Predicted                              Actual
      School              Score           School              Score
      ==================  =====           ==================  =====
  1   FM                     18           FM                     18
  2   Baldwinsville          87           Liverpool              82 
  3   CNS                    87           Baldwinsville         102 
  4   Liverpool             110           West Genesee          121 
  5   West Genesee          125           CNS                   149
  6   Auburn                200           Central Square        197 
  7   Central Square        200           Rome                  198
  8   Rome                  236           Syracuse East         250 
  9   Syracuse East         250           Proctor               266 
  10  Proctor               262           Auburn                269 
  11  Syracuse West         287           Watertown             280 
  12  Watertown             307           Syracuse West         288 
  13  Oswego                404           Oswego                387 
			

Pre-Race Analysis ... Fayetteville-Manlius is currently the top-ranked team in NY State (all classes) and a solid favorite to win the Class A race with a very low score ... Baldwinsville and CNS seem basically even-up as the 2nd and 3rd teams (Baldwinsville beat CNS by 8 points at the CNYCL National League meet) ... Liverpool is not far behind and could contend for a 2nd or 3rd-place finish.

Individual Race ... Nick Ryan (FM) is the top-rated runner in Section 3 and NY State, and therefore, the favorite ... Senior Matt Deyo (FM) tried cross country as a freshman but decide to stick to academics as a sophomore and junior, and now returns to XC as a senior; he has helped FM become one of the top ten teams in the nation and may have sometimes to say about the winner of this race ... Alec Peinkofer (Baldwinsville) is a definite favorite to qualify as a one of the five individuals for States ... a number of guys are in the running for the other four individual spots; they include Anthony Lupia (CNS), Martin Leff (West Gen), and Justin Middleton (Auburn).
 

                      Predicted                              Actual
      School              Score           School              Score
      ==================  =====           ==================  =====
  1   Marcellus              32           Marcellus              32
  2   ESM                    76           ESM                    78
  3   Westhill-Ludden       120           New Hartford          115
  4   New Hartford          137           Jamesville-Dewitt     139
  5   Jamesville-Dewitt     147           Fulton                155
  6   Whitesboro            179           Westhill-Ludden       167
  7   Mexico                200           Mexico                176
  8   Fulton                202           Whitesboro            189
  9   VVS                   252           VVS                   256
  10  Homer                 256           Homer                 260
  11  Chittenango           313           Cortland              299
  12  Oneida                342           Chittenango           304
  13  Phoenix               362           Oneida                359
  14  Carthage              373           Phoenix               366
  15  Cortland              383           Camden                453
  16  Camden                440

Pre-Race Analysis ... Marcellus is the solid favorite to win Class B; they recently won the OHSL Liberty League meet ... East Syracuse-Minoa was an easy winner at the OHSL Freedom League meet.

Individual Race ... Ryan Manahan (Marcellus) is the solid favorite to win the race, and team-mate Joe Fallon should grab one of the top spots as well ... Mike Coogan (ESM) and James Gowans (Mexico) are favorites to grab individual qualifying spots for States.

                      Predicted                              Actual
      School              Score           School              Score
      ==================  =====           ==================  =====
  1   Hannibal               76           Holland Patent         74
  2   Holland Patent         83           Hannibal               91
  3   Tully                  92           Tully                 118
  4   Sauquoit Valley       118           Sauquoit Valley       129
  5   Jordan-Elbridge       138           Jordan-Elbridge       162
  6   Ilion                 151           Ilion                 171
  7   Solvay                151           Solvay                176
  8   South Jefferson       199           South Jefferson       199
  9   South Lewis           230           South Lewis           218
  10  CBA                   280           CBA                   270
  11  Adirondack            296           Clinton               303
  12  Skaneateles           330           Little Falls          315
  13  Clinton               338           Adirondack            374
  14  Little Falls          356           Skaneateles           379
  15  APW                   428           Cazenovia             405
  16  Cazenovia             449           APW                   426
  17  Pulaski               494           Canastota             511
  18  Canastota             560           Sherburne-Earl        531
  19  Sherburne-Earl        577
  20  Mount Markham         578

Pre-Race Analysis ... The Class C race appears to be a good three-team match-up between Hannibal, Holland Patent and Tully ... Hannibal has shown nice team improvement throughout the season and enters the sectional race off a good second-place finish at the OHSL Liberty meet (they were only 19 points behind Class B favorite Marcellus) ... Hannibal is the morning-line favorite based on their improvement and some questions about the other teams.

