| Analysis:
Based upon available results, Tully is the favorite to win the State
Class D title. However, the computer simulations are somewhat
limited because I have only one set of complete race results for
East Rochester (their sectionals) ... this really limits the
effectiveness of the computer simulations I like to run at this time
of the season ... but East Rochester's sectional performance makes
them a real contender.
Tully's advantage is team depth ...
the top five runners usually finish within a minute of each other,
and the 6th and 7th runners are also good.
Margin of Error: the
"margin of error" for these computer simulations is
probably about seven to eight points (due to the limited results for
East Rochester) ... this makes Tully, East Rochester, Groton and
Tri-Valley legitimate contenders to win. However, I believe Tully's
team depth will permit Tully to win their first-ever State title in
any team sport!
Good Luck to All Teams!
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