Section 3 Girls Team Ranking Page for 2003 (by TullyRunners.com)
Girls & Boys Performance Database
November 2, 2003 ... Here are the Girls pre-race projections for the 2003 Section 3 Championships & Actual Post-Race Team Scores
Please remember: the predicted scores below only indicate a possible outcome based upon individual runner speed ratings ... they are NOT absolute ... they are only one indication of team strength. I used the top seven runners from each team as best as I was aware of ... one major problem with projections is knowing who will or will not be running on some teams (it can make a big difference) ... Predicted Scores were posted on October 28, 2003 ... Actual scores will be posted side-by-side after the meet ... Updated Nov 2, 2003 with the actual scores.
... [Boys Section 3 Team Predictions]
| Girls Class A ... Too Close to Call - a real good race! |
Predicted Actual
School Score School Score
================== ===== ================== =====
1 Liverpool 55 CNS 53
2 FM 64 Liverpool 55
3 CNS 67 FM 78
4 Auburn 107 West Genesee 105
5 West Genesee 114 Auburn 135
6 Baldwinsville 190 Baldwinsville 209
7 Nottingham 219 Central Square 224
8 Whitesboro 225 ESM 229
9 ESM 236 Nottingham 239
10 Central Square 275 Whitesboro 249
11 Corcoran 298 Oswego 305
12 Oswego 317 Corcoran 321
13 Proctor 341 Proctor 330
14 Rome 346 Rome 366
|
|
Post-Race
... It was a super race ... CNS edging Liverpool
by only two points ... unfortunately, one of the FM runners was
unable to finish the race, but Brittany Crawford (FM) won the race
with another good performance ... West Genesee raced better
than at OHSLs (Elizabeth McMahon is getting better and better) Pre-Race Analysis ... This race is very close amongst the top three teams ... in terms of winning probability, Liverpool, Cicero-North Syracuse and Fayetteville-Manlius have reasonable chances of winning, with CNS and Liverpool in a virtual dead-heat ... In the OHSL Championship Meet, CNS (82) outscored Liverpool (94) and FM (115), but if only the Class A teams are considered, CNS beat Liverpool only 5 points. The team race could be a "one-runner" race ... that is, one runner on any team having a very good race or a very bad race could determine the title winner. Individually, Brittany Crawford (FM) dominated the OHSL race ... Nicki Junod (CNS) has the ability to make it close. |
| Girls Class B ... Westhill again |
Predicted Actual
School Score School Score
================== ===== ================== =====
1 Westhill 30 Westhill 31
2 VVS 65 VVS 52
3 Phoenix 87 Phoenix 96
4 New Hartford 136 Chittenango 151
5 Oneida 175 Oneida 161
6 Jamesville Dewitt 178 Homer 169
7 Chittenango 180 Mexico 172
8 Homer 189 Jamesville-Dewitt 175
9 Mexico 196 Fulton 243
10 Cortland 266 Herkimer 293
11 Fulton 277 Camden 296
12 Herkimer 299 Carthage 348
13 Camden 357
14 Carthage 400
|
|
Post-Race
... the top three teams ran to form with VVS showing
even more improvement (a real season) ... Westhill runs much of
the race in a pack, and score well because of it ... New Hartford was
incomplete Pre-Race Analysis ... Westhill is deep and talented, and figures to win comfortably ... Vernon-Verona-Sherrill has had a very good season and deserves credit for a very nice improvement ... Individually, Ashley Hughes (Phoenix) should win easily. |
| Girls Class C ... Skaneateles starts on State-title journey |
Predicted Actual
School Score School Score
================== ===== ================== =====
1 Skaneateles 48 Skaneateles 34
2 Canastota 72 South Jefferson 71
3 South Jefferson 97 Canastota 97
4 Sauquoit Valley 146 Sauquoit Valley 121
5 Jordan-Elbridge 188 Cato-Meridian 148
6 Cazenovia 190 Solvay 174
7 Cato Meridian 196 Jordan-Elbridge 192
8 Solvay 200 Cazenovia 194
9 Holland Patent 213 Holland Patent 204
10 CBA 282 Adirondack 244
11 Marcellus 297 Ilion 262
12 APW 304
13 Adirondack 313
14 Ilion 331
15 Waterville 423
16 Hannibal 460
|
|
Post-Race
... Skaneateles dominated the race as expected ...
South Jefferson posted a real good team effort to go along with
the super performance by Nichole Lister ... the scores above are a
little out-of-whack because of incompletes and no-shows (not everybody
wants to come to sectionals) Pre-Race Analysis ... Skaneateles won the OHSL Championship Meet and beat the best Class A schools in the process ... their top five runners finished less than a minute apart, and they are all capable of running better ... Canastota is a good team (they are currently ranked #2 in the State behind Skaneateles); unfortunately, only one team can qualify for States. Individually, Nichole Lister (South Jefferson) is far ahead of the field ... Nichole is easily the top-rated Class C runner in the State and one of the five best (any class) in the State ... This season, Nichole became the first female to break the 18 minute barrier at Adirondack's full 5K course (17:56) ... Nichole broke the course record at Phoenix which was held by Footlocker Finalist Tracey Brauksieck (Homer) who ran there many times ... and Nichole is getting better! |
| Girls Class D ... Beaver River handily |
Predicted Actual
School Score School Score
================== ===== ================== =====
1 Beaver River 21 Beaver River 20
2 Tully 67 Tully 83
3 Pulaski 86 Weedsport 104
4 Weedsport 126 Pulaski 110
5 LaFayette 150 Onondaga 131
6 Onondaga 184 LaFayette 172
7 Sandy Creek 231 Cooperstown 219
8 Old Forge 240 Remsen 241
9 Cooperstown 288 Little Falls 243
10 Utica Notre Dame 288 Utica Notre Dame 246
11 Westmoreland 317 Oriskany 259
12 Remsen 331 Sandy Creek 313
13 Poland 371 Living Word 329
14 Oriskany 372
15 Living Word 399
16 Richfield Springs 408
17 West Canada Valley 420
|
Post-Race
... Beaver River had to use an all-out effort to
barely edge Tully by a mere 63 points
 ... it was the last race for
Tully's three senior leaders 
... Weedsport and Onondaga ran very wellPre-Race Analysis ... Beaver River is tuning up for a State show-down with Argyle (second best team in the State behind Class A Saratoga) ... as yet, Beaver River has not shown their best race - they are very talented ... Individually, Lauren Moser (Beaver River) is the over-whelming favorite to repeat as sectional champion ... Lauren is the defending State Class D champion; at States, she will surprise most observers because her best race is coming. |