Holland Patent won the TVL League meet and won their division at the Adirondack Invitational last week ... However, one of the top runners (Erran Gates) did not run at the league meet or Adirondack Invite (he did run at the Chittenango Invite on Oct 15), and the projected Class C score above does include him ... Without him, the projected score drops somewhat and makes Hannibal even more of a favorite ... It's impressive that Holland Patent won their division at the Adirondack Invite (and finished second in the merge beating Tully).

Tully won the OHSL Patriot League meet without one of their top runners (Evan Knapp who also missed the Central Square Invite ... he returned at the Adirondack Invite but took a nasty spill and finished as the 6th team scorer) ... Assuming all the Tully guys are healthy this week and perform well, Tully has a chance to win ... Sauquoit Valley tied Tully in the team score at the Adirondack Invite, and is not that far behind (they are also the CSC League champion).

Individual Race ... Brendan Smith (CBA) and Sam Anderson (South Lewis) could have a good race for the individual title ... a bunch of guys are in contention for the individual State qualifying spots (and it also depends on who wins the team title).

                      Predicted                              Actual
      School              Score           School              Score
      ==================  =====           ==================  =====
  1   Beaver River           40           Beaver River           38
  2   LaFayette              82           LaFayette             105
  3   Onondaga               82           Cooperstown           107
  4   Weedsport             111           Weedsport             113
  5   Cooperstown           136           Onondaga              120
  6   Fabius-Pompey         151           Fabius-Pompey         169
  7   Oriskany              229           Oriskany              203
  8   Cato Meridian         263           Utica Notre Dame      237
  9   Port Byron            267           Cato-Meridian         243
  10  Utica Notre Dame      275           Port Byron            264
  11  Sandy Creek           328           New York Mills        315
  12  Faith Heritage        331           Faith Heritage        319
  13  New York Mills        342           Sandy Creek           324
  14  Poland                381           Poland                326
  15  Old Forge             433
  16  West Canada           438

Pre-Race Analysis ... Beaver River enters the Class "D" race as the favorite once again (they are the #3 ranked Class D team in the State) ... Like last year, Beaver River is the Frontier League champion and they just won their division (and the merge) at the Adirondack Invitational.

LaFayette and Onondaga seem evenly-matched for second-place ... LaFayette edged Onondaga by 3 points at the OHSL Patriot League meet.

Individual Race ... Logan Kempney (Beaver River) is the top-rated Section 3-Class D runner and the solid favorite to win the individual title ... Seth Baker (Weedsport), Thomas Sargent (LaFayette), Brett Ryan (Cato Meridian) and Thomas Moade (DeRuyter) are top contenders for the five individual State qualifying spots.

                      Predicted                              Actual
      School              Score           School              Score
      ==================  =====           ==================  =====
  1   FM                     19           FM                     19
  2   CNS                    72           CNS                    69
  3   Liverpool              89           West Genesee           81
  4   West Genesee           97           Liverpool             103
  5   Baldwinsville         114           Baldwinsville         114
  6   Central Square        191           Central Square        193
  7   Rome                  209           Rome                  195
  8   Auburn                234           Oswego                262
  9   Oswego                280           Auburn                266
  10  Syracuse West         295           Proctor               329
  11  Syracuse East         327           Syracuse West         329
  12  Proctor               341           Syracuse East         331
 
								

Pre-Race Analysis ... The Fayetteville-Manlius girls are the defending National Champions and the #1 ranked team in the nation once again ... FM scored a perfect 15 in three of the last four years at sectionals (but not last year)  ... Laura Leff (West Genesee) is certainly capable of breaking up the top five FM runners ... CNS beat Liverpool at the CNYCL National League meet and gets the nod for 2nd-place.

Individual Race ... FM has a team full of contenders for the win ... Jillian Fanning is the clear favorite based on impressive wins at the Manhattan (Eastern States Champ) and VVS Invitational races ... Laura Leff (West Genesee) is a serious challenger, but I'm guessing her prime goal is to qualify for States.

