Tully Runners - Girls Class D 2000 Pre-Analysis

 

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This web-page considers the match-up between the Class D teams at the State Level.

1999 State Meet Girls Class D Team Results:
 (1) Bronxville - 52  (Section I)
 (2) Tully - 54  (Section III)
 (3) Mount Morris - 84  (Section V)
 (4) Groton - 86  (Section IV)
 (5) Seton Catholic - 110  (Section VII)
 (6) Tri-Valley - 127  (Section IX)
 (7) Galway - 155  (Section II)

 

 State Pre-Season 2000 Ranking and Analysis

 (1) Bronxville Bronxville returns the top 5 runners from last year's championship team ... the #1 and #2 runners, sophomores Catha and Caroline Mullen, are simply outstanding runners. #3 runner, senior Melissa Wisner, ran close to 11:00 for 3000m during spring track. The #4 and #5 runners (this year's seniors Elise Duggan and Danielle Schaeffner) ran excellent races to help beat Tully in last year's State Meet.

In last year's State Meet, Bronxville had the advantage of running two races on the Westchester course before the State Meet (Sectionals and Section 1 Coaches Invite). Their race strategy was to go out fast ... after the first mile, Bronxville had four runners in front of Tully's first runner!! They knew what they were doing because they won the State Championship. This year they must run against Tully or Beaver River on the Section 3 course at SUNY Utica Tech ... both Tully and Beaver River are very familiar with this "deceptively difficult" course.

Bronxville had an excellent Spring track season. They beat Tully in the State Meet 4x800 relay and at the Footlocker Nationals in both the 4x800 relay (9:34 vs 9:47) and 4x1 mile relay.

Melissa Wisner reported in an Internet article that the Bronxville team feels "like a family more than sport" ... they have organized pre-season practices and weekly team dinners lead by the team. Sounds a lot like Tully!

Bronxville wore Superman T-shirts to the award's stage at States. Until somebody finds some kryptonite, Bronxville is the number one Class D team in NY State.

 (2) Tully Tully loses Danielle Caracci to graduation ... she will be running at Cortland State (we'll miss you ). However, we are very fortunate to have freshman Jessica Portmess running XC for the first time this season. She ran the 800m in 2:24 and was sectional 400m hurdle champion (70 sec) during spring track ... she appears to be an excellent distance runner. Sophomores Heather Roberts and Jessica McAnaney return as the top runners from last year. Returning seniors Jamie Crawford and Anna Holden will round-out the top five. Close behind are sophomore Alyssa Clark and juniors Laura Riehlman and Gwen Lennox. (Girl's Roster)

Last season, Tully had two outstanding team efforts ... the Sectionals (beat Beaver River by two points) and States (lost by two points) ... Tully ran a great race at States ... they were simply beaten by a slightly better team.

Overall, Tully looks to be just as strong or stronger than last year. However, we do not have any runners from last year's junior high team moving to the varsity level as impact runners ... this is where Beaver River has a big advantage over Tully ... and last year, Tully and Beaver River were very evenly matched. It's a shame that Section 3 can't send both teams to States, especially since one section did not send any Class D team to States!  Tully and Beaver River will fight an all-out battle to determine which team goes to States, while Bronxville and Groton will make States very easily!! Who has the advantage??

A rumor ... Coach Franklin is developing a secret weapon ... she will know by October 1st whether she can use the "Krytonite Rocket".

 (3) Beaver River Just like Tully, I expect Beaver River to be just as strong or stronger than last year ... more likely stronger!  They do lose their #2 runner (Bobby Mathis) to graduation. However, I expect their #1 runner, senior Danielle Buzzell, will show improvement ... she lowered her 800m PR to 2:21 during spring track and last year was her first XC season ... she's an excellent runner. Other returning impact runners include Kisa Ruiz, Jolene Munger, Jodie Munger, Melissa Golden, Cassandra Zehr and Holly Zehr (another family thing?).

Beaver River had a strong junior high team last year ... several runners may move to varsity with real impact. This is their advantage over Tully. I have also heard a rumor that Aaron Emery's little sister (now in junior high) is very very fast ... I really think she should stay on the junior high team as a 7th, 8th and 9th grader!

 (4) Groton Groton may be the big surprise in Class D. Groton returns all five runners from last year's team ... they only had five runners for most of the season! According to Coach Scott Weeks, 18 girls have signed-up for XC ... the new talent could propel Groton to a State Title.

The top runners are Brandey Hurchla and Annie Scogin ... they represented the Central Region in this summer's Empire State Games 10000m for scholastic girls (both ran 42:56.6). Annie showed great improvement during Spring Track by running 10:51 for 3000m. Coach Weeks is still the top middle distance runner in central NY (he won the Empire States Games 3000m Steeplechase for the 5th straight year) ... Groton has talented runners and coaching ... they are my "dark-horse" selection to upset the top teams. 

 (5) Mount Morris Mount Morris loses one runner to graduation ... from the top five, two freshman and two sophomores return. I need to find more info.
 (6) Tri-Valley As an 8th-grader last year, Heather Iatauro finished 4th at the State XC Meet (Class D) and 27th at Federations ... she is one of the top Class D runners in the State. Her father is Tri-Valley's coach ... he has an excellent coaching record. But unless Coach Iatauro develops some new talent, Tri-Valley can't contend with the top teams.
 (7) Seton Catholic Seton Catholic loses two of their top five to graduation. At the State Track Meet, their 4x800m relay team finished 7th (10:08).
 

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