10   02-D    Maple Hill             95