 

                      Predicted                              Actual
      School              Score           School              Score
      ==================  =====           ==================  =====
  1   Westhill-Ludden        44           Westhill-Ludden        38
  2   Marcellus              50 (or 80?)  Marcellus              52
  3   New Hartford           98           ESM                   100
  4   ESM                   105           New Hartford          108
  5   Jamesville Dewitt     115           Jamesville-Dewitt     121
  6   Chittenango           160           Whitesboro            148
  7   Whitesboro            162           Chittenango           185
  8   Mexico                239           Mexico                187
  9   VVS                   290           Fulton                263
  10  Oneida                305           Oneida                277
  11  Phoenix               341
  12  Carthage              348
  13  Fulton                355
  14  Camden                362
  15  Cortland              437
  
				

Pre-Race Analysis ... Westhill-Ludden handily defeated Marcellus at the OHSL Liberty League meet (45 to 79); However, one of the top Marcellus runners (Maggie Dunn) did not run (she also did not run at the preceding Marathon Invite race), and this makes me wonder about the sectional race. IF she does run (and runs decently), the score becomes fairly close (as noted above), but in her absence, the Marcellus team score goes up by roughly 30 points (as also noted in the score above).

Individual Race ... Jessica Curry (Westhill-Ludden) is the top-ranked Section 3 Class A runner and the favorite to win the individual title ... Rachel Garn (Marcellus) and Betsy Black (Westhill-Ludden) look very competitive for the second-spot.

                      Predicted                              Actual
      School              Score           School              Score
      ==================  =====           ==================  =====
  1   Tully                  66           Tully                  75
  2   Cazenovia              94           Cazenovia              93
  3   Skaneateles           102           South Lewis           101
  4   South Lewis           117           Skaneateles           138
  5   Holland Patent        129           Holland Patent        158
  6   CBA                   154           Adirondack            181
  7   South Jefferson       166           South Jefferson       190
  8   Adirondack            222           Sauquoit Valley       202
  9   Sauquoit Valley       236           CBA                   237
  10  Ilion                 286           Ilion                 281
  11  Jordan-Elbridge       307           Canastota             281
  12  Canastota             317           Hannibal              304
  13  Hannibal              326           Jordan-Elbridge       309
  14  APW                   358           APW                   310
  15  Pulaski               374           Pulaski               393
  16  Clinton               474
  17  Solvay                478
  18  Herkimer              553

							

Pre-Race Analysis ... Tully is currently ranked #3 in NY State (Class C) ... Tully has won the Section 3 Class C title the last four years, and is the favorite again this year (based on team depth).

Cazenovia, Skaneateles, South Lewis and Holland Patent all look competitive for the second-spot despite the scoring range shown above.

Individual Race ... Victoria Campanian (South Lewis) is the solid favorite to win the Class C individual title; she is the Frontier League champion and was the fastest girl at the Adirondack Invitational (by nearly 33 seconds) ... Looks like a real good scramble for the five individual State qualifying spots amongst a bunch of girls.

 

                      Predicted                              Actual
      School              Score           School              Score
      ==================  =====           ==================  =====
  1   Beaver River           42           Beaver River           33
  2   Remsen                 55           Remsen                 51
  3   Fabius-Pompey          97           Cooperstown           116
  4   LaFayette             124           Fabius-Pompey         135
  5   Port Byron            160           Utica Notre Dame      170
  6   Cooperstown           169           LaFayette             171
  7   Utica Notre Dame      198           Port Byron            190
  8   Weedsport             233           Waterville            224
  9   Faith Heritage        246           Weedsport             235
  10  Waterville            250           Faith Heritage        236
  11  Sandy Creek           255           Poland                243
  12  Poland                286           Sandy Creek           271
  13  Old Forge             313           West Canada           368
  14  West Canada           392
				

Pre-Race Analysis ... Beaver River is favored over Remsen ... Beaver River is the Frontier League champion and Remsen is the CSC League champion.

Last year, Remsen raced extremely well at sectionals and won Class D impressively, and then won the Section 3 Class soccer title later in the day (some of their runners do both sports) ... and it could happen again this year.

Individual Race ... Erin McConnell (Fabius-Pompey) has been running very well recently and is the favorite to win the individual title (she finished 3rd at States last year) ...  Sage Hurta (Hamilton) was last year's State Class D champion ... Elizabeth Dean (Manlius-Pebble Hill) was at Marcellus prior to this